SUPERGIRL nears. I will admit that the trailers, up until the one released today, weren't really grabbing me... Even though the movie itself looks well-cast, Kara Zor-El is soooo not Kal-El (which makes for a great contrast), and promises an interplanetary adventure. Director Craig Gillepsie could bring something fun and interesting to a DC movie, and that it may not just be a James Gunn-lite. We'll have to see...
Luckily, they only spent $175m on it, which is what MCU movies *used* to cost. Deadline, curiously, says the breakeven point for SUPERGIRL is $315m... That can't be right, that's only 1.8x the budget. Typically, it has to do 2.5x that to make it back... Maybe they meant $415m, which isn't all that high anyways. It's obviously not making SUPERMAN numbers, but Gunn and co. knew that.
Anyways, whether SUPERGIRL gets there or not... I find it kind of interesting that this one movie is getting all this scrutiny online. Nevermind that MAN OF TOMORROW is all-systems-go right now and will likely match the box office of SUPERMAN if not surpass it next summer, keeping Gunn's DC Universe chugging...
I think we know what's going on: DC movie with a woman lead, said lead character is played by a blonde woman who isn't afraid to speak her mind, and it being a movie that has nothing to do with the guy whose last name rhymes with Rider.
If it loses money, which is possible... Well, the second Marvel Cinematic Universe movie lost money too... Like poetry, it rhymes. That was THE INCREDIBLE HULK, released just one month after IRON MAN kicked everything off. INCREDIBLE HULK, starring Edward Norton as Bruce Banner for that film and that film alone, made $264m off of a $150m budget. That wasn't even double the cost, and no one really made a big deal about it from what I can remember. It kinda just disappeared into the summer, a summer absolutely ruled by THE DARK KNIGHT.
That wasn't kaput for the MCU. IRON MAN already did pretty well, and ensured a sequel. THOR and CAPTAIN AMERICA: THE FIRST AVENGER were still a go, THE AVENGERS was still going to happen down the line. Marvel Studios had to pay back what they took out of the bank, and they were gonna stick to it, not close up shop because of a single movie that already arrived nearly five years after a separate, quite divisive Hulk movie.
Ultimately, THE INCREDIBLE HULK wouldn't get a sequel, plus the cinematic rights with Banner/Hulk remain a conundrum because of Universal. I always wanted to see a 2nd MCU Hulk movie - Norton or Mark Ruffalo, but it never happened. Banner and associated characters pop up in AVENGERS movies and other characters' flicks, like we saw last year with CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD, which felt more like a stealth HULK '08 sequel than a Sam Wilson Captain America story. Any hope of a PLANET HULK/WORLD WAR HULK movie was pretty much dashed because they basically distilled elements of those stories into THOR: RAGNAROK. President Ross as a Red Hulk, manipulated by Samuel Sterns, rampaged in a movie where Banner wasn't present. Just so weird, what these rights issues do.
So yes, MCU Movie #2 lost money, and for a long while it was the lowest-grossing film in the canon. THE MARVELS is now the lowest-grossing. It was to the point where they kinda quietly acted as if it wasn't canon to some degree. It's seen as an odd movie because it's Norton and not Buffalo, because it's a little moodier than the usual MCU offerings, because it was released by Universal, and because it didn't really do all that well.
Yeah, so, I'm not worried that much about SUPERGIRL. I think it should do fine, should it turn out good and satisfying to audiences. It is up against some big competition, but if it's liked well enough, it should hold fine on subsequent weekends. Milly Alcock will obviously reappear in subsequent films, so...
But, I feel like it's one of those big summer movies that the vultures have been OUT for. So sure that it'll flop, almost *wanting* it to flop. It's giving me WORLD WAR Z flashbacks, honestly. The 2013 adaptation of the zombie novel of the same name went through a delay and significant reshoots, changes that reshaped the whole third act of the picture, which many pointed out was one of the best things about the film. The budget ballooned because of that, and the press were soooooo sure that WORLD WAR Z was going to be the summer of 2013's biiiiiiig flop... And to some folks' surprise, it did really really well. Reviews were solid, too. I liked it quite a lot, myself. A shame that sequel never happened, though.
Anyways, yeah, SUPERGIRL. Maybe it does well, maybe it doesn't, but I don't think it possibly underperforming does too too much to DC Universe. It probably just means no sequel for the character, and little else.











