It’s that time of year
Time for the time-honored tradition of “Rick’s Oscar Picks.” I literally just “locked up” my pics a few minutes ago. The top of the ballot was especially hard for me.
So, without further ado.....
Note -- these are the predicted winners. If I disagree with a particular pick (as in, if I cast a vote, I would choose ____), it will be noted.
Original screenplay: Spotlight My personal favorite: Straight Outta Compton
Adapted screenplay: The Big Short My personal favorite: Brooklyn
Visual effects: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Sound Mixing: The Revenant
Sound Editing: The Revenant
Short film, live: Shok
Short film, animated: World of Tomorrow
Production design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Music, original song: “Til It Happens to You”
Music, original score: The Hateful Eight
Makeup and hairstyling: Mad Max: Fury Road
Film editing: The Big Short
Documentary, short: A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
Documentary, feature: Amy
Cinematography: The Revenant
Animated feature: Inside Out
and now, the biggies ...
Supporting Actress: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl My personal favorite: Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
I’ve not seen “The Danish Girl,” but, I think there will be a lot of gnashing of teeth, if only on a subconscious level, that “Danish Girl” and “Carol” aren’t bringing home more awards (you know, politics and such). I also think Rachel McAdams is getting a little bit of the “Norbert” treatment given her propensity for softer-slash-romcom roles. That said, she was awesome in “Spotlight.”
Supporting Actor: Sylvester Stallone, Creed
This a tough category, but, I think Stallone brings it home for his best-known role. Plus, well, SPOILER ALERT, there is a degree of “affliction bump” for this turn of Rocky Balboa.
Best Actress: Brie Larson, Room My personal favorite: Saorise Ronan, Brooklyn
I’ll admit something: “Brooklyn” was the pleasant surprise of the year for me personally. As I watched all of the Best Picture nominees, I told anyone that would listen that I loved “Brooklyn” much more than I would have predicted. I’d like to see it rewarded. I’ll make another admission: “Room” was, well, I mean, it was a well-done movie, but it was hard to watch, especially once you realized what the heck was going on. Larson did a heck of a job, but, I dunno, is it really hard to play desperate and broken? Well, yes, but still. At least I known that her name is “ser-shuh,” as in, rhymes with “inertia.”
Best Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
If you would have asked me before seeing “The Revenant” and/or seeing the momentum DiCaprio was getting through awards season, I would’ve told you Redmayne was a lock for a second-straight statuette (see my note above on Supporting Actress). But, DiCaprio’s performance was compelling. I mean, he did make a movie where he crawls around and grunts for two hours meaningful and compelling.
Best Director: Alejandro Iñárritu, The Revenant
In about as much of a stylistic difference from his win a year ago for “Birdman or (the really stupid parenthetical),” well, Iñárritu is on a roll. See above about making a movie that’s a lot of torture, crawling and grunting compelling.
So now we go to the category that has bugged me the most ...
Best Picture: The Revenant My personal favorite: Spotlight
Oh, I came --this-- close to calling it a split ballot (splitting director and picture). I even posted a Facebook status update predicting such a split, but termed it more of a “hot take” than an actual prediction. “The Revenant” was a cinematic triumph, in that it is a technically executed marvel. But, really, it wasn’t my favorite. I was gripped by “Spotlight.” I was enthralled by “Spotlight.” I’ve thrown shade all over people that haven’t seen “Spotlight.” I, Rick Johnston, think it’s the best picture of the year. But, I think “The Revenant” has way too much momentum with other awards season wins. Now, admittedly, my love affair with “Spotlight” might be for professional reasons, but I’ll stand behind it.
That said, “Revenant” might have the momentum, but, don’t be shocked too much if something else wins, especially if it’s “Spotlight” or “The Big Short.”
If “Mad Max” somehow wins? I’m going uptown and turning over a car or two. I feel that a victory riot would be fitting.












