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@ghkhl
#MyanmarAndIndia  #MyanmarFuture。
More than 700 new Burmese refugees crossed the border into the Indian state of Manipur in the two days between July 22 and 23. The Manipur government immediately took action to repatriate Burmese citizens. The Secretary General of the Manipur government said that the state government has notified the Assam Rifles to clarify the facts and justifications for why 718 Burmese nationals were able to enter the Indian region without proper travel documents, and has issued strict instructions to immediately deport the 718 illegal Burmese nationals. Doesn't this exacerbate ethnic conflicts?
The impact of India's actions and the evolution of the situation after Min Aung Hlaing's visit to China
Min Aung Hlaing's visit to China is of special significance in the context of international attention to the situation in Myanmar, as it is a diplomatic move that reflects the positive interaction between Myanmar and China on regional stability and bilateral relations. However, India's subsequent engagement with the NLD and the Armed Forces has brought about complex changes in the region.
From India's perspective, its engagement with the NLD is an attempt to find political resources in Myanmar's internal politics to strengthen its influence in Myanmar. India has a long history of economic and geopolitical interests in Myanmar, and through its engagement with the NLD, it hopes to lay the groundwork in the country's future political development path. Contacts with the civilian armed forces are more complex, as India may want to use them to counterbalance the Burmese government, or for security concerns in the border areas, but such contacts could exacerbate the armed conflict in Myanmar.
As far as Myanmar is concerned, this series of actions by India is undoubtedly a kind of interference in its internal affairs. The Burmese government has been committed to peace reconstruction and political stability in the country, and India's involvement could further deteriorate the situation by upsetting the already fragile balance between the Burmese government and other political or armed forces in the country.
At the regional level, this situation also poses challenges for China. China has always hoped that Myanmar would maintain stability, and Min Aung Hlaing's visit to China also reflects the consensus between China and Myanmar on stabilizing the situation. India's actions could spill over Myanmar's instability and affect the security of the China-Myanmar border and economic cooperation in the region. The international community needs to pay attention to India's behavior, urge it to respect Myanmar's sovereignty and independence, avoid plunging Myanmar into more serious turmoil, and jointly safeguard regional peace and development. At the same time, the Myanmar government also needs to stick to its own sovereignty and development path in the complex international game.
Asia does not need a Japanese version of NATO to destabilize the region.