#pecota

[toakatdot]

PECOTA Projections Are Out

PECOTA Projections Are Out

Pecota standings from baseball prospectus came out today and they favorited the Mets. PECOTA projected the Mets to win 95 games and win the NL East by a fairly big margin. According to their projections, the Mets have a 77.4% chance at winning the NLE division. Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Take projections with a grain of salt, as I don’t see the Braves finishing fourth in the NL East and see…

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[worldfootballscout-blog]

New Scouting Project: Finding Zlatan

I’m going to start on WorldFootballScout.com a new scouting in 2020: with a great season closed with an impressive return in AC Milan, Zlatan Ibrahimovic is going to consider to play for another season in Italy with an age of 38 years old but a great condition against any team of italian Serie A. Anyway, as “God” probably will never retire, it’s time to find out a new Zlatan Ibrahimovic, a player that could be similar to him, he could play like him, he could arrive to reach great results in his career as the Swedish striker did in the past. How should I work on this scouting project? I try to find out a new approach: I would like to start from sabermetrics, by looking performances Zlatan Ibrahimovic had in the past in different leagues and with different seniority. I’m going to consider all kind of players, without consider his economic value, his team or his league: if the prospect player could be candidable I’m going to compare him to Zlatan and understand how he could be far from Zlatan Index. What kind of player am I looking for? My research start from this conditions: The prospect player will be tall as Zlatan Ibrahimovic (195 cm): I’m going to consider all the prospect players tall from 192 cm to 198 cm.The prospect player will have at least data for three season in the past: this condition allows to compare the prospect player to IbrahimovicThe prospect player will be both-foot (Left footer and right footer) as Zlatan Ibrahimovic is.The Read the full article

[conlasbasesllenas]

Los Gigantes serán pequeñitos en el 2020 según PECOTA

Los Gigantes serán pequeñitos en el 2020 según PECOTA

Los Gigantes de San Francisco serán pequeñitos en la temporada 2020, ya que solo podrán ganar 68 partidos y culminará en el último lugar de la División Oeste de la Liga Nacional, según las proyecciones anuales de PECOTA.

Este estudio indica que el año para el equipo de los Gigantes será difícil, ya que estará en otra zafra en que no podrán avanzar a los playoffs y sin ningún tipo de oportunidad…

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[beersfromthebleachers]

Why PECOTA projections were so wrong about the Cubs

Remember the preseason formula that put Chicago at the bottom of the NL Central? Two months into the season, it looks like the Cubs are having the last laugh.

It’s amazing how simulations forget to add the stats of developing players rather than assume that dealing with injury all together would have a player decline in future years. Read how ESPN breaks down how the Chicago Cubs have been proving the PECOTA projections wrong.

[skatingbaseball]

National League Tommorrow

Tomorrow, I’ll be giving out my opinion on the PECOTA projections for the National League and you’ll be surprised who I have winning each division.  

[royal-ball-blog]

The misinterpretation of Salvy

A few nights ago I watched @SalvadorPerez15 being rated number 8 by 'the shredder' on MLB network's Top 10 catchers. I was immediately like WTF, but Bill James jumped in after it was on the board and said, 'I don't think you guys would know a great catcher if you saw one'. Bill James, the father of sabermetrics (and the owner of 3 WS rings from the Red Sox) rated Salvy the No. 2 catcher behind Posey. Buster if you haven't followed his offensive numbers; he could become one of the best hitting catchers of all-time.

I was pissed. Salvy is 25 years old. He hit 21 hr's a career best last year, contains the running game (rated 8th at throwing players out at 2nd), won the fucking World Series MVP, and kept us alive at the bottom of the 12th in the 2014 Wildcard with a shot past 2015 AL MVP Josh Donaldson at 3rd base to break us into the deep postseason for the first time in 29 years, and some stupid algorithm says he is above average.

Here is why I go against sabermetrics in algorithms; it doesn't encapsulate TEAM results. PECOTA, ZiPS, etc, most MLB Royals fans have seen these...we are winning what 76 games this year and falling in last place this year in the AL Central? Come on....that is bullshit Ned hangs on the wall in the locker room. Not to go for other teams, but the Red Sox will blow out the Rays this year also.

Anyways, we are in the midst of something. Or Captain is back...and if you follow offensive numbers, this guy from Lincoln,NE keeps getting better every year. Lets review this in July...not even August...July...‪#‎heavybullpen‬.

[justseircthings]

❤ just seirc things ❤