A poll was released yesterday that has every Welsh politics nerd very excited.
It sees Reforms surge take a sudden drop. It would be interesting to know where those votes have gone. But I think - being the armchair pundit that I am - that they've just receded back to an undecided position. Which way they will go come election day I don't know.
Plaid are (as far as this poll goes) so very close to the 49 seats needed to form a majority government. Which means they wouldn't need to work with Labour to get things through the Senedd. Especially if the Greens do as well as this poll suggests.
The interesting thing about Plaid's boost is that it's apparently coming from undecided voters. I'm over simplifying when I say this shows how screwed Labour are.
The Green surge from a predicted 4 seats at the end of last year to 11 is wild. I've read a few bits that suggest this is because the Greens are seeing a surge amongst younger voters. I think this election is really going to see the impact of 16 and 17 year olds being able to vote and see them solidify as a voting block that politicians need to think about in future elections.
Bring on May 7!
