Warning: Dream SMP Spoilers from Tubbo's (It's also Tommy's and Fundy's, and probably more) stream. If you haven't seen the streams up to 12/2/2020, scroll past this post!!!! (This is incredibly long, be warned.)
So today on stream they talked with Dream, and after the meeting and the whole "you have nothing on us, we have your deceased horse" thing, they were given a choice: Exile Tommy, or lose their freedom. They have until Saturday, but they want to decide by Friday. Tubbo's goal is to figure out a way to fake Tommy's exile, so that he doesn't have to kick his best friend out, and they can satisfy Dream.
So this was on all the streams. This next part you had to be on Tubbo/Fundy's stream for.
Fundy brought up to Tubbo that while he wants to make the decision on Friday, he's also getting married to Dream this Friday, who we all totally don't know is cheating on him. (This won't be on stream, it'll be a recorded event.) Tubbo had completely forgotten and was surprised, and this, along with something else, got me thinking.
Technoblade appeared on stream today, and that combined with a quote from him, got me thinking. He, just before he summons the withers, mentions a few things I want to bring up.
Techno: Do you think you're a hero, is that what this is?
Tommy: I just wanted- I just wanted L'manberg.
Techno: You just wanted power.
Tommy: That's all I've ever wanted- I didn't-
I can't tell if Tommy's agreeing with Techno or if he's trying to say all he's ever wanted is L'Manberg. I think it's the latter, at least right then. But the power comment also brings up today, how Tommy begins yelling at Dream, because he believes that with the horse, and Dream not having Tommy's discs, he has power over Dream, and quickly learns that's not the case.
In his speech, Technoblade also brings up the story of a man who, after saving his people, is exiled by those same people. Sound a bit familiar?
So Tubbo's going to make a decision on exiling Tommy on Friday, the same day as Fundy's wedding, an event he completely forgot about. And I can guess most of the rest of L'Manberg forgot too, including Tommy.
Tommy remembering Fundy's wedding may be what tips him over the edge, as it could be seen as Fundy betraying Tommy and L'Manberg.
After having watched Tommy tip over the edge, this might just be enough to have Tubbo exile him.
"People are saying...something ridiculous right now. People are saying Dream is marrying just to get leverage." -Fundy, on stream, 12/2/2020
With him totally not cheating on Fundy with George, I could absolutely believe Dream is doing this for leverage. Yes they got engaged a while back, but Dream plays his cards, and he plays them right.
With Tommy gone from L'Manberg, it could be possible Dream sees no need to have Fundy around anymore, and leaves him.
With Tommy gone, and Tubbo having exiled him, poor Fundy would be heartbroken. He's only lost more and more of his family (cause Tommy's his uncle really), and with his hatred of Dream and possible anger towards Tubbo at Tommy's exile, he could run away to go find Tommy, and with Tommy, possibly Techno.
And what does Ranboo have to do with any of this? He helped destoy George's house, but nobody seems mad at him for it.
And while having interacted off camera or briefly on camera with them, Ranboo has no relations with Wilbur or Technoblade, at least not yet. To that extension, most of the SMP doesn't have many relations with Ranboo. And Dream seems to not be upset with Ranboo, and neither does George. Why is that? Does Dream have something to gain from Ranboo? We know half of what Ranboo is, what is the other half? Does it have something to do with the lack of anger towards him?
Sorry, this is a really long rant, but I just kept thinking and coming up with ideas, and I needed to put them somewhere.
By the way, this is not me saying that Dream is a villian character. What I'm saying is he's a man who has a purpose for everything he does. His character is always a few steps ahead.
Whether or not this happens, my brain is just running very fast, and I needed to put this here. I doubt it will, but I can't wait to look back soon and see if I got anything right.