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[hunterbach]

2018 NFC East Team Analysis and Projections

Now that the AFC is done let's start of the analysis of the NFC with the boys from the East.

Philadelphia Eagles

2018-19 Projected Finish: 1st

2017-18 Finish: 1st

 Key Additions

Offense

Mike Wallace (WR)(free agent - Ravens) – Wallace is coming off two really solid seasons for the Ravens and was signed to a cheap 1-year deal. Wallace is likely to replace Torey Smith’s role within the offense and replicate if not exceed his production within the offense.

Defense

Michael Bennett (DE)(trade with Seahawks ) -  The Eagles acquired Bennett in exchange for receiver Marcus Johnson and a fifth-round pick. Bennett will look to replace the role of Vinny Curry who was released later after the team acquired Bennett. At age 32 he may be slowing down, but he is still a productive player who should have a bigger impact rushing the passer than Vinny Curry.

Haloti Ngata (DT)(free agent - Lions) –  This signing became more pivotal after it was revealed that Timmy Jernigan had surgery on a herniated disc in his back and has a 4-6 month recovery timetable. Jernigan is in jeopardy of missing the start of the season and maybe more. Ngata was signed on a 1-year deal and at age 34 his best years are behind him, but that doesn’t mean he can’t be effective. Ngata will specialize in stopping the run for the Eagles, and in case Jernigan misses time Ngata may be the first to take his spot as the starter. Ngata looks like he will play a vital role in the Eagles defense this coming season.

Key Losses

Offense

Torrey Smith (WR)(trade to Panthers) – Smith was a cap casualty for the Eagles. They needed the space, so the team shipped him to Carolina for cornerback Daryl Worley. The team later released Worley after he was arrested. Smith didn’t have the most productive regular season with 36 catches for 430 yards, but he really came alive in the Eagles 3 postseason games recording 13 catches for 157 yards. The Eagles will look to Mike Wallace to fill Smith’s role and may he may even be more productive.

Defense

Patrick Robinson (CB)(Signed with Saints) – Since being drafted by the Saints in the 1st round of the 2010 draft, Patrick Robinson has not lived up to his draft status. Entering last year, he was on his third team in three years. Not many expected Robinson to play at the level he did last season turning into an exceptional slot cornerback for the Eagles. Robinson graded out at an 89.8 rating last season, good for Pro Football Focus #6 cornerback rating. Robinson will likely be replaced by Sidney Jones who is a question mark after missing most of his rookie year with a torn achillies.

 Team Analysis

The Super Bowl champs should once again win the division. The roster is as deep as ever, and they have a quality quarterback. Whether Carson Wentz is healthy enough to play week one or not still remains to be seen.

  Washington Redskins

2018-19 Projected Finish: 2nd

2017-18 Finish: 3rd  

 Key Additions

Offense

Alex Smith (QB) (trade with Chiefs) – The Redskins acquired Smith from the Chiefs for a third-round pick and talented cornerback in Kendall Fuller. In Smith, the Redskins are gaining a veteran quarterback who is coming off a career season in which he showed his ability to attack all three levels of the field. With Smith being extended by the Redskins, they no longer have to deal with the quarterback drama they endured with the Kirk Cousins – a saga in which neither side was satisfied.  

Paul Richardson (WR)(free agent – Seahawks) – Richardson was a player who always had the potential to be productive but never quite reached that level. That was until this past season where he recorded 44 receptions for 703 yards and 6 touchdowns. Richardson is a burner that fills the role Desean Jackson occupied two seasons ago. For Smith, who displayed last season an ability to push the football down the field, Richardson will be a welcome addition, and it would not be a shock for Richardson to have a career-best year in his first season with the Redskins.  

Defense

Da’Ron Payne (NT)(draft, round 1st pick 13th) – The Redskins went back to the Alabama well in 2018 a year after selecting Jon Allen in the first round to select Da’Ron Payne. Payne is a special talent with freak athleticism. At 311 pounds he ran a 4.95 40. Payne will immediately help a run defense that was awful last season, and along with a return of Jonathan Allen from injury, the Redskins defense should be much improved. While Payne has a chance to be special, questions arise regarding his pass rushing ability due to limited production in college.  

Key Losses

Offense

Kirk Cousins (QB)(signed with Vikings) – Kirk Cousins to Alex Smith might be a draw and Smith may even get the edge. While Cousins is a loss, the advantage of no longer having the saga of contract negotiations or franchise tagging is addition by subtraction for the Redskins. Overall, they might have come out better by acquiring Smith.

Defense

Kendall Fuller (CB)(traded to Chiefs) – Fuller had an excellent season last year for the Redskins, but the team parted with him when they acquired Alex Smith. The successor to Fuller is not immediately clear.  Orlando Scandrick may get the nod to take over slot duties, but injury questions will persist. Overall, Fuller will be missed in a passing defense that was in the top half of the league last season.  

 Team Analysis

I’m higher on Washington than most as I believe the offense led by Alex Smith has the opportunity to flourish. This year with Derrius Guice at running back and the return of Jordan Reed and Chris Thompson from injuries the offense could easily improve. As for the defense, the return of Jonathan Allen and the addition of Da’Ron Payne should help the run defense which has been awful the last few years. Overall, the Redskins have the talent capable of winning 9 or 10 games this season.

  Dallas Cowboys

2018-19 Projected Finish: 3rd

2017-18 Finish: 2nc

 Key Additions

Offense

Allen Hurns (WR)(free agent - Jaguars) – When Hurns signed with the Cowboys many wondered what that meant for Dez Bryant. What it meant was the end of his tenure in Dallas. Hurns is a good receiver who currently looks like the Cowboys number one in a room filled with none. Hurns could very easily match Bryant’s production and then some this coming season. Hurns was a strong signing for a team in need of more consistent pass catchers. The Cowboys could expect a possible 1,000-yard season in 2018 if he remains healthy.

Connor Williams (OG)(draft, round 2nd pick 50th) -   For a unit that seemed invincible the Cowboys offensive line struggled in 2017. With the retirement of Doug Free and the departure of guard Ronald Leary to the Broncos, the team shifted La’el Collins from left guard to right tackle and used a combination of Jonathan Cooper and Chaz Green at left guard. Green, of course, is most remembered for the game against the Atlanta Falcons in which he gave up six sacks to Adrian Clayborn. This season the Cowboys will continue with La’el Cloons at right tackle but will give second-round pick Williams the opportunity at left guard. Williams had a disappointing final season at the University of Texas compared to a stellar 2016  season, but the struggles could be attributed partially to a knee injury he suffered. For the Cowboys, the hope is that Williams will lock down the left guard spot and with a healthy Tyron Smith the team will once again have three healthy All-Pro players along the offensive line clearing lanes for Zeke.  

Defense

Leighton Vander Esch (LB)(draft, round 1st pick 19th) –  Vander Esch is a freak athlete at the linebacker position who last season was excellent with Boise State. Dallas was in need of a linebacker with the departure of Anthony Hitchens. In Vander Esch, the team is acquiring an explosive linebacker with sky-high potential due to his athletic ability. With Vander Esch, the question is can he be as effective as Hitchens from day one. I doubt that he can, but I believe he can be a superior player as he continues to develop.

 Key Losses

Offense

Jason Witten (TE)(retirement) – Witten is a future hall of famer who was the most consistent player on the Cowboys offense. Dallas does not have a player to fill the void Witten leaves. In Witten, the Cowboys had a reliable playmaker who was a consistent chain mover and safety valve for Dak Prescott. Witten’s void will immediately be felt this season when the offense struggles to convert in third-down situations.

Defense

Anthony Hitchens (LB)(signed with Chiefs) – Hitchens was replaced by Leighton Vander Esch as listed above but that doesn’t mean that Dallas won't miss him. Vander Esch is a good player, but it may take a few years for him to reach the level of play Hitchens currently provides. Hitchens is a quality linebacker who specialized in stopping the run but also developed into a better coverage linebacker over his years in Dallas. Though Vander Esch could very well end up being better than Hitchens, this season Hitchens likely will produce at a higher level.

 Team Analysis

Overall the Cowboys were a disappointment last season. Between the injury to Tyron Smith, the idiotic six-game suspension for Ezekiel Elliott, or the disappointing second year of Dak Prescott, the Cowboys never seemed to be able to get on track. Looking at the team this season they don’t seem like they’re a Super Bowl contender, but they could still compete for a wild card.

  New York Giants

2018-19 Projected Finish: 4th

2017-18 Finish: 4th

 Key Additions

Offense

Nate Solder (OT)(free agent - Patriots) – Solder was the Giants big free agent signing coming over on a 4-year, $62 million contract. Solder is not an All-Pro caliber player, but he is a consistent performer and will be an immediate upgrade for a Giants team in which the offensive line has been poor for years. Solder, along with second-round pick Will Hernandez, will give the Giants a quality left side of the offensive line this season though questions remain at right tackle.

Saquon Barkley (RB)(draft, round 1st pick 2) – Stud. Saquon Barkley is a stud, and the drafting of Barkley does two things. First, it indicates the franchise truly did believe in Eli Manning having high caliber years of play remaining despite his age. Second, it gives the Giants a balanced offensive attack no longer forcing Eli to throw the ball 50 times in a game due to a non-existent rushing attack. Barkley should have an immediate impact in his rookie season helping Eli to what could be his best season since 2015.

Defense

Alec Ogletree (LB)(Trade with Rams) –  Ogletree being acquired by the team immediately showed the change in philosophy from the previous regime. Dave Gettleman immediately sought help at linebacker something Jerry Reese failed to do. In Ogletree, the team is acquiring a linebacker who is a capable run defender but an inconsistent tackler. He will likely be used more in blitzing this season than in previous years. Overall a worthy upgrade for a unit which was in dire need of it.  

 Key Losses

Offense

Weston Richburg (C)(signed with 49’ers) – Richburg is replaced by Brett Jones or Jon Halapio this coming season. Richburg is a good center, but the Giants prioritized cap space elsewhere rather than resigning Richburg. In Jones, the Giants have a center who excelled last season in pass blocking but was poor in the run game. Halapio is better at run blocking. The Giants will have to decide whether the prioritize the run or the pass when deciding the position battle. Overall, Richburg is a quality center but was not worth the price in the minds of the Giants.

Defense

Jason Pierre-Paul (DE)(traded to Buccaneers) – Pierre-Paul may be a loss for the Giants defense this season, but the future cap savings and the ability to acquire more assets was too much for the team to pass up. This was especially true with Odell Beckham Jr in need of a new contract likely making him the highest paid wide receiver in the NFL. Overall the trade made a lot of financial sense for the Giants and should benefit the team in the long term.

 Team Analysis

I am not sold on the Giants. Though I did like some of the offseason moves, other were puzzling. Overall the team feels like it could finish anywhere from 2nd to 4th, but they lack the necessary talent to win it. I see the offense improving this season, but I don’t believe it will be enough to propel the team into a position to compete for a playoff spot or even the division.

 More to come. For more analysis read:

2018 AFC South Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC North Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC West Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC East Team Analysis and Projections

2018 NFC East Team Analysis and Projections

[hunterbach]

2018 AFC East Team Analysis and Projections

Since 2003 the Miami Dolphins have been the only other team besides the Patriots to win the division. This came in 2008, the year Tom Brady tore his ACL against the Chiefs in the season opener. Are the Patriots poised to continue division dominance in 2018 or is someone going to challenge their division dominance? How much will we see of rookie signal callers Josh Allen and Sam Darnold? Will Ryan Tannehill return from injury to help lead the Dolphins back to the playoffs? All good questions for the upcoming season.

 New England Patriots

2018-19 Projected Finish: 1st

2017-18 Finish: 1st

 Key Additions

Offense

Sony Michel (RB)(draft, round 1st pick 31) –  Michel takes the role of Dion Lewis in the Patriots offense this season. His explosive playmaking ability is evidenced throughout his college career. Michel catches the ball out of the backfield well and can break tackles. The only question mark involving Michel is his issue fumbling the football. Michel will be an impact rookie this coming season an should get the majority of carries.

Trent Brown (QB)(trade with 49’ers) -  With Nate Solder departing for the Giants in free agency on a huge contract, the Patriots had a need for a new left tackle. The team made two moves to address it. The first was drafting Isaiah Wynn in the first round and the second was trading for Brown. I put Brown here because he’s likely to get the first crack at left tackle. In Brown, the Patriots are getting a mountain of a man at 6’8, 355. He is an excellent pass blocker. The questions arise in Brown’s work ethic, his ability to control his weight, and how well he will transition from left to right tackle.

Defense

Adrian Clayborn (DE)(free agent - Falcons) –  The Patriots signed Clayborn to a two year worth a max value of $6.25 million a year. Clayborn is coming off a 9.5 sack season, though the stat is inflated due to a six-sack performance versus the Cowboys. Clayborn is a capable defender who will help to reinforce the edge rushers for the Patriots and will look to provide consistent pass rushing pressure for a defense that due to injuries was struggling at the end of last season.

 Key Losses

Offense

Nate Solder (OT )(signed with Giants) –  Solder has been a stalwart in New England since he was drafted in the first round in 2011. Solder played in at least 15 games in six out of his seven seasons for the Patriots. Thought the Patriots would have liked to keep Solder, the contract the Giants offered him was just too high for the Patriots to counter at an average of 15.5 per year. The Patriots will look to either rookie Isaiah Wynn or Trent Brown to take over at left tackle. Overall, the loss of Solder will be felt within the offense but shouldn’t have a huge effect on the unit's success this season.

Defense

Malcolm Butler (CB)(signed with Titans) –  Malcolm Butler had a disappointing final season with the Patriots culminating in his being benched during Super Bowl 52. Butler was coming off an All-Pro season in 2016 and was expected to team up with Stephon Gilmore to form a dynamic cornerback duo for the Patriots. Instead, the tandem of Gilmore and Butler went through severe ups and downs last season. Though Butler was inconsistent last season in New England, he is still a cornerback capable of All-Pro caliber play. The Patriots don’t have a clear replacement for Butler either. It seems his role will be replaced by a combination of second-round pick Duke Dawson and Jason McCourty who the team acquired in a trade with the Browns in March.

 Team Analysis

Tom Brady and Bill Belichick both return and as long as those two are together, the Patriots should be favored in the AFC East and probably the AFC in general. No matter the turnover in the offseason the team looks poised to win the division again.

  Miami Dolphins

2018-19 Projected Finish: 2nd  

2017-18 Finish: 3rd

 Key Additions

Offense

Daniel Kilgore (C)(trade with 49’ers) – Kilgore was acquired from the 49’ers after the team cut Mike Pouncey. Kilgore doesn’t necessarily have more talent than Pouncey, but what he does have is a cheaper contract and no serious injury concerns. Pouncey was no longer the Pro Bowl center he was from 2013-2015. It was felt that with Pouncey the team was paying for the player he once was instead of the player he currently is. For the Dolphins sake, Kilgore is a cheaper, non-injury risk alternative whose production will likely be very similar to what Pouncey’s would have been.

Albert Wilson (WR)(free agent – Chiefs) -  Albert Wilson is coming off his best season as a pro. 42 receptions for 554 yards which resulted in a three-year $24 million deal with the Dolphins.  Wilson will pair with fellow free agent signing Danny Amendola who signed a two-year deal worth up to $12 million. The signing is to in part replace the production of Jarvis Landry who the team traded to the Browns. Landry recorded 112 receptions for 987 yard and 9 touchdowns last season. Between Amendola and Wilson, the two recorded 103 receptions 1213 yards and 5 touchdowns. The Dolphins are betting Wilson and Amendola will yield similar production to Landry and that Amendola can have a positive impact on the team and his fellow receivers.  

Defense

Minkah Fitzpatrick (S)(draft, 1st round 11th pick) – Fitzpatrick was a stud at Alabama. He was used as a dime linebacker, a slot cornerback, and safety in base defenses. With the Dolphins it's likely we will see three-safety sets with Fitzpatrick, Rashad Jones, and TJ McDonald this season. Minkah is an excellent addition to a Dolphins defense that struggled last season and should be a key reason that the defense shows improvement this season.

 Key Losses

Offense

Jarvis Landry (WR)(Traded to Browns) – Landry is a reception monster. Plain and simple. But the Dolphins felt that he wasn’t worth the contract that he eventually received from Cleveland – 5-year $75.5 million. For the Dolphins, Landry’s loss can be mitigated by the production of Wilson and Amendola this coming season. Neither Wilson or Amendola has the upside that Landry does, but they could produce similar numbers and maybe even exceed Landry’s production this coming season.

Defense

Ndamukong Suh (DT)(cut by team) –  The Dolphins parted ways with Suh three years into the massive 6-year $114 million contract signed prior to the 2015 season. Suh is a talented defensive tackle but no longer warranted the cap space that was devoted to him. For the Dolphins, cutting Suh stings but the team will now turn to younger options along the defensive line while also opening up cap space for contracts down the line. The loss of Suh will hurt the defense, but it was the best decision for the team to make

 Team Analysis

The Dolphins were a playoff team in 2016 going 10-6 and winning 5 games in a row at one point. In 2017, the team had high expectations beginning with quarterback Ryan Tannehill before injuries derailed the campaign. The team was never able to get on track in 2017 resulting in a 6-10 record. Going into the 2018 season, I have higher expectations for the Dolphins than most. I believe the team is capable of once again winning 10 games and coming in second in the division to the Patriots.

  Buffalo Bills  

2018-19 Projected Finish: 3rd  

2017-18 Finish: 2nd

 Key Additions

Offense

Chris Ivory (RB)(free agent - Jaguars) – Ivory was cut from the Jaguars as the team needed cap space and has Leonard Fournette entrenched as the tailback of the future. Ivory was a disappointment in his two seasons with the Jaguars after receiving a 5-year deal with the team. For the Bills, Ivory will help to reduce the burden on LeSean McCoy who received 287 carries last year his highest since 2014 with the Eagles. Ivory’s presence should help reduce the load on McCoy and help to keep him fresh as the season goes on.

Defense

Star Lotulelei (DT)(free agent - Panthers) – Lotulelei signed with the Bills on a huge 5-year $50 million contract with $25 million of it guaranteed. For the Bills, he will likely fill the void that was left when the team dealt Marcell Dareus to the Jaguars. The familiarity between head coach Sean McDermott and General Manager Brandon Beane from their time in Carolina likely played a role in the pursuit of Lotulelei whose impact should immediately be felt on the Bills run defense.

Trent Murphy (DE)(free agent – Redskins ) – Murphy was coming off a down season last year in which he was suspended 4 games for PED use and missed every game with a torn ACL. This was disappointing as Murphy had a productive 9 sack season in 2016 and was expected to contribute to the Redskins pass rush. When Murphy hit free agency, it was unknown what market he would have. He ended up landing a 3-year $21 million deal with the Bills. For the Bills, Murphy will play defensive end for the team. The Bills will seek to get more production both in the pass rush department and defending the run from the end position as Shaq Lawson and Jerry Hughes only combined for 8 sacks last season.

 Key Losses

Offense

Tyrod Taylor (QB)(traded to Browns) – No quarterback on the roster right now for the Bills is better than Tyrod Taylor. A.J McCarron has started 3 games in his career, Nathan Peterman was awful in his limited experience last year, and Josh Allen may be better than Taylor in the long term but more than likely not at this moment. Taylor was never going to be an elite quarterback, but he was more than capable of playing the position at a quality level and will be missed in Buffalo.

Defense

Preston Brown (LB)(signed with Bengals) – Bown was the league leader in tackles last season and during his tenure in Buffalo was a model of consistency leading the team in tackles in two out of his four seasons. He also started all but two games for the team the last four seasons. The Bills drafted linebacker Tremaine Edmunds in the first round. Edmunds will likely take over Brown’s role in the defense and with his skill set should be an instant impact rookie with little dropoff from Brown’s departure.  

 Team Analysis

The Bills were a surprise playoff team last season led by a strong defense and running game. Between the turnover at quarterback and the losses of Eric Wood and Richie Incognito along the offensive line and a receiving corps that may be the worst in the NFL, I expect Buffalo to take a step back in 2018 with an eye on the future with Josh Allen under center.

 New York Jets  

2018-19 Projected Finish: 4th

2017-18 Finish: 4th  

 Key Additions

Offense

Spencer Long (C)(free agent - Redskins) – Following the team's release of Nick Mangold in 2017 the Jets had little production from the center position. With that in mind, they went out and signed Spencer Long from the Redskins. Long is a significant upgrade from Wesley Johnson who manned the position in 2017. Long comes from a similar scheme in Washington so his transition should come along quickly. Long will be crucial in helping one of worst lines in the league in 2017 improve in hopes of protecting whoever is under center whether that be Josh McCown, Sam Darnold or Teddy Bridgewater.

Sam Darnold (QB)(draft, 1st round 3rd pick) – Sam Darnold slipping to the Jets wasn’t expected until the Browns surprised many by selecting Baker Mayfield first overall. For the Jets, they believed that Darnold would be gone by the time they picked – until he wasn’t. In Darnold, the Jets arguably got the top quarterback in the draft and one who should develop into a franchise quarterback – something the team was in desperate need. Whether Darnold plays this year is not a big deal as all eyes are towards the future. For the Jets, Darnold may very well be the answer to the team's prayers.

Defense

Trumaine Johnson (CB)(free agent - Rams) –  The Jets needed a cornerback, and they got the biggest fish on the free agent market in Johnson. With Johnson, the Jets are getting a talented press cornerback who uses his 6’2 frame to its fullest. Johnson also has turnover ability netting 18 interceptions since entering the league in 2012. The Jets had to splurge to get Johnson giving him a 5-year deal worth $72.5 million, but his impact should be felt immediately. Johnson will help form a solid secondary along with second-year safeties Marcus Maye and Jamal Adams.

 Key Losses

Offense

Austin Sefarian Jenkins (TE)(signed with Jaguars) – The loss of Jenkins may be one of the bigger ones for an offense with no clear successor at the position. Jenkins had good production last season with 50 receptions, 357 yards, and 3 touchdowns. Jenkins overcame personal struggles with alcohol to get back to the field and congrats to him for that. For the Jets, questions arise in who will take over at the position with two relative unknowns in 2017 fifth-round pick Jordan Leggett and 2018 fourth-round pick Chris Herndon.

Defense

Demario Davis (LB)(signed with Saints) – Davis had a really solid campaign with the Jets in 2017 turning that into a 3-year contract with the Saints. For the Jets, the loss of Davis is not as significant with the team signing linebacker Avery Williamson from the Titans to a similar deal. Overall, Davis’ loss is mitigated by the signing of Williamson, and the defense shouldn’t experience any setbacks due to his departure.

 Team Analysis

The Jets are a team focused not on competing right now but competing in the future. The team finally believes they have a franchise quarterback in Sam Darnold and they will make sure he is ready before they put him into the starting lineup. The team may not compete this year but if Darnold ends up being who they think he is, they will soon.

Read more analysis at:

2018 AFC South Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC North Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC West Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC East Team Analysis and Projections

[hunterbach]

2018 NBA Mock Draft

1.      Phoenix Suns: Deandre Ayton, C, Arizona

It seems like this pick is all but a foregone conclusion. Ayton goes to the Suns and stays in the state of Arizona. Ayton will be another building block for the Suns to go Along with Josh Jackson and Devin Booker.

2.      Sacramento Kings: Marvin Bagley III, F/C, Duke

To me, it seems the Kings will either select Luka Doncic or Marvin Bagley, and there have been mixed signals on whether or not the Kings are keen on Doncic. Either way, the Kings need an instant impact player, and Bagley can provide that.

3.      Atlanta Hawks: Luka Doncic, G, Real Madrid

Doncic could go anywhere from 1-4 with Memphis likely being his floor and Sacramento likely his ceiling. Atlanta seems like they will be deciding between Doncic and Jaren Jackson for the third pick. ESPN insider Adrian Wojnarowski “Woj” reported that Doncic had moved to the front of Atlanta’s draft conversations.

4.      Memphis Grizzlies: Jaren Jackson Jr., C, Michigan State

Jackson is a defensive monster whose 3 point shot is huge for today’s NBA. His ability to guard along the perimeter will also be tremendous toward his future success in the league. He could easily end up being the best player in the draft

5.      Dallas Mavericks: Mo Bamba, C, Texas

The Mavericks would be ecstatic if Doncic fell to them, but it seems unlikely that will happen. With what is left on the board for the Mavs it will come down to Bamba vs. Porter.

6.      Orlando Magic: Wendell Carter Jr, F/C, Duke

Hoops Habit had an excellent piece detailing the fit of Carter with the Magic and how Carter and Jonathan Isaac could grow together and the defensive potential the bring to Orlando will be significant. Its also known that the Magic have had Carter in for a workout, so there is interest in him.

7.      Chicago Bulls: Michael Porter Jr, F, Missouri

The Injury question mark is why Porter falls to #7 as he has an argument for the most talented player in the draft, but the questions regarding his back injury are very real. The Bulls seem like they love Porter and if available at 7 seems like they will be picking Porter.  

8.      Cleveland Cavaliers: Shai Gilgeous Alexander, PG, Kentucky

ESPN draft expert Jonathan Givony said that “If Michael Porter is gone, it seems to be a toss-up at the moment between Young and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for Cleveland at #8.” Givony gave Alexander the nod, and I do as well. Alexander has a few advantages on Sexton, the biggest being size. Alexander is 6’6 versus Sexton who is 6’1.5 and his wingspan 6’11.5 versus Sextons 6’7.25.  

9.      New York Knicks: Kevin Knox, F, Kentucky

The New York Post had a piece recently saying that the Knicks were serious about drafting Kentucky forward Kevin Knox after a recent workout in which Knox was said to have been terrific from an NBA source. Knox is the second youngest player in the draft and has sky-high potential but also fits the Knicks need for a wing.

10.  Philadelphia 76’ers: Mikal Bridges, F, Villanova

Mikal Bridges is a prototypical 3 and D wing and fits perfectly with the 76’ers. Bridges is an elite defender while also being an excellent shooter hitting 43.5% from 3 point range. The 76’ers need shooters to help space the floor with Ben Simmons having limited range.  

11.  Charlotte Hornets: Colin Sexton, PG, Alabama

At this point, it seems that Charlotte will take a point guard with the pick being Sexton. If Gilgeous Alexander were here, I believe he would be the pick, and there hasn’t been much buzz regarding their interest in Trae Young. With rumors swirling around Kemba Walker, it will be interesting to see if Charlotte could trade him for another lottery pick.

12.  Los Angeles Clippers: Trae Young, PG, Oklahoma

Young falling this far may not happen, but there are serious question marks on his measurable. his effort, and overall ability on the defensive side of the ball. At this point, it seems very possible Sexton and Gilgeous Alexander go in front of Young come draft night.

13.  Los Angeles Clippers: Lonnie Walker, SG, Miami

Walker’s stock is one that has risen throughout the draft process to the point that it could propel him all the way to the Sixers at the #10 spot. The Clippers look to remake their backcourt though Robert Williams seems as he could go here to replace DeAndre Jordan who appears likely to depart during free agency.  

14.  Denver Nuggets: Miles Bridges, F, Michigan State

Bridges is a strong player and an explosive athlete who can guard multiple positions in the league. Bridges is also a capable scorer with solid 3-point shooting which helps fill the Nuggets need for a wing.

15.  Washington Wizards: Robert Williams, F/C, Texas A&M

The Wizards just don’t have an athletic rim running big man on the roster currently. Williams changes that. Williams has a limited offensive game but with time could develop into a capable offensive center to complement his defensive abilities. John Wall will definitely appreciate this selection.

16.  Phoenix Suns: Zhaire Smith, SG, Texas Tech

Smith is an explosive athlete with a ready-made defensive game. An effective scorer in limited attempts, Smith profiles as defender of multiple positions in the league and his offensive game should grow steadily in his first few years with more opportunity.

17.  Milwaukee Bucks: Jerome Robinson, G, Boston College

Robinson’s stock has skyrocketed becoming a likely top 20 pick in the draft. As for his fit with the Bucks, Robinson is an excellent scorer with an effective 3 point stroke. At this point, the Bucks seem likely to take the best player available regardless of position.

18.  San Antonio Spurs: Donte DiVincenzo, SG, Villanova

DiVincenzo’s claim to fame was absolutely crushing the Final Four. He scored 15 against Kansas and then exploded for 31 versus Michigan shooting 5-7 from three-point range in that game. The Spurs seem like an excellent fit for DiVincenzo.

19.  Atlanta Hawks: Troy Brown, G/F, Oregon

Brown is a young and tantalizing prospect who is a versatile defender. He experienced some struggles on offense at Oregon but should develop more while in the league.

20.  Minnesota Timberwolves: Elie Okobo, PG, France

Okobo is a relative unknown to me, but all reports seem to place him solidly in the latter part of the first round. With some comparisons to Deron Williams, it appears the Wolves could take a gamble on the talented international.  

21.  Utah Jazz: Kevin Huerter, SG, Maryland

Huerter is a simple player as a threat on offense with a good 3-point stroke and an effort defender. He seems like a player who would fit nicely on the Jazz.

22.  Chicago Bulls: Chandler Hutchinson, F, Boise State

We know Hutchinson received a promise from a team it seems in the 21-30 range of the first round and many rumors are floating around that it is the Bulls. I’ll take the bait. Hutchinson is a pro-ready wing who immediately helps the Bulls, and at this point, that’s what the Bulls need.

23.  Indiana Pacers: Aaron Holiday, PG, UCLA

Both Darren Collison and Cory Joseph are free agents after this season making point guard an immediate need for the Pacers. Holiday is an effort defender with a nice 3-point stroke. It seems like he could flourish playing next to a star like Oladipo.

24.  Portland Trailblazers: Khyri Thomas, G, Creighton

Thomas is a really solid player and would be able to slide right in. He’ll be able to fill the role of a competent defender with good scoring ability and should be able to contend for minutes in the rotation early in his career.

25.Los Angeles Lakers: Mitchell Robinson, C, Chalmette HS (Chalmette, Louisiana)

The Lakers seem like they will either land Kawhi Leonard or LeBron – maybe even both – when the free agency period begins. Here, the Lakers take a gamble on Robinson. He didn’t play college ball this year after deciding to instead train for the NBA draft.

26.  Philadelphia 76’ers: Grayson Allen, G, Duke

With this pick, the 76’ers double down on shooting. Allen is a competitor and one of the most pro-ready players in the draft. He can make an immediate impact for the team by surrounding Ben Simmons with more offensive options to assist.  

27.  Boston Celtics: Moritz Wagner, F/C, Michigan

Wagner had a really solid postseason run for the Wolverines showcasing his abilities on the offensive end of the court and his rebounding on the defensive ends. There are a couple of questions that arise over his defense, but at this spot, the Celtics need to find a player who has the possibility of turning into something.

28.  Golden State Warriors: Jacob Evans III, F, Cincinnati

The Warriors don’t have a lot of holes on their roster. The only possible ones could come if the team doesn’t retain Patrick McCaw or Kevon Looney. With Evans, the champs receive a do-it-all forward with the ability to guard multiple positions and while also shooting 39.4% from 3.

29.  Brooklyn Nets: Hamidou Diallo, G, Kentucky

Diallo should have stayed in the draft last year, and it hurt his stock to come back to Kentucky, but his ceiling is exceptionally high. He is an explosive athlete who could be a very good 3 and D wing for the Nets.

30.  Atlanta Hawks: Josh Okogie, G, Georgia Tech

The Hawks stay in state with Georgia Tech’s Josh Okogie. Okogie is a two-way player who needs refinement on offense but should be a ready-made defender in the league. He helps add another defender on the wing for the Hawks making it two in this mock.

The NBA Draft is being held June 21, 2018, at 6:00pm (Central) in Brooklyn, NY and will be broadcast on ESPN. Free stream here. 

[hunterbach]

2018 AFC West Team Analysis and Projections

Kansas City Chiefs

2018-19 Projected Finish: 1st

2017-18 Finish: 1st

 Key Additions

Offense

Sammy Watkins (WR)(free agent - Rams) – The Chiefs moved quickly to sign Watkins to a 3 year $48 million contract as soon as free agency opened. A surprising signing to some. Watkins is coming off of a season with the Rams in which statistical production was down, but he played a pivotal role in the offensive success of the team. Most importantly Watkins played 15 games last season. Watkins’ addition is just another weapon for an already loaded offense including Kelce, Hill, and Hunt.

Chad Henne (QB)(free agent - Jaguars) -  An underrated signing for the Chiefs was that of backup quarterback Chad Henne. Henne had been with Jacksonville since 2012, but with the trade of Alex Smith and Patrick Mahomes now becoming the starter, the Chiefs needed a veteran signal caller to help not just the offense but also the development of Mahomes. Though you hope Henne is never forced into action, the Chiefs should feel comfortable if Henne was needed for a game or two.

Defense

Anthony Hitchens (LB)(free agent - Cowboys) –  Hitchens will be slotted next to Reggie Ragland in the Chiefs’ defense to give them a very promising duo in the middle of their defense this coming season. While capable in the passing game, Hitchens will shine in his ability to defend the run. His addition to a unit that struggled mightily in that category last season will be a big boost. Hitchens will help calm concerns about a unit entering 2018 with question marks along the defensive side of the ball.

 Key Losses

Offense

Alex Smith (QB)(traded to Redskins) – Alex Smith was fantastic last season and had it not been for defensive shortcomings the Chiefs likely would have advanced against the Titans. Anytime a QB has a career year and absolutely balls out its gonna be a loss, but the Chiefs felt so comfortable with Patrick Mahomes under center that they traded Smith to the Redskins. While it is a loss, it will be exciting to see Mahomes this season.

Defense

Marcus Peters (CB)(traded to Rams) – The trade of Marcus Peters is still baffling in my mind. The Chiefs had 2 seasons with the 5th year option and a possible 3rd with the franchise tag of control left on Peters. Even with that much control remaining, they still only fetched 4th round pick in 2018 and a 2nd in 2019. Beyond the poor trade compensation, Peters was unlikely to stay in KC. He seemed destined to return to California where he grew up so I can’t fault getting something in return for a player who could have left anyways. On the field, Peters will be hard to replace as he was a lockdown corner with massive potential to generate turnovers. The Chiefs defense should be improved but had Peters remained it could have been elite.

 Team Analysis

The Chiefs should be favored to win the division even though Alex Smith is gone and Mahomes is a relative unknown. With an experienced head coach, a solid offensive line, Eric Berry’s return on defense, draft additions Breeland Speaks, Dorian O’Daniel and Derrick Nnadi, and free agent additions Xavier Williams and Anthony Hitchens The Chiefs should see a significant improvement. They’re an overall deep team that should win the division in 2018.

  Los Angeles Chargers

2018-19 Projected Finish: 2nd  

2017-18 Finish: 2nd

 Key Additions

Offense

Mike Pouncey (C)(free agent – Dolphins) – Pouncey was released from the Dolphins following the acquisition of Daniel Kilgore. For Pouncey, the key to success for the upcoming season is the health of his hips. If he can avoid problems with his hips, he should be an excellent addition to the Chargers’ line. If healthy, the offense should see a noticeable improvement.

Virgil Green (TE)(free agent – Broncos) -  Virgil Green’s role expanded as soon as news broke that Hunter Henry went down with a torn ACL. Green never had a premier role in the Broncos offense, never recording more than 22 receptions in a season. Barring the signing of Antonio Gates, Green should see career highs in touchdowns, receptions, and yards.

Defense

Derwin James (S)(draft, 1st round 17th pick) – Derwin James is Gus Bradley’s new Kam Chancellor in the Chargers defense. James is a freak athlete who after a spectacular freshman year at Florida State was struck by injuries. He did, however, get back to the player he was in the second half of last season. For the Chargers, James’ athletic ability and size allows for him to cover tight ends and still be an absolute force in the run game. James will be an enforcer for a Chargers defense which should be one of the leagues best.

 Key Losses

Offense

Hunter Henry (TE)(injury) – After the Chargers informed Antonio Gates that they would not be bringing him back this season it became the expectation that Henry would take the next step this upcoming season. Unfortunately, he tore his ACL and will miss the entire season for the Chargers offense. The production the team would have received from Henry will need to be replaced from somewhere and figuring out where it's going to come from is the question.

Defense

Jeremiah Attaochu (DE)(free agent signed with 49’ers) –  Attaochu’s loss is really the only one on the Chargers defense. And even with his departure, it's unlikely that it will impact the team in any significant way. With Bosa and Ingram rushing the passer, the Chargers are unlikely to struggle getting to the quarterback.

 Team Analysis

The Chargers look like a really solid team from top to bottom, but there are two problems. First, they haven't beat the Chiefs in the last three years and second they always start the season it seems slow. If the team starts fast and at least splits with the Chiefs, they could win the division.

  Denver Broncos

2018-19 Projected Finish: 3rd  

2017-18 Finish: 4th

 Key Additions

Offense

Case Keenum (QB)(free agent - Vikings) – Case Keenum was signed by the Broncos on a 2 year deal leading some to expect the team would select a signal caller in the draft. That didn’t happen. Instead, the team selected a stud defender and made the commitment to Keenum at least for this season that this is his team. Keenum is coming off an excellent season in which he led the Vikings to the NFC championship game. Keenum is an upgrade to any signal caller the Broncos have had since Manning’s retirement. Expecting Keenum to perform to a similar level as last season isn’t a stretch. He’s a talented QB with a good supporting cast as well as an excellent defense behind him.

Jared Veldheer (OT)(trade- Cardinals) -   Veldheer was acquired for minimal draft compensation with the Cardinals. Veldheer had been on the left side for most of his time there, but last season the team moved him to the right side. After initial struggles during the first half of the season, Veldheer got better – that is before an injury ended his season. For the Broncos the hope is that Veldheer will lock down the right tackle position as it was a serious weak point for the team last season. Veldheer more than likely isn't a long-term answer at right tackle but he should be a quality stopgap.

Defense

Bradley Chubb (DE)(draft, 1st round, 5th pick) – Stud. That’s what Bradley Chubb is, and with him and Von Miller rushing, Chubb should get a lot of one on one opportunities allowing him a great shot at winning defensive rookie of the year. Long-term Chubb should be one of the better pass rushers in the league.

 Key Losses

Offense

C.J Anderson (RB)(cut by the team) – In my opinion, Anderson is a better running back than Devontae Booker, and the Broncos decision to cut Anderson in favor of Booker is puzzling. Though Royce Freeman, who was drafted in the third round by the team, has an opportunity to win the majority of snaps at running back and remove all memories of C.J Anderson.

Defense

Aqib Talib (CB)(trade to Rams) – Talib still has quality years left. He’s no longer the player we saw in the prime of his career, but he was still effective. It seems the trade of Talib was more about the amount of financial resources tied up in the defensive backfield rather than the quality of Talib’s play. With him gone the defense should still be one of the best units in the NFL especially with the talent along the defensive front seven.

 Team Analysis

With Keenum at Quarterback and Chubb and Miller on defense, the Broncos could be a sneaky pick to win the division. I just feel the roster lags behind that of the Chiefs and Chargers.

  Oakland Raiders

2018-19 Projected Finish: 4th

2017-18 Finish: 3rd

 Key Additions

Offense

Jordy Nelson (WR)(free agent - Packers) – Nelson played 15 games lasts season but without Aaron Rodgers struggled to connect with Brett Hundley. The Packers then cut Nelson, and the Raiders pounced, in turn, cutting Michael Crabtree. Nelson, prior to last season, recorded 3 straight seasons of more than 1,200 yards receiving. With the Raiders, and Derek Carr at quarterback, he should have a more productive season but its fair to wonder if he can reach the production of just two years ago now at age 33.

Kolton Miller (OT)(draft, 1st round 15th pick) -  Kolton Miller was a divisive prospect during the draft process. Some saw his measurables and athletic ability as reasons to be optimistic. Others saw his struggles with technique and inconsistent play as reasons to not take him. Miller seems likely to play right tackle this season before eventually taking over at left tackle for Donald Penn. I expect Miller to struggle in his rookie season. This year will be an adjustment to the NFL for Miller.

Defense

Tahi Whitehead (LB)(free agent - Lions) – Whitehead is coming off a really solid season for the Lions likely related to him shifting back to outside linebacker versus playing middle for the team. The Raiders got Whitehead on a one year deal. On a team that was in need of major defensive upgrades, Whitehead seems like a player who can play a significant role in a possible defensive turnaround for this Raiders defense.

 Key Losses

Offense

Michael Crabtree (WR)(cut by Team) – Crabtree is a 1,000 yard per season capable player. With Nelson, it seems like the production of Crabtree is matched. Seems like this decision was more of a personal preference by the Raider’s management for Nelson versus Crabtree.

Defense

T.J Carrie (CB)(free agent signed with Browns) – For a pass defense that struggled it seemed logical to keep Carrie. He was one of the teams best performers but departed to the Browns on 4 year, $3 million deal leaving an already questionable secondary even more so.

 Team Analysis

The Raiders are an unknown simply because of Jon Gruden leading the team. They were hyped last season as a Super Bowl contender but didn’t even come close. I expect Derek Carr to perform better as he never quite looked the same after returning from a back injury. Even with a healthier Carr, the team still has serious questions.

Stay tuned for more NFL analysis. In the meantime...

2018 AFC South Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC North Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC West Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC East Team Analysis and Projections

[hunterbach]

2018 AFC North Team Analysis and Projections

AFC North Division on tap for review today. Let’s get to it.

 Pittsburgh Steelers

2018-19 Projected Finish: 1st

2017-18 Finish: 1st

 Key Additions

Offense

Mason Rudolph (QB)(draft, round 3rd pick 76) –  The Rudolph pick isn’t necessarily about this year or even about next, but it's about the next five to ten years if Rudolph pans out. Rudolph is an extremely talented signal caller who has really nice deep ball touch and showed improvement every year at Oklahoma State. With Ben Roethlisberger entering the final few years of his career its important for the Steelers to have a succession plan at quarterback and I believe Rudolph can be that for the franchise.

James Washington (WR)(draft, round 2nd pick 60) -  Washington, from Oklahoma State, was maybe the best deep ball receiver in the class. For the Steelers, Washington slides into the number 3 receiver role vacant due to the trade of Martavis Bryant and the injury to Eli Rodgers. I believe Washington, much like Juju Smith-Schuester, should see immediate success his rookie year with the amount of single coverage he’ll see thanks to the attention being paid to Antonio Brown and Smith-Schuester.

Defense

Morgan Burnett (S)(free agent - Packers) –  Burnett was a versatile safety for the Packers last season. It was surprising the team let him sign away on such an affordable deal, but the Packers loss is the Steelers gain. Burnett will look to complement entrenched starter Sean Davis and rookie Terrell Edmunds. Burnett also looks poised to get some looks at linebacker in dime packages. Overall Burnett is a versatile playmaker who should help a defense seeking to minimize the impact lost by Ryan Shazier’s injury.

 Key Losses

Offense

Chris Hubbard (OT)(signed with Cleveland) –  Hubbard was a swing tackle who was a nice fill in for Marcus Gilbert due to injuries and suspension last season. His loss is not substantial, but it will be important for the team to figure out who will take over his role in the offense now that he is with Cleveland.

Defense

Ryan Shazier (LB)(Injury) – Shazier was the heart and soul of the Steelers defense. He was an exceptional football player who unfortunately experienced a severe injury. Because of the type of guy Shazier is, everyone is cheering for him to kick ass in rehab. For Shazier, being able to live a normal life is far more important than ever playing football again. If he is able to play football again, that would be amazing. All of us are cheering for him. On the football side, the Steelers are not going to be able to replace Shazier and his ability. The best they could do is try to mask his loss. The defense should still be good, but Shazier’s loss is significant for the unit.  

 Team Analysis

The Steelers have won the division the last two seasons and therefore should be the favorite to win it again. The only question is how large of an impact will Ryan Shazier

  Baltimore Ravens

2018-19 Projected Finish: 2nd  

2017-18 Finish: 2nd

 Key Additions

Offense

Lamar Jackson (QB)(draft, round 1st pick 32) – Jackson is the Ravens quarterback of the future. The team is unlikely to rush Jackson into the starting lineup this season as it will be more important for him to learn this season. Jackson is an electric playmaker with inconsistent mechanics. If utilized properly, Jackson will be really fun to watch – maybe this season but likely next.

Michael Crabtree (WR)(free agent – Raiders) – Crabtree will become Baltimore’s number one receiver after being cut by the Raiders. Crabtree will lead a newly revamped wide receiver corps including new additions Willie Snead and John Brown. I would expect Crabtree will eclipse the 1,000-yard mark with Baltimore this season.

Hayden Hurst (TE)(draft, 1st round 25th pick) – Hurst has an interesting story. Before he played football at South Carolina, he played two seasons of Minor League Baseball for the Pirates organization. Hurst is old for a rookie turning 25 in August, but his game is well rounded and should easily translate to the pros. Hurst should fill a serious void in an offense that lacked a playmaker at the tight end position last season.

 Key Losses

Offense

Mike Wallace (WR)(signed with Eagles) – Wallace was a consistent player for the Ravens the last two seasons and his vertical ability will need to be replaced by John Brown. Wallace is not the player he once was, but he was consistent for the offense and will likely be missed this coming season.

Ryan Jensen (C)(signed with Buccaneers) – Jensen was a revelation for the Ravens last year as he was the anchor for a solid offensive line. Jensen will be missed as none of his possible replacements seem like they will play as well as Jensen did this past season.

 Team Analysis

The Ravens came one game away from the playoffs last season. The roster looks even better this year with what seems to be a solid draft class and a revamped receiving core. The division should be a battle between the Ravens and the Steelers.

  Cincinnati Bengals

2018-19 Projected Finish: 3rd  

2017-18 Finish: 3rd  

 Key Additions

Offense

Cordy Glenn (OT)(trade with Bills) – The Bills acquired Glenn for a swap of firsts, a fifth, and sixth-round draft pick. Glenn filled an obvious hole for the Bengals who have needed a left tackle after Andrew Whitworth departed for Los Angeles last season. Glenn is a quality tackle who will be an upgrade for the team. The biggest question mark surrounding Glenn will be his health after only playing 17 games the last two seasons.

Billy Price (C)(draft, round 1st pick 21) -   Price was arguably the top center in the draft but his stock was uncertain after suffering a partially torn pec at the combine. The Bengals highest priority need along the offensive line was center. Price is a day one starter for the Bengals who I expect to perform and at a high level. With both Price and Glenn, the offensive line for the team should be much improved.

Defense

Preston Brown (LB)(free agent – Bills ) – Brown is another 1-year flier for the Bengals at the linebacker position. Brown is a solid if unspectacular player who should be leaned on with Vontaze Burfict again suspended for the start of the season.

 Key Losses

Offense

Russell Bodine (C)(signed with Bills) – Bengals fans have been annoyed by the Bengals’ reluctance to go away from Bodine for the last four years. Well, it finally happened. Bodine struggled consistently at the pivot the last four years. Billy Price should step in and be at least as effective if not better as Bodine was for the team.

Defense

Chris Smith (DE)(signed with Browns) – Smith isn’t a significant loss for the Bengals defense though he was effective in the limited snaps he played last season for the team. His production should be replaced by the improvements from second-year pros Jordan Willis and Carl Lawson along with rookie defensive end Sam Hubbard.

 Team Analysis

The Bengals are a team that could just as easily win the division as finish in third. They are a true wildcard. If the defense takes strides and Andy Dalton plays at the MVP level we have seen before, and the offensive line takes the necessary strides, The Bengals could win the division. However, if roster talent holds true, the Ravens and Steelers are likely to finish ahead of them.

 Cleveland Browns

2018-19 Projected Finish: 4th

2017-18 Finish: 4th

 Key Additions

Offense

Jarvis Landry (WR)(trade with Dolphins ) – The Browns acquired Landry and proceeded to sign him to a massive 5-year $75.5 million contract. Landry has been a machine in the slot over the last 4 years recording 114 receptions last season. For Landry, the question is whether he can be more than a slot receiver who racks up receptions and whether he can turn into a true WR 1.

Tyrod Taylor (QB)(trade with Bills) -  Tyrod Taylor may be the best quarterback the Browns have had in a while and is the perfect bridge quarterback for the Browns until Baker Mayfield is ready. Taylor is an underrated signal-caller who might not be a person who goes out and wins the game but he certainly won't lose it for the Browns.

Defense

T.J Carrie (CB)(free agent - Raiders) –  Carrie is coming off a really solid season last year for the Raiders. He was highly regarded by PFF coming in with an 84.3. Carrie proceeded to sign a 4-year deal with the Browns. The team hopes that Carrie continues to further build upon his successful campaign last year partnering with Denzel Ward to give the Browns a solid cornerback tandem.

 Key Losses

Offense

Joe Thomas(OT)(retirement) – The Browns lost their stalwart left tackle this offseason. He will surely be a hall of famer. There is no way to replace Thomas. He was a 10-time pro bowler and a 9-time all pro. He had not missed a snap until tearing his triceps last seasons. The Browns will seek to fill the void left by Thomas with second-round pick Austin Corbett. Corbett is a good player, but it's unlikely he’ll completely fill the void.

Defense

Danny Shelton (DT)(trade to Browns) –  Shelton was not a scheme fit for Browns defensive coordinator Gregg Williams. He was a limited 2-down defender for the Browns leading to the team trading him. Overall, Shelton is not a significant loss for the Browns defense and will have minimal impact on whether the unit will be successful in 2018.

 Team Analysis

This Browns team has the talent to win 5-7 games this season, but when you finish 0-16, I'm sorry to say I have to pick you as the fourth best team in the division. I expect turnaround but I Rome wasn’t built in a day.

Stay tuned for more NFL analysis. In the meantime check out 

2018 AFC South Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC North Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC West Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC East Team Analysis and Projections

[hunterbach]

2018 AFC South Team Analysis and Projections

After winning the division two years in a row with a 9-7 record, the Texans suffered an injury-plagued season resulting in a disappointing 4-12 finish. The Jaguars proceeded to claim the division with a 10-6 record battling to the very end against a Titans squad which finished 9-7 for the second year in a row while the Colts looked lost without Andrew Luck under center stumbling to a 4-12 record.

In 2018 the AFC South looks to be competitive from top to bottom. The Jaguars return almost everyone from a team which advanced to the AFC title game. As for the Titans, they will seek to repeat the success from last year and improve upon it under first-year head coach Mike Vrabel. Both the Texans and Colts success relies on quarterbacks coming off injuries – Watson’s torn ACL and Lucks shoulder. If both are healthy, each team has as good of a chance as any in the division to win it.

Jacksonville Jaguars

2018-19 Projected Finish: 1st

2017-18 Finish: 1st

Key Additions

Offense

Andrew Norwell (OG)(free agent - Panthers) – Norwell was the crown jewel of the Jaguars free agent class coming off a first-team All-Pro season. Norwell was connected to the Giants prior to the start of free agency, but the Jaguars came out of nowhere to sign him showing they will continue with the smashmouth offensive style which propelled them to the AFC title game.

Austin Sefarian-Jenkins (TE)(free agent - Jets) -  Sefarian-Jenkins was a second-round pick coming out of the University Of Washington. Expectations were high, but he failed to live up to them struggling to stay on the field for only 16 games in his first two seasons and later having personal struggles with alcohol. Sefarian-Jenkins seems to have overcome these struggles to have a bounce-back season with the Jets. His 50 catches, 357 yards, and 3 touchdowns resulted in a 2 year deal with the Jaguars. Jenkins is not the blocker that Mercedes Lewis was, but he should be an improvement in the pass-catching department on an offense which was deprived of it a year ago. I would expect increased production from Sefarian-Jenkins in the Jaguars offense as he should be a safety valve for quarterback Blake Bortles. Overall Sefarian-Jenkins was a quality signing for an offense in need of playmaking ability from the tight-end position.  

Defense

D.J Hayden (CB)(free agent - Lions) – When Aaron Colvin signed with the Texans, it left a void on one of the leagues best defenses at the nickel cornerback position. The Jaguars answered by signing D.J Hayden to a 3-year deal. Hayden was drafted by the Raiders in the 1st round in 2013. After 4 years with the Raiders Hayden signed with the Lions last offseason becoming the team's nickel corner. Hayden had an up and down season with the Lions. Expecting a Pro Bowl season from Hayden would be a mistake but expecting improvement by being surrounded by 2 All Pro’s in Bouye and Ramsey would be reasonable. Hayden is unlikely to be as good as Colvin was last year but he should be able to fill the nickel corner role adequately.

Key Losses

Offense

Allen Robinson (WR)(Signed with Bears) – Robinson missed all but the first game of last season with a torn ACL. Of course, it hurts anytime you lose a receiver of Robinson’s caliber, but the Jaguars still made the AFC championship game and also scored 45 points on the Steelers in the playoffs.  Will it hurt not having Robinson? Sure, but the Jaguars change in offensive philosophy may have led to them allowing Robinson to walk so easily.

Defense

Aaron Colvin (CB)(Signed with Texans) – Colvin was an excellent slot cornerback for the Jaguars last season and was an underrated part of one of the top defenses in the league. The Jag’s will seek to replace Colvin with D.J Hayden, and that should be a downgrade but overall shouldn’t impact the defense significantly.

 Team Analysis

The Jaguars finally burst onto the scene last year getting all the way to the AFC Championship game on the backs of a ground and pound offense (to minimize possible turnovers by Blake Bortles) and a loaded defense with the most swagger in the NFL. The Jaguars look poised to repeat their success from last year after a solid free agency period and draft. The Jaguars will be the favorite to win the division (as they should be) and I would expect them to do just that in 2018.

  Houston Texans

2018-19 Projected Finish: 2nd

2017-18 Finish: 4th  

 Key Additions

Offense

Zach Fulton (OG/C)(free agent - Chiefs ) – Fulton played in 31 of the possible 32 games the last two seasons and started 24 of them. Fulton showed an average to slightly above average ability to play both guard and center for the Chiefs. With Deshaun Watson coming off a torn ACL, the Texans made it a priority to upgrade the offensive line, and with Zach Fulton, the team got a player who, barring injury, should start at left guard

Senio Kelmete (OG)(free agent - Saints) -   Kelmete has played in 31 games the last 2 years starting 17 of them. Kelmete provides a steady presence with the possibility to start at guard along with free agent addition Zach Fulton. Though not a PFF darling, ask any Saints fan and his play is better than his PFF rating would indicate. Kelmete is another welcome addition to an offensive line that needed improvement.

Defense

Aaron Colvin (CB)(free agent- Jaguars) – The Texans ranked 24th in passing yards allowed per game defensively after ranking 1st in 2016. Colvin was a big part of Jacksonville’s defensive success last season manning the nickel corner role and playing a damn well at it. Seeing where Colvin will play in the defense, whether it be as a nickel or outside corner, will be interesting to see if he can sustain his success. If the Texans are to improve from last season’s defensive shortcoming, Colvin should play a pivotal role in it.

Tyrann Mathieu (S)(free agent – Cardinals) The Honey Badger becoming available was a bit shocking as he had just led the NFL in defensive snaps played last year. Nonetheless, the Cardinals parted ways with Mathieu. The Cardinals loss is the Texans gain. Mathieu figures to start at safety for the Texans. The additions of Colvin and Mathieu should contribute to the Texans defensive turnaround.

Key Losses

Offense

C.J Fiedorowicz (TE)(Cut by the team) – Fiedorowicz was released by the team after suffering multiple concussions last season and throughout his career. He decided that for his wellbeing, he should stop playing football, and good for him on making that decision. On the football side, his loss means the Texans are that much thinner at the Tight End position heading into next season.

Defense

Brian Cushing (LB)(Cut by the team) – Cushing had been a stalwart of the Texans defense for years, but after last season’s 10 game suspension for PED’s and declining play, the Texans felt that Cushing didn’t warrant the cap hit for next season. With the emergence of rookies Dylan Cole and Zach Cunningham, it seems that Cushing was deemed even more expendable. The Defense should not skip a beat next season without Cushing.

 Team Analysis

The defense for the Texans is no Joke. The additions of Colvin, Mathieu and third round safety Justin Reid, as well as the return of key players from injuries, should lead the unit to again being one of the NFL’s best. On the offensive side of the ball, the Texans offensive line and the health of Deshaun Watson will be keys to the Texans’ offensive success. The Texans have the ability to win this division, but I find it more likely that they will battle with the Titans for 2nd or 3rd and a wild card spot.

 Tennessee Titans

2018-19 Projected Finish: 3rd  

2017-18 Finish: 2nd

 Key Additions

Offense

Dion Lewis (RB)(free agent - Patriots) – Out is DeMarco Murray in is Dion Lewis. The Titans signed Lewis on a 4 year deal worth around $20 million. Lewis is coming off a season in which he averaged 5.0 yards a carry and 6.7 yards a reception.

Defense

Malcolm Butler (CB)(free agent - Patriots) – The Titans decided to go back to Foxborough to help their 25th ranked passing defense. After getting Logan Ryan last year, the Titans handed Malcolm Butler a five-year deal. Butler, of course, ended last season on a low note after being benched during the super bowl – an instance which still has not been explained. Butler is coming off an up and down 2017 after being an all-pro in 2016. The Titans are hoping they get the all-pro version to help their 25th ranked defense. Butler should have a bounce-back season under new head coach Mike Vrabel and hopefully, shadow opposing teams No. 1 week in and week out.

 Key Losses

Offense

DeMarco Murray (RB)(Remains Unsigned) – Murray being cut by the Titans was seen coming for a while after a season in which his production was down. It made both financial sense and long-term sense to cut Murray and move on to Derrick Henry who had asserted himself as the best running back on the roster. The Titans then turned to New England to find a complementary back to Henry with Dion Lewis who played very well last season.  

Defense

Avery Williamson (LB)(Signed with Jets) – Williamson is a really solid run-stopping linebacker who definitely has his lapses in pass coverage. With the team having Jayon Brown in the wings whose specialty is pass coverage and drafting Raashan Evans in the first round, the team has more than adequate options to replace Williamson. Overall the loss of Williamson is not one of significance for this defense going forward.

Team Analysis

The Titans could easily win this division next season, but the competition will be fierce between a Jaguars team and a Texans team returning star quarterback Deshaun Watson for a full season. I expect the Titans will finish 2nd or 3rd in the division next season with the Jag’s winning it.

 Indianapolis Colts

2018-19 Projected Finish: 4th

2017-18 Finish: 3rd  

 Key Additions

Offense

Quenton Nelson (OG)(draft, 1st round 6th pick) – The Colts took the best offensive linemen in the draft and maybe the best guard prospect in the last decade in Nelson. With Nelson, Kelly, Castonzo and 2nd round pick Offensive Guard Braden Smith, the Colts offensive line should be a solid unit.  Nelson should immediately assert himself as one of the best guards in the NFL in his rookie season and hopefully, for the Colts, lock down his spot along the line for the next decade.

Eric Ebron (TE)(free agent - Lions) -  Ebron never quite lived up to his lofty draft status, but he was a consistent producer following his rookie season recording 47 or more receptions each of the last 3 years. The Lions cut Ebron because he wasn’t worth his contract. The 2-year deal worth $13 million the Colts signed him to should see him play up to the value of the new contract. Expecting Ebron to produce around 50 receptions and 600 yards this coming season isn't a stretch by any means.

Defense

Darius Leonard (draft, 2nd round 4th pick) –  The Colts made relatively few moves pertaining to additions on the defensive side of the ball but one piece added was linebacker Darius Leonard of South Carolina State. Leonard is an explosive playmaker who should be able to help a struggling defense. Leonard’s athleticism should allow him to help cover tight ends in the NFL as well as be a significant asset in his ability to stop the run.

 Key Losses

Offense

Frank Gore (RB)(Signed with Dolphins) – Frank Gore has been the Colts bell-cow back for the last 3 seasons and handled the ball 784 times. He was also available week in and week out starting all 48 games the last 3 seasons for the team. The biggest concern with losing Gore is whether the Colts’ backs will be as dependable as the future hall of famer was for the team.  

Defense

Barkevious Mingo (LB)(Signed with Seahawks) – Mingo had a solid season last year for the Colts defense. On a defense as bad as the Colts, a loss of any player as solid as Mingo is a loss. Mingo was not deemed a fit by Colts management as the team is switching schemes for the upcoming season. Overall the Colts defense will struggle again this season, but Mingo’s impact would have been minimal for the unit.

 Team Analysis

Andrew Luck’s shoulder is what this season for the Colts depends on. If he is unable to go again, the Colts will turn to Jacoby Brisett who is a good fill in but not close to the talent of Andrew Luck. The defense will once again struggle. Overall the Colts seem the most likely to finish last in the AFC South division.

 Stay tuned for upcoming analysis of the other divisions in the NFL. In the mean time check out:

2018 AFC South Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC North Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC West Team Analysis and Projections

2018 AFC East Team Analysis and Projections

[hunterbach]

The Mets Need a Change (or Several)

The New York Mets, after an 11-1 start out of the gate, have limped to an 18-37 record since then. The team has struggles everywhere. Inconsistent starting pitching, a bullpen which seems to implode almost any game in which the team seems to have a lead, and the offense is awful failing to produce runs even when deGrom throws a masterful game, both the offense and the bullpen fail to support him.

How did the team get to this point and where do they go from here? Looking at the Mets roster as it is currently constructed, there is 7 players you could say that could be pieces to build around for future contention - Noah Syndergaard, Jacob deGrom, Seth Lugo, Robert Gsellman, Amed Rosario, Brandon Nimmo and Michael Conforto (despite his struggles this season he showed very well last year before his shoulder injury).

By way of the farm system, the Mets have a few promising prospects in Shortstop Andres Gimenez, Left Handed Pitcher David Peterson, Right Handed Pitcher Justin Dunn, and First Basemen Peter Alonso. It will also be interesting monitoring 2016 first round pick Anthony Kay this year as he is returning from Tommy John Surgery and this year is his first season of throwing professionally. Jared Kelenic who the team selected number 6 overall in the 2018 MLB draft will also be important to the teams future. He has significant potential to be a legitimate five-tool player. Though the team has a few promising prospects overall, the farm system is among the worst in the league with both minorleagueball.com and bleacherreport.com ranking the system 28th.

The Mets have money tied up in outfielders who are either failing to stay healthy (Cespedes) or failing to produce (Cespedes and Bruce). In Bruce’s case, he is batting a paltry .216, has a .327 slugging percentage, and an OPS of .624. Bruce was just signed this offseason to a 3-year deal worth $39 million and has 2 years worth $28 million remaining after this season. As for Cespedes he is batting .255, slugging .474, and has an OPS of .790. Prior to the 2017 season, Cespedes was signed to a 4-year deal worth $110 million. After this season he will have 2 years and $58.5 million remaining on the deal. Between the two the Mets have $86.5 million owed to them over the next two seasons. That’s not all. Overall, reflecting on the Mets offseason signings, its amazing at how little the team has gotten from their signings including Adrian Gonzalez (who the team recently released), Jason Vargas (who has pitched to the tune of a 7.71 ERA in 30.1 innings pitched), and Anthony Swarzak (who has due to injury pitched only 5.1 inning with a 3.38 ERA and 1.31 WHIP).  Todd Frazier may be the only free agent signed who has lived up to his contract. He signed a 2-year contract worth $17 million. While he will never hit for average, his defense and leadership along with a .411 slugging percentage and a .745 OPS have allowed Frazier to be worth his contract to this point.

Where does the team go from here? There are a few options. But something that is certain is that changes need to be made. One option that has been discussed is to replenish the farm system by trading one of the aces on the pitching staff, either deGrom or Syndergaard. deGrom seems to be the preferred candidate as Syndergaard is currently injured, deGrom turns 30 on June 19th, and deGrom is pitching at a Cy Young caliber level with a 1.55 ERA and 1.01 WHIP.

deGrom’s value will never be higher and he is under team control for another two seasons. This means he won’t be a half year rental for any squad acquiring him. Interested teams could include the Dodgers, Twins, Rockies, Yankees, Brewers, Braves and maybe more. deGrom likely would net the team at least a 4-5 quality prospects helping to replenish a top-heavy farm system. However, a trade at this point seems unlikely.

The team should also look to trade second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and reliever Jeurys Famillia. Each could net the team an additional few prospects with promise.

Overall, until the Mets get the finances in line (which will occur when contracts like Vargas, Cespedes, and Bruce are off the books in 2 more years) and develop better talent both through the draft and through the international free agent market, the team won’t be competing anytime soon. This is especially true with the Phillies and Braves seemingly on the upswing. The Mets are closer to the last place Marlins than the division-leading Braves (who despite recent promotions still have a loaded farm system that is top five in the league). The Mets need to make some changes, and maybe that begins at the top with replacing Sandy Alderson who has failed both in player development and in free agency.  

[hunterbach]

2015-2016 Early Division Winner Predictions by Hunter Maxwell

AFC AFC East – New England Patriots – I think everyone agrees there is little doubt it will be the reigning champs do win the division. They had a good draft and still have Tom Brady. These both lead to me slotting them as division winners. AFC West - Kansas City Chiefs – The Chiefs were setback by a lot of injuries last year. They get Derrick Johnson and Mike DeVito back. This helps an already talented defensive unit. They also drafted very well. These factors together should allow the Chiefs to lay claim to the AFC West crown. AFC North - Cincinnati Bengals – Another division crown for the Bengal’s and maybe the elusive playoff win. The Bengals have an excellent defense and now a great running game. I believe the Bengals are ahead of everybody in their division and should win it comfortably. AFC South – Houston Texans – One of the best drafts belonged to the Houston Texans. They added an excellent corner and a starting caliber middle linebacker in rounds 1 and 2. They then added a starting wide receiver in the third. This paired with an excellent offseason will put the Texans back atop the AFC South again. Wild Card 1 – Indianapolis Colts – The Colts are good enough to make it the playoffs with Andrew Luck alone. I believe they just don’t have enough to beat the Texans out for the division. Wild Card 2 – Buffalo Bills – The Bills have only improved this offseason. Taking a top 5 defense from last season and adding Charles Clay, Percy Harvin, and Lesean McCoy to the offense. There is no excuse for them not to go the postseason.

NFC NFC East - Dallas Cowboys – The Boys reign supreme in the East once more. They’ve added the necessary pieces to the defense to generate pressure and still have the best line in football. Though they may not be in Super Bowl contention, they are more than capable of winning the division. NFC West – Arizona Cardinals – This may be the hardest division to pick. I like the Cards because they should be healthy this season. They added Mike Lupati and drafted D.J Humphries. This solidifies an offensive line that needs to protect Carson Palmer. I expect nothing but great things for the Cardinals. NFC North – Green Bay Packers – The Pack had a good off season again and a good draft. This should once more be a season of title contention for the Pack. NFC South – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – In year 2 of the Lovie Smith regime and now with Jameis Winston at the helm. The Buccaneers should definitely be improved on offense. But they also should be highly improved on defense. These should factor into the Buccaneers taking the NFC South. Wild Card 1 – Seattle Seahawks – You can honestly take your pick at who will win the NFC West. It will be a bloodbath this year. The Seahawks essentially lost nothing from their Super Bowl run. And now they added Jimmy Graham. These factors should propel the Seahawks to the postseason. Wild Card 2 – Minnesota Vikings – The Vikings are a team on the rise. Adding AP back to the starting lineup alone should propel them to .500. Add in the drafting of Trae Waynes and Eric Kendrick to a blossoming D. The Vikes will once again be back in the playoffs.

[hunterbach]

3 Most Likely AP Trade Destinations

We are all aware of the situation in Minnesota. The Vikings and their all-pro running back, Adrian Peterson, are in a standoff. The Vikings are saying that they will not trade Peterson and that the fans should expect the all-pro running back in a Vikings uniform this season. But if there’s a time a deal will be struck, it will be during the draft. Here are the three teams that still in the running for Peterson and how his addition would affect each team’s fortune in the 2015 NFL season.

Jacksonville Jaguars- The Jags are a team on the rise. They have their apparent franchise quarterback in Blake Bortles. They have a young receiving corps and they made additions to the o-line to help a unit that struggled last season. The only thing missing for this unit is the running back. They have solid number 2 option in Toby Gerhart and Denard Robinson but no dynamic number one. Adrian Peterson can be that guy. This addition would take pressure off Bortles and helps in the young quarterback’s development. With the current state of the offense, adding AP could make this offense very effective, maybe even deadly. This would give the Jaguars flexibility in the later rounds without having to select a running back. I believe this move alone would improve the Jaguars by 3 wins at least for the 2015 campaign. Add 3 wins AP would bring to the 3 wins the already improved offense should bring, and the Jags end 2015 over 500.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers- The Bucs are the next team rumored to be in the AP sweeps. This trade scenario is less likely due to Doug Martin being in Tampa. Martin had an excellent rookie campaign but has not been able to reach that level since. His lack of production is mostly the product of a poor offensive line. I also just don’t see Tampa’s true interest in acquiring Peterson. None the less, if Peterson were to be traded to Tampa he alone adds an additional 2-4 wins.

Arizona Cardinals- The Cards, in my opinion, are the most likely out of all trade partners. The Cardinals struggled mightily in 2014 on offense due to being so one dimensional. Part of this was due to Andre Ellington’s injuries. But the reason I like this scenario is because the one-two punch of Ellington and Peterson would just be unfair. The Cardinals would now have a dominant contact back and an excellent pass catching back. This also makes the winner of the NFC West division even more of a toss-up between the Seahawks and the Cardinals. Adrian Peterson makes Arizona a 13-3 team adding an additional 2 wins over last season. I believe this move would also make the Cardinals a preseason pick to be one of the Super Bowl participants. 

[hunterbach]

Question of the Week

I received the following question from a reader about the Mock Draft:

Q: Where do you sit on the analytics fence? Are you driven by it, or do you prefer the tape, or both?

A: I believe analytics are vital to the placement of a player within the mock, but so is game film. If I had to pick I believe that film is probably more vital to the process but analytics helps to round out my evaluation process for the mock. Basically you cannot have one without the other.

[hunterbach]

2015 NFL Mock Draft v1.0 - Picks 11-32

This post is a follow up of my last one in which i posted picks 1-10 if you missed it. Now lets begin with 11-32.

11. Minnesota Vikings - Devante Parker, Louisville WR - Sometimes you just have to please your franchise quarterback. That is exactly what this selection does. Mike Wallace, Devante Parker and a healthy Kyle Rudolph should be quite a formidable passing attack add in AP and the Vikes will put up some serious points in 2015.

12. Cleveland Browns - Danny Shelton, Washington NT - A true nose tackle to bolster a soft Browns unit. I believe the first of Cleveland’s two selections will be used on a defensive player and Shelton is exactly what the Browns need to begin their goal of getting into the postseason.

13. New Orleans Saints - Vic Beasley, OLB Clemson - The Saints lacked true explosive players on the edge last season. This led to their defense being dismantled by opposing offenses on multiple occasions. The addition of Beasley will help pressure quarterbacks and help this struggling defensive unit. Rob Ryan will be able to coach Beasley into a dominant 1st year defender.

14. Miami Dolphins- Trae Waynes, Michigan State CB - With this pick the Fins add a No2 corner opposite of Brent Grimes. This improves an already good passing defense. With an even better secondary the pass rushers will have even more opportunities to hit opposing quarterbacks. Add to that being in a division with Tom Brady, improving the secondary always helps.

15. San Francisco 49ers - La’el Collins, LSU OT/G - Collins is an excellent and very versatile. He has incredible strength and is technically savvy. He will be an excellent selection to immediately step in after losing Lupati in free agency. 

16. Houston Texans - Randy Gregory, Nebraska OLB/DE - This makes an already scary unit in Houston into being just terrifying. Imagine a healthy Jadeveon Clowney, Randy Gregory, JJ Watt, Brian Cushing and Vince Wilfork. The best thing to do in a division with Andrew Luck is to make it so he doesn’t have the chance to throw the ball. This is exactly what Gregory does.

17. San Diego Chargers - Todd Gurley, Georgia RB - With the departure of Ryan Matthews, the Bolts are incredibly thin at the running back position. Had Gurley not been suspended and then gotten hurt he would be a consensus top 5 to 10 pick this year. This will be a steal for the Chargers with the immense amount of talent Gurley has.

18. Kansas City Chiefs - Cameron Irving, Florida State OT/G/C - The loss of Rodney Hudson to free agency was bad but with this selection the Chiefs bring in a new talented Seminole; the incredibly versatile Cameron Irving. Cameron very well may have the ability to play any position along the offensive line. This selection helps the passing game and the running game and adds some stability along the offensive line for the Chiefs.

19. Cleveland Browns (via Buffalo) - Breshad Perriman, Central Florida WR - The second of the Browns selections will now be used on a receiver, a true number 1. Dwayne Bowe and Brian Hartline are good number 2 options but not number 1s. Perriman has helped his stock incredibly with his combine and pro day performances. The Browns will now be able to rely on the passing game in the 2015 campaign.

20. Philadelphia Eagles - Landon Collins, Alabama S - It is a logical choice to add to an already talented defense, a thumper such as Collins. With this selection you also add a leader to a young defense that should be pretty stellar next season.

21. Cincinnati Bengals - D.J Humphries, Florida OT - Humphries has been a fast riser on others mock drafts. He is a tough player with great technique and would provide stability along the Bengal’s line. He is a vicious player which will be a great fit in the Cincinnati scheme.

22. Pittsburgh Steelers - Bud Dupree, Kentucky OLB/DE - This selection is a great one for the Steelers because Dupree is a player who could just be a phenomenal pro. His exceptional speed and run stopping ability is tremendous. His pass rushing ability is something that needs to be worked on. Take nothing away from him because his combine and pro day workouts were exceptional and he should excel in Pittsburgh.

23. Detroit Lions - Malcolm Brown, Texas DT - If Humphries was available I would have mocked him here but he isn’t so the Lions continue to build their defensive line by adding the talented Malcolm Brown. Brown along with the incredibly talented Haloti Ngata should help ease the transition of Suh and Fairley leaving in free agency. With this selection Detroit should again be a very good defensive unit in 2015.

24. Arizona Cardinals - Marcus Peters, Washington CB - The Ccardinals lost Cromartie in free agency but replace him with the best pure cover corner in the draft, Marcus Peters. People may have red flags after his dismissal but it looks like that incident is now behind him. This selection should again allow the Cardinals to have a dominant pass defense. Arizona should be in the post season again in 2015.

25. Carolina Panthers - T.J. Clemmings, Pittsburgh OT - This selection is incredibly simple for the Panthers; protect your franchise quarterback. The Panthers struggled mightily in protecting Cam Newton last year. They got better near the end of the season but still need help. With the selection of T.J. Clemmings a lot of problems go away. This is because with Newton protected the offense should be more fluid and they should now be able to play at a high level again in 2015.

26. Baltimore Ravens - Melvin Gordon, Wisconsin RB - The Ravens are an unpredictable team some years so I truly don’t know about this selection. However, with Forsett turning 30 in October I think the Ravens just want to have a plan in place.  That's where the drafting of the incredibly talented Melvin Gordon helps. I believe that Gordon has a good chance to rise to stardom in Baltimore and I think this is truly the right selection for Baltimore.

27. Dallas Cowboys - Eddie Goldman, Florida State DT - The addition of Greg Hardy was a good one for the Boys.  Adding a dominant Defensive Tackle would be another great one. The Boys will now have a pretty good defense for the 2015 campaign and have a very good chance of returning to the post season.

28. Denver Broncos - Jordan Phillips, Oklahoma NT - The departure of Terrance Knighton will now be forgotten with the addition of the 6’5, 329lb Phillips. Phillips was an incredibly good player while at Oklahoma, but as soon as his motor got going he was dominant. If a team such as the Broncos can make him more consistent he will be a great pro.

29. Indianapolis Colts - Eli Harold, Virginia OLB - This is a value pick. The Colts have Robert Mathis but he is 34. Just imagine if Mathis teaches Harold his ways before he retires. The Colts will then have a player capable of double digit sack seasons to take over after Mathis is gone. Harold will still contribute a lot in 2015 by just being a rotational player for the Colts as a pass rusher.

30. Green Bay Packers - Benardrick Mckinney, Mississippi State ILB - This selection allows the Pack to move Clay Matthews back to his natural position and even adds a dominant defender at the same time. Mckinney has exceptional speed and is a great run stopper both are things the Packers desire. This is an ideal selection for the Pack to help in having a chance of hosting the Lombardi Trophy again.

31. New Orleans Saints (Via Seattle) - Dorial Green Beckham, Oklahoma WR - The Saints added a defensive playmaker with the #13 selection and now it’s time to flip to the other side of the ball. With the selection of Green Beckham you add a 6’5, 237 pound threat who we all know Drew Brees will turn into a star. That’s just how good Brees is. That's not taking anything away from DGB. He is a physical freak with some exceptional hands. New Orleans should now be ready to return to the postseason in 2015.

32. New England Patriots - Jaelyn Strong, Arizona State WR - The Patriots are always a competitive team who, more likely than not, will return to the postseason. Adding another play-maker to Brady’s arsenal couldn’t hurt those chances in 2015. Strong is a physical player who skills will be optimized in New England’s exceptional offense.

Well there it is. Let me know what you think.

[hunterbach]

2015 NFL Mock Draft v1.0

The 2015 NFL Draft is full of pass rushers and has a solid receiving class. Here is my take on it.

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Jameis Winston, Florida State QB - inevitably this will be the 1st overall pick. The Bucs front office seems fine with the character issues that some were worried about with selecting Jameis. His on-field talent is undeniable. This selection solidifies a position of dire need in Tampa Bay and will help them take the next step within a struggling division

2. Tennessee Titans - Marcus Mariota, Oregon QB - I do not believe the Titans think Zach Mettenberger is their franchise QB. So in turn the Titans select Mariota and see if he is their true franchise signal caller. We'll see if he can finally lead this team over the hump and make fans excited for Titans football again.

 3. Jacksonville Jaguars - Leonard Williams, USC DE - The best player in the draft falls to the Jaguars and into the lap of the defensive minded Gus Bradley. This selection might just push the already stellar defensive unit present in Jacksonville to the next level. In a division with Andrew Luck, the Jaguars must be able to get pressure on the quarterback and stop the run. Williams excels at both of these aspects. With this selection, pressure on the offense will be eased because of how good the defense will be in the 2015 campaign.

 4. Oakland Raiders - Dante Fowler, Florida DE/OLB - With the recent signing of Michael Crabtree, the Raiders front office will decide to take a receiver in a later round. This in turn  means the selection of the best player available which fits what they are trying to do. That player is Dante Fowler Jr, a disruptive pass rusher that will help a Raiders unit that is on the rise and help them close the gap with the AFC West division leaders.

 5. Washington Redskins - Arik Armstead, Oregon DE - The Redskins struggled on the defensive side of the ball in 2014. In free agency they signed Terrance Knighton to be the nose tackle in their 3-4 scheme. Now with this selection they add their defensive end of the future. Some may think I’m crazy but Armstead is a prospect on the rise. He has exceptional size at 6’7 and 292. He’s an excellent pass rusher with explosion off the snap. His ability to add even more weight to his frame is another bonus with this selection. He also uses his hands well and is almost always able to get full extension of his arms during the play allowing him to gain true possession and control of his blocker. His immense upside is incredible and I expect Armstead to be an exceptional pro.

6. New York Jets - Amari Cooper, Alabama WR - Amari Cooper is the player that now added to this Jets team, can take the top off defenses. His exceptional speed and hands make him a threat anywhere on the field. This isn’t a necessity but it’s a value pick for the Jets. This selection can make their passing game even more deadly and can help whoever is the starting quarterback next season.

7. Chicago Bears - Kevin White, West Virginia WR - The loss of Brandon Marshall is now forgotten with the selection of Kevin White. White is an aggressive receiver that has great hands and great leaping ability. I believe this will translate well into the Bears’ offense. The Bears must find ways to allow Jay Cutler to succeed and I believe this selection will help.

8. Atlanta Falcons - Andrus Peat, Stanford OT - The Falcons have a problem. None of the remaining prospects on the board fit Dan Quinn’s Defensive Scheme for this high a pick. The Falcons will select their tackle for the future in Andrus Peat and call it good.

9. New York Giants - Shane Ray, Missouri OLB/DE - Ray is an explosive and angry player. He definitely will be an excellent complement to help JPP rush the passer and maybe give New York some of the defensive mojo they had when winning they’re Super Bowls

10. St Louis Rams - Brandon Scherff, Iowa OT/G - With this selection the Rams add protection to newly acquired quarterback Nick Foles. Scherff is many experts’ top linemen and for good reason. He is incredibly strong and versatile allowing the Rams flexibility with this selection, They can line him up at tackle or guard and with Jake Long no longer on the roster this selection makes even more sense.

I will post picks 11-32 in subsequent blog posts.