since Iâve spoken to a few different people who were disappointed by the outcome of the elections, especially people who havenât voted in many elections previously, and so were surprised to hear this: yâall, this election actually went shockingly well for the democratic party. as a rule, the sitting presidentâs party does not do well in midterms, especially the first midterm after that president is elected. this is the best a sitting presidentâs party has done in the midterm in twenty years. the last time it went this well for the sitting presidentâs party was 2002, when the republicans were still riding the post-9/11 jingoism wave. in the first midterm after obama was elected, the democratic party lost 63 house seats; last I checked the nytâs final projection for them to lose this time was somewhere in the neighborhood of 12.
yes, it sucks that weâre likely losing the house and it sucks that the senate is still up in the air and it super sucks that the democrats have basically given up on bothering to campaign in florida. but losing the house was always likely and we have not lost it by nearly as much as we were predicted to, and honestly, without a filibuster-proof majority, even having both chambers of congress isnât a guarantee of being able to get much done there. there are definitely disappointments, but this is nowhere near a disaster. ultimately, from what I can tell, there are a lot more republicans disappointed by this election than democrats, because this was supposed to be a massive blowout for the republicans and it very much has not been. like, at all.Â
again I am not saying there are not things to be disappointed by, and it sucks immeasurably that we have to take âthis didnât go as badly as it could haveâ as a victory, but also, it really, really is a victory. at the very least, itâs not a flat-out defeat, and there are a lot of reasons not to feel despair. the smaller, state-level victories are not as flashy and dramatic as the higher-profile ones like the house or senate, but theyâre extremely important, and will make a huge difference in a lot of peopleâs lives â in many cases a greater difference, day-to-day, than the senate or house elections will make. itâs really important not to lose sight of these wins.
(personally, what was really keeping me up at night was a) abortion referendums and b) the number of 2020 election deniers who were running for state- or local-level seats that would have put them in the position of being in charge of election administration in 2024 and beyond, making it much easier for them to rig future elections. well, republicans have pretty soundly gotten their asses handed to them on both counts, which is fan-fucking-tastic. like I said, these are not necessarily the things that get a lot of attention on the national level, but theyâre so, so important and will make a big difference for a lot of people in the coming years.)