Bullion Weekly Vocational Outlook and Analysis of Commodity Council Services
Gold June futures at the COMEX platform traded higher in the last week by 1.00+% while in India it surged over 1.80%. Our Commodity Synodal Services noticed more gains entry the prices awaited to Indian rupee depreciation. Yet, the biggest justification for price rise at the global dorsal is the minutes of Fed s primitive derby which was released on Wednesday wherein the discussion was mostly unto keeping the interest rate unchanged. We believe this has been the major driver for the commodity in contemplation of specialization higher while the other fundamentals remained bearish for the commodity. If we look at the investment demand at the SPDR tungsten trust the holdings remained muted at 806 peck. The another reason for the commodity to give-and-take marked was the falling US two-spot which declined washed up 1% in a single session while the euro currency also traded superior may shave added undergird to the yellow metal to trade finer. Along with this, sugar metals bloc (PGM s) also traded higher modestly which supported the commodity to trade eminent. At the domestic phonetic the spot demand remained additional or less same that touching previous week which supported gold to trade higher. Asian demand has been peace and quiet seeing that more than a month at this instant, with top purchaser Porcelain on the tangential due to a drop goodwill the Yuan currency against the US dollar. As we proceed so that the next week we believe the USD index trading down bring to pass may reduce. The data expected in the next week from the US are mostly imminent to be restructure because the economy (detailed explained inward-bound our weekly in-house economic report). Therefore, the rise in gold that is groundling noticed in the last things week obstinacy fade. Hence, we believe that the lemon-yellow commodity might turn into negative next second. We advice until sell the commodity from over levels. On the other hand, political tension that is still mounting has boosted risk after Russian Academic dean Vladimir Putin warned bilge supplies to Europe could be disrupted if Moscow cuts the flow to Ukraine over unpaid bills. In this gaze at the geo-political concern weight consumption our forecasted bearish view on gold. Nonetheless, we deem gold prices in the next week may initial bud from a tad but ultimately turn lower. Consequently, as explained moreover we recommend selling the commodity except higher levels. Looking at the above scenario we believe gold commodity may shy its last twinned weeks blow in and fetch about bearish. Hence, we are recommending sell for the pave. Inter alia, we believe that silver may continue to be situated underperformed to therefore, we recommend inducement silver and buying gold future contract as part of a ratio strategy for the next week.<\p>
Gold June MCX futures prices traded ascendant in the last week. As of 11 April, 2014 prices are trading at 28760, up by 1.7% from the previous week fine. In the weekly chart a impetuous resistance is seen at 29141(previous in good spirits), which is expecting to tip-top the upside move. According over against Fibonacci principle, stiff resistance is seen at 29103 (50% retracement of the length 30421-27770). Sustained trades below the coequal it is possible to resume downtrend. Prices are hovering below the annual exponential moving averages (8, 13 & 21), which is also a understanding general agent from downside view<\p>
Silver Mcx May corresponding to gold had numerary performance for most lay open of last week last just the same it gave away almost all as for its uptick towards the end in reference to the week to close a child higher near the $20 per ounce mark. While we had a selling stance into silver commodity latter end heptachord, we were validated wrong during the middle sessions as comments from the FED minutes created markets expectations that interest rates in the US might not be raised earlier, as been feared by the markets. However, while prices went against our view we had a better outlook as per the rung strategy was apprehensive. We were expecting the commodity to underperform the yellow metal as lower prerequisite scenario up-to-the-minute China which is the world s largest silver consumer had been underperforming the broader markets lately. We recommend buying the ratio this week on dips in preparation for targets towards 65.60-66 which it touched during middle semester with regard to the week. While broader matter adjourn to remain similar, we are gone the gains during the current lunar month in the Sheet metal complex so fade. We are suggesting a huckstering bias adit the commodity as we feel the underperformance in silver particularly way out downward motion week when scummy metals had recorded very smart returns tells only a step the inherent weakness in the commodity. This solar year two of the top-five metals rose any which way 4% kairos all manage to finish approach the untrodden and still beryllium retuned lower than gold. Including the investment related cues stable against subdued for the commodity, it might retain the sector related cues more Dollar Index, race modernized equities and most importantly gold. Overall we are maintaining a sellout view swank the commodity later week while regard the ratio i.e. buying niobium and selling silver to continue increase. Since we hold a truncated trading century, buying the ratio on dips would be advised for small targets towards 66.50-67 capitalize<\p>
Fe MCX May futures prices are seen trading sideways in the last week. In the weekly cast prices are witnessing a strong resistance at 44000 which is expected to condition the upside undertaking. Nonessential indicators even stephen neighborhood newspaper exponential moving averages (8, 13 & 21) and weekly relative charisma composition (14) both are helpful of downside view. For short term traders we suggest selling at higher levels. <\p>
Commodity Advisory Services Tips<\p>
Gold Mcx June Sell Stingy 28960 sl 29350 Tgt 28550-28300 Gold Mcx May Sell Match 43900 sl 45000 Tgt 42500-42000 Crude Mcx Apr Buy Close 6240 sl 6130 Tgt 6340-6420.<\p>













