Nov 29, 2017
Three scenarios illustrate what the Muslim population could look like in Europe in 2050. Even with no new migration, Muslims are projected to increase as a share of Europe’s population.
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Three scenarios illustrate what the Muslim population could look like in Europe in 2050. Even with no new migration, Muslims are projected to increase as a share of Europe’s population.
“Incidence of war is more common between religious groups with a younger age composition and less frequent among communities with older age structures. The willingness to pay for public social welfare programs can decrease when those who contribute differ from those who are beneficiaries in terms of their ethnocultural characteristics…Differences in the pace of aging across religious and nonreligious groups may also affect the relative economic and social influences of different religious groups, as income and political power tend to reach their peak in late adulthood.”
Today is World Religion Day. Have you ever wondered what our religious landscape will look like in the year 2050? Thirty-three years into the future, unaffiliated and Buddhist populations will have aged rapidly while Muslims and Christians will maintain relatively young age structures. How will these changes in religious groups’ age distributions impact our society as a whole?
Image credit: Buddhist Thailand Monk by suc. Public domain via Pixabay.
Projected population to 2100 is based on the UN's medium population scenario.
World Population by region projected to 2100.
Population size.
The size of the population over the last 12.000 Years.
Perspectives on Population growth.
The visualisation provides an additional perspective on population growth. UN Projection until 2100.
Total population.
World Population estimates
World population projections by UN prospects revision
This analysis uses 2017 as a starting point and then replicates the Census Bureau's latest population projections. We then vary the immigration component, something the Bureau does not do, and report its impact on the future size and age composition of the U.S. population.
The Census Bureau projects that future net immigration (the difference between the number coming and number leaving) will total 46 million by 2060 and the total U.S. population will reach 404 million — 79 million larger than in 2017.