#regressiontothemean

[naneara]

'Regressão ao meio. É um termo técnico para o ditado de que as coisas sempre se equilibram. Então não importa o quão ruim as coisas fiquem, ou o quão boas. Elas sempre voltam para o meio.' #frases #quotes #alandeaton #teenwolf #regressiontothemean https://www.instagram.com/p/CDZcgqhj6VK/?igshid=1sfk29pruu5m8

[newyearbullshit]

Day 12

Early post...check me out!

Again, its a day that is more of the same, applying for more jobs, more volunteering placements all whilst trying to stop my dog from licking my new cat to death. Its hard for me to tell him off because he is trying to be friendly, just a little too eager!

I’ve been thinking a lot lately about positive thinking and how life affects us. The saying that I live by is ‘Regression to the mean’. It basically means that life cant be always good or always bad, it has to make its way back to the middle. I first heard this watching Teen Wolf! Lol! 

This helps me everyday, whenever I am feeling low or my job is getting me down or the tinder guy I really liked did match me back. (Happens way too often for my liking ha!) I remember that life needs to go back to the baseline. That’s where I am now, it isn't really bad - that was 6 months ago when I was working in a hellhole doing 70hrs a week with no breaks - and it’s not really good - that was 6 weeks ago when I was travelling Europe and meeting amazing people and seeing incredible things. 

So now i’m in the middle, the only way is up. Apply for jobs and placements to get my foot in the door. Keep swiping right, someone will like me soon enough right?! Maybe I should take away the 3 pictures of my cats? I’m joking obviously! I’ve got the token club picture so people think i’m outgoing, the profile picture when I try to look pretty and the picture with me in front of a famous landmark so they think I travel. I’m doing Tinder how its apparently supposed to be done!

Anyway, I digressed, again. My brain just goes off on so many tangents! So positive thinking. You just got to look at the big picture and keep taking, whenever I feel down I go for a long walk and talk out my feelings with a good, non judgemental friend. I wont always be in the middle. Hopefully I will have good news to share soon!

[ceive-blog1]

Have you ever heard the term "regression to the mean"?

#It's a bit of a technical way of saying things will always even out.

Like things will always get better? More like things can't always be bad.

So, no matter how bad things get Or how good.

They always come back to the middle.

[stag28]

"Going into the tricky section of their fixture list, starting with Man Utd at the King Power back at the end of November, they were converting all their shots at a high rate of 15% which had effectively powered their 8-4-1  standing. During the tougher looking 12 games since–including two matches against Liverpool and Manchester City, plus games against Chelsea and Tottenham– they have converted shots at 14%; only a marginal decline. This has helped them go 7-4-1 but the biggest factor powering their run has been their save rate for in these games is that they only have conceded seven times from 40 shots on target, a crazily high rate of 82.5%. Spin that out to all shots and Leicester’s opposition since December have been converting under one in twenty against a usual league average of around one in ten.  All these rates tend to fluctuate through a season and rarely sustain for too long at either extremely high or low levels. For Leicester, so far, large parts of them have. When you base a season for the ages on year long super high conversion rates then ride a tough schedule with an extremely high save rate, it’s clear that things are going your way. For now Leicester’s 14.2% all shot conversion rate places them 4th in a list of teams during the era for which data is public (2009-10 onwards). [..] Season long, Liverpool have saved 57.6% of the on target shots they have faced compared to a league average of 69.4%. This [..] is lower than any full team season recorded over the last six years.  [..] While these figures are truly dismal, to endure it is also to this degree is unfortunate and extremely incongruous with the excellent repression of shots.  Despite the poor goalkeeping and individual defensive errors that have effected this misery, a rate this low just will not sustain in the long term.  Repression of opposition shots is an important trait to aspire towards as it is reflective of team quality, an inability to keep the ball out of the net is far more beholden to fate."

[slowandfastthinking]

Derren Brown  tossing a coin and it lands on the same side ten times in a row!

Even unlikely events happen given enough opportunities.