Please stay home. Take a walk outside. Run around an uncrowded park, field, beach, dune, courtyard, driveway... But please socially distance (6 feet or more), wash hands, cover your coughs and sneezes. This will get better, but first it will get worse. Thank you @adviceigivemyfriends 📊The numbers 📈 So a lot of people commented on this chart and I wanted to describe it and it’s limitations. It’s based off data from the @who Let’s talk about Italy, it’s population is 60 million, and it’s an older population (10 years older on average). Covid has hit there and hit hard overwhelming hospitals and leading to a 6.3% mortality rate. 3/4 they implemented social distancing and school closures and 3/9 they locked down the country. Italy has done a lot of testing 1,000 test per million as of 3/9 whereas South Korea had done 4,000ish/million and the US had done 26/million. The US is much bigger at 327 million. So these are rough numbers and comparatively Italy was a much higher percentage. Accordingly our school closures and social distancing is happening early based on percentage of the population. Hopefully, we are more spread out, younger and we’ll experience a mortality more similar to that of Korea since we are prepared. But in NY state for example we have 3,200 ICU beds with typically 80%+ capacity so a maximum of 640 open beds (before we stop elective surgeries and not acknowledging mismatch between city cases and rural beds). We know in NY alone there are likely 10,000 cases so in 2 weeks a minimum of 500 patients may need an ICU bed. And the number of cases is still doubling every 3 days. So we socially distance. Take this very seriously. I know you are, but tell a friend. No grandparent visits. No more school. No more playgrounds. No travel. No more play dates unless you have a buddy family. Minimum of 2 weeks, but personally I am planning for this to last until Memorial Day. Questions? (at New York, New York) https://www.instagram.com/p/B9y30R-HlOJ/?igshid=1n0nw7eqaeafk