The “There Have Been Over 250 Mass Shootings Already in 2015 Alone” Myth.
This myth has been going around for a while now and was started by the “Mass Shooting Tracker” that was created and grew out of the anti-gun troll section of Reddit, /r/GunsAreCool. (Do not go there unless you want your head to explode with fear mongering stupidity that outshines even the dumbest of Tumblr SJWs.)
There is a problem with the shooting tracker, however. It defines a mass shooting as one with four or more people hit by bullets in one event. To the Mass Shooting Tracker, an incident in which four people are wounded, but no one is killed, is still a mass shooting. This is not an accident. This was done on purpose to give people the assumption that mass shootings are rising sharply. They are not.
You see, according to the government’s own criteria, the Federal Bureau of Investigation defines “mass murder” as an event in which four or more people are killed in one area at one time, excluding the perpetrator and a “mass shooting” as a “mass murder” in which the murder tool used was a firearm. The FBI’s metric has long been used by the media and academics, and according to that definition, last week’s Oregon college shooting is the 32nd mass shooting in the U.S. in 2015. That’s a relatively small number. But since it’s mass shootings that attract the most public interest, it’s not difficult to see why anti-gunners would want to find a way to greatly inflate that number.
So let’s take a moment to audit some of the Mass Shooting Tracker’s recorded shootings. In just 2013 alone, there are several recorded instances that are clearly not mass shootings, even by Mass Shooting Tracker’s own definition of a “mass shooting”.
Alright, let’s dive right in. First, the easy targets. The following shootings, referenced by their number in the 2013 list, are missing citations so I was unable to verify the shooting tracker’s numbers. Most of them reference dead links, a few (that I will point out) simply don’t have any citations at all.
37, 39, 40, 43, 45, 51 (no citation at all, citation listed points to a different shooting), 80, 105, 112, 182, 221, 226, 230, 232, 256, 268, 273 (no citation at all), 285 (no citation at all), 287 (no citation at all), 304, 332, 335, 353, 355 (no citation at all)
Next up I’m going to go through some of the incidents one by one. I’ll be pointing out the conclusions I reached and linking the sources I used to come to that conclusion.
This one lists one dead and four wounded in a mass shooting. Follow one of the links, however, and you’ll find that it is actually two separate incidents. The suspect shot two people at 1:10am on Jan 12. Later that day, around 11:55pm in an entirely separate incident, the suspect shot three people, killing one. Neither incident can be considered a mass shooting using GrC’s definition, and saying the entire day is considered one mass shooting is seriously stretching even their definition.
Two of the cited links are dead, but from the remaining one this simply isn’t a mass shooting. A boy was killed and his mother and another woman were hit by gunfire. I tried to find additional articles with more information but what I found confirmed what was in the first article. I don’t have any idea why the list states 1 killed and 4 wounded.
The cited source is dead but a Google search of the suspect’s name brings up this article. The suspect shot and killed two people, shot and injured the man trying to subdue him, and was then beaten into submission. Three people shot, not a mass shooting.
Follow the first citation and you’ll find that a total of four people were shot by the same man in two separate incidents that occurred a week apart. Again, seriously stretching GrC’s definition of a mass shooting.
Clearly whoever added this one just looked at the headline and didn’t bother to read the article. Two people shot, two other people injured while jumping through a window. Not a mass shooting.
Another one with dead links for citations, but a search of the suspect brings up this article. He killed four people in separate incidents over a two week period. Horrifying and incredibly sad, but not a mass shooting.
Another case of reading the title and not the article. No mass shooting occurred, the incidents were separate and unrelated.
Surprise, another pellet gun ‘shooting.’
This one is a mass shooting by GrC’s definition, but the number injured is wrong. The list states 5 injured, the article states 4.
Three people shot, not a mass shooting.
Five bodies were found buried in the desert. According to the medical examiner some of them had broken bones that were likely the result of firearms and blunt-force injury. No conclusive evidence of a mass shooting here.
Another one with incorrect numbers listed. It should be one killed and three wounded.
One killed and two wounded. Not a mass shooting.
One killed two wounded, not a mass shooting.
Three people shot, one person stabbed. Not a mass shooting. Yet another case of reading the title and not the article.
I have no idea where they got the 12 injured number from. Following the cited links I only see two murders. If I am missing something on this one let me know, otherwise it does not look like a mass shooting.
Three shot one stabbed, not a mass shooting.
Two separate incidents that weren’t confirmed to be related, not a mass shooting.
The suspect killed four people over eleven days. Another one that stretches the definition of mass shooting.
This one appears to be several separate incidents spread over a week that have all been added together. Stretching, definition, etc.
Read the article and not just the title ya dingus. Unrelated incidents.
The three victims - two males, ages 14 and 15, and a 17-year-old girl - were taken to Sparrow Hospital and treated for non-life threatening injuries, Lansing police said during a press conference. A fourth victim came to the hospital with a gunshot wound but it is unclear whether he is connected to the shooting.
Three people shot, one woman killed after she was ejected from her car. Not a mass shooting.
Three people shot, one person suffered a cut wound. Not a mass shooting.
Three people shot, one person struck by a car while fleeing. Not a mass shooting.
Three people were shot, the shooter was subdued. Not a mass shooting.
Three people shot, another man crashed his motorcycle trying to leave. Not a mass shooting.
“It is unknown at this time, since this case is all still under investigation, whether that shooting is related to the shootings on Shelby Avenue or whether the victim who went to Hardin Memorial came from a different shooting altogether,” Shumate said. Insufficient evidence to determine if it was a mass shooting.
Three people shot one person was run over. Not a mass shooting.
When we look at 2014, we see the same trend of false mass shooting reports.
There were numerous incidents (indicated below by their number in the list) with dead links as citations and one without a citation at all. With how questionable their data is any incidents that cannot be independently verified should be treated with skepticism.
57, 58, 69, 70 (no citation at all, cited link points to a different shooting), 71, 74, 75, 108, 109, 138, 161, 162, 163, 189, 209, 228, 234, 255, 327, 332
I also found more incidents on this list that either had incorrect numbers, weren’t mass shootings at all, or played pretty fast and loose with GrC’s definition of a mass shooting.
Questionable as a mass shooting, as there were two separate incidents one day apart.
The number of injured listed (5) is incorrect. One person injured suffered a gunshot wound to the foot, the other four were not shot but injured in the chaos.
Felton said as of Sunday morning, police are unsure if all five victims are related to the same shooting. Not confirmed as a mass shooting.
The injury total is incorrect, it should be 4 instead of 7.
Culpepper said two people are dead and two people are critically injured. It’s not clear if the victims suffered their injuries through the car crash or from the gunfire. Cannot be confirmed as a mass shooting.
The injuries in this one were from an explosion, not gunfire. No officers were shot. Not a mass shooting.
The shootings in this one were spread out over a five day period, stretching the definition of a mass shooting.
A bullet also flew through the window of an unmarked police van in the area, shattering glass onto a detective who was inside at the time, the NYPD said. The detective was taken to the hospital with minor injuries, police said. Three people shot, not a mass shooting.
Authorities didn’t say how the four were killed. Autopsies being conducted Thursday will determine the cause of death, Soares said. Not confirmed as a mass shooting.
Three people shot, not a mass shooting.
Not surprising at all, 2015 has even more false reports.
I didn’t find as many issues in 2015 as I did in the previous two years, but it also wasn’t error free. The following shootings, referenced by their number in the list, could not be verfied. Most of the citations pointed to dead links and one did not have a citation at all.
49, 60, 77, 90, 124 (no citation at all, link points to a different shooting), 145, 189, 218, 225, 237
The following incidents either weren’t mass shootings or could not be confirmed to be mass shootings due to lack of information.
Three men were shot, the rest suffered injuries unrelated to the shooting. Not a mass shooting.
Three people shot, one person injured but with no bullet wounds. Not a mass shooting.
This is an interesting one, but definitely not a mass shooting. One person confirmed shot. One cop shot with a stun gun (do stun guns count in mass shootings?). One cop had cuts on his face. One woman with minor injuries (no mention of gunshot wounds).
Three shot, one ‘taken to the hospital and treated for injuries he sustained in the fight.’ Not a mass shooting.
This one is a bit of a mess and I’m including it because it isn’t clear at all how many people were actually shot. The article clearly states that two people were shot and another person was beaten and stabbed, but it doesn’t state the nature of the other injuries or the death. This one cannot be confirmed as a mass shooting.
This one does not appear to be a mass shooting. The suspect shot two men, shot at a women but did not hit her, bludgeoned another man, shot another man who then crashed into a wall, then tried to get into another woman’s car before he was apprehended. All told three people were shot.
And finally some stats. Of the 996 total incidents listed on the mass shooting tracker:
54 could not be verified due to the lack of citations
34 were either not mass shootings or could not be confirmed as mass shootings due to the lack of information
7 stretched the definition of a mass shooting, with one person committing separate shootings anywhere from one day to two weeks apart
4 were mass shootings according to the shooting tracker’s definition but the listed number of victims was incorrect
1 was a ‘mass shooting’ committed with a pellet gun
At this point, it’s no wonder that even Politifact found Mass Shooting Tracker’s findings to be “Half True” at best.
When we hold MST’s reports to the long-time upheld accepted FBI definition of a “mass shooting”, a staggering number, a good majority, of even more events reported can be eliminated even further.
But then again, what else can we really expect from a highly vocal anti-gunner who openly admits that his website is pure propaganda?
So next time someone tries to spread fear mongering and tells you that there have been over 250 mass shootings in 2015 alone, you can tell them to shut the fuck up.