If balancing the budget were only this easy....
Using the CBC budget calculator, here are my thoughts on how to go about balancing the books in New Brunswick.
Yes, I know. It isn't this easy. No budget, whether for government, for business or even your personal budget is easy to balance. I'll come back to why I think it is even more difficult for governments later in this post.Â
My thoughts on getting to a $2-million surplus.Â
We can't cut our way out of this mess...
Corporate Income Taxes: Rollback the majority, not all of, the Graham tax cuts provides $20-million boost. They were a mistake then, and only worsened by not addressing two years ago.Â
HST: Increase the HST to 14%. Yes, I believe consumption taxes are generally fair when they have a low/middle income credit like the HST does. Result is $137-million boost.Â
Personal Income Taxes: Rollback the majority of the Graham tax cuts. Like corporate taxes, a silly move when the Province was facing major uncertainty and overspending by almost $800-million each year of Graham's tenure. This is the biggest boost to revenues at $160-million.Â
Gasoline Tax: No change and it was very tempting to increase. Let's keep it in our back pocket if/when we need to address further shortfalls.Â
Tobacco Tax: Increase a small amount. I'm not a smoker and would love to increase further but I think it would only benefit the black market trade and increase enforcement costs.
Highway Tolls: I will never forgive Lord for removing the tolls. It was a classic example of using our tax dollars to get elected. After the capital costs to implement, I don't believe this measure will provide much net gain.Â
Health Levy: Our taxes pay for healthcare. Full stop. I agree with the Minister Flemming that his Department has, for too long, enjoyed year after year increases. I also believe it is the new tool in the political campaign strategy: drop an MRI in a riding likely means re-election.
New Revenues: $323-million.
I believe there is more that can be cut than the budget calculator provides. For example, reverse the decision to increase cabinet by 2 positions. Where has the Conservative mantra of "smaller government" gone?
Health (-2%): Every department should be able to cut spending by 2%. So Health should cut 2%. When I read about a health network cutting 5 of 8 vice presidents, I'm left with why does a health network need vice presidents? What role does the Department play? In the medium-term, we need to challenge this belief that every nook and cranny of New Brunswick needs full-service healthcare. It is unsustainable.Â
Education (-1%): I haven't done the math, but seems the Minister made more spending announcements in 2012 than he did in spending cuts. Savings from any efficiency measures announced were being put back into the system.Â
Social Development (0%): No change, but I would encourage the Minister responsible to find 5% efficiency gains and take that money for new programs.Â
Economic Development & InvestNB (-5%): So much to say...Let's leave it at every organization should be able to find 5% efficiency.Â
Transportation (-5%): Stop, please stop promising 4-lane highways to get re-elected. For the next couple of years, we will need to delay some projects. This is tough one as delaying regular maintenance means hefty repairs later. Yes, open to kicking the can down the road on this one.Â
Environment & Local Government (-5%): Not sure of the split between both, but would think there are some gains in efficiency and attrition without affecting programs & services.Â
Total Decrease: $89-million.Â
So why will it be hard for government to balance the books?
I am sure it is tough to increase taxes. But many a finance minister has had to tell taxpayers the straight facts. It is now time in NB. We also need to repeal the Taxpayer Protection Act. It handcuffs the Finance Minister's ability to raise taxes.Â
I am sure it is even harder to tell your candidate / MLA there will be no new MRI, 4-lane highway, new ferry, school renovation, or a convention centre in their riding. Stop spending future tax dollars for your reelection. And voters - see through the promise and what it will mean to future generations.Â
In closing, call your MLA. Share your thoughts on how government can act responsibly to earn your vote in the next election.Â
Join the conversation. I'm @thomjeff on Twitter .