Jul 17, 2020
U.S. Educational Attainment and Presidential Voting Patterns
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U.S. Educational Attainment and Presidential Voting Patterns
What cars can tell you about a neighborhood
This is an interesting study from a team of AI researchers at Stanford. What they did was use car images taken directly from Google Street View (so images of cars parked on-street) to predict income levels, racial makeup, educational attainment, and voting patterns at the zip code and precinct level.
Admittedly, it’s not a perfect survey, but when they compared their findings to actual or previously collected data (such as from the American Community Survey), it turns out that their study was actually remarkably accurate. Google Street View allowed them to survey 22 million cars, or about 8% of all cars in the US.
Here are some of the things they found:
- Toyota and Honda vehicles are strongly associated with Asian neighborhoods.
- Buick, Oldsmobile, and Chrysler vehicles are strongly associated with black neighborhoods.
- Pickup trucks, Volkswagens and Aston Martins are strongly associated with white neighborhoods.
Interestingly enough, the ratio of pickup trucks to sedans, alone, is a pretty reliable indicator of voting patterns. If a neighborhood has more pickup trucks than sedans, there’s an 82% chance it voted Republican in the last election.
Perhaps this isn’t all that surprising given that car purchases are highly symbolic. But given that the American Community Survey costs $250 million a year to administer, this study is a good preview of what cheaper and more realtime data collection might look like.
Evangelicals may share the same basic theology, but they are not a monolithic group.
People aren't voting for Leopards Eating Peoples Faces, and then getting surprised when leopards eat their face.
To my mind, people are voting for Werewolves Killing People, expecting to be made a werewolf themself as a reward, only to be horrified as the reward isn't forthcoming and they're get killed instead.
Maybe this isn't a necessary comparison. I just feel, there's a ideological difference in voting to give power to a group who you could never possibly join, you can never be a leopard, versus voting to give power to a group you could possibly join if they let you, and they hint that they will, but they never outright promise anything. You can kill be a killer werewolf too, if only you vote to let werewolves kill people first.
“There are more Trump voters in CA than Texas, more Biden voters in Texas than NY, more Trump voters in NY than Ohio, more Biden voters in Ohio than Mass, more Trump voters in Mass than Mississippi, and more Biden voters in Mississippi than Vermont. https://t.co/uwMl4NpBNF”
VERY interesting. Very interesting.
I believe the next line is “Ricky, I am shocked, shocked that there “gambling” in your establishment.” (substitute your own euphemism into the quotes)
Jewish and black voters have proven to be astonishingly reliable supporters of the Democratic Party, even when it conflicts with their interests.
The populist Sweden Democrats are popular with male voters aged 18 to 29 -- but female voters are on the opposite side of the spectrum.
Early Voting Trends
More than one-quarter of Americans who voted in 2012 did so in ways other than visiting a polling place on Election Day, according to data compiled by University of Florida political scientist Michael P. McDonald.
The share of early voters was significantly higher in several key battlegrounds. In Nevada, for example, nearly twice as many 2012 voters cast ballots at in-person early-vote locations than on election day itself. (Another 8 percent of the total electorate voted by mail-in absentee ballot.) In Florida and North Carolina, the early-voting and Election Day electorates were split about evenly
via @bloombergpolitics Sasha Issenberg feature Early Voting Dictates a New Clinton Campaign Structure