The vaunted trend to increasing complexity in the history of life, for example, only records the small and extending tail of an increasingly right-skewed distribution through time––but with a strong a persistent bacterial mode that has never altered during life’s entire 3.5 billion year history, leaving this planet now, as always, in the Age of Bacteria. This extending right tail may record little more than the constraint of life’s origin right next to the lower bound of preservable complexity in the fossil record. Only one direction––towards greater complexity––remained open to “invasion,” and a small number of species dribble in that direction through time, thus extending the right tail of the skewed distribution. But no evidence now exists to support an argument that higher complexity should be construed as a “good thing in general” (in adaptive terms, or otherwise), either at the organismal or species level. In fact, the few studies based on patterns of speciation in clades where the founding members lie far from any upper or lower structural boundary, and therefore impose no constraint upon either decreasing or increasing complexity, show no trend at all towards increasing complexity. Approximately equal numbers of species arise with less complex and with more complex phenotypes than their ancestor.
Stephen Jay Gould, The Structure of Evolutionary Theory (p. 730)







