so your patient has acute pancreatitis
how well do you expect them to do after admission?
fortunately some guy named JH Ranson developed some criteria in 1974. (a quick google search turns up almost nothing about him, making this a rare occasion where the namesake didn’t get nearly enough fanfare. I don’t even know if it’s a him, but the 70s weren’t great on gender equality and clinical research was no exception.)
medicine is full of mnemonics and this is no exception. you’ll want to use “GA LAW and CHOBBS” here.
At admission / 0-hour:
Glucose (blood) >200 mg/dL
Age > 55 y/o
Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) > 350 IU/L
Aspartate transaminase (AST) > 250 IU/L
WBC > 16000
At 48 hours:
Calcium (serum) < 8mg/dL
Hematocrit falls in excess of 10%
Oxygen (PaO2) < 60mmHg
BUN increase greater than 5 mg/dL (despite adequate hydration)
Base deficit > 4 mEq/L
Sequestration of fluid > 6L
Some societies alter the parameters above if the patient has gallstone pancreatitis--for our purposes (studying/entry-level clinical practice aka medical student) just stick with the criteria as written as I’m not sure the gallstone differentiation is universally accepted.
Anyway, now you have the criteria, how will they fare? What’s their prognosis?
Each criteria is worth one point.
< 2 points: 2% mortality
3-4 points: 16% mortality
5-6 points: 40% mortality
7+ points: 100% mortality














