#accelerating returns

[blissedel]

The Timeless Prediction

Language Models, such as ChatGPT are the Betamaxs of today. ChatGPT is mama of the new.

[nocturnals-anonymous]

I was born in 1895. Reality when I was born was everything you could see, smell, touch and hear. The year I was born, X-rays were discovered and Marconi invented the wireless. When I was 3 vears old, the electron was isolated. When I was at Harvard, in the back of my physics book there were some yellow pages that had been glued in called "electricity.” From that time on, technology disappeared completely into the invisible reality of alloys, chemistries, electronics. Today, 99.999 percent of everything that is going to affect all our tomorrows is being conducted in the realm of reality non-contactible bv the human senses. It's a completely different game. We've actually million-folded the realms of reality that we employ. Until I was 28, we knew astronomically only of the Milky Way. When I was 28, Hubble discovered another galaxy. Wow! Up to two weeks ago we had discovered two billion galaxies and two weeks ago we discovered another 200 billion galaxies. That gives you an idea of the magnitudes in the rate of acceleration now characterizing all human affairs.

Buckminster Fuller, in his final interview

[mouselink]

15 Reasons to Pay Attention to the Future

Because we're all going to be living there

Matteo Wyllyamz, "technological futurism" enthusiast, will take us on a one-hour roller coaster ride into the things to come. When we take a look at current trends, and project them into the coming century, can we get an idea of how decades of disruptive technological advances will affect our families, businesses, communities, societies, and species? 

A lot of futurists only talk to other futurists. I am just an everyday guy who's fascinated by trends forecasting.

What is 'futurism' and why do we need to embrace it? 2013: The end of an era and the beginning of a new age.

Trickle-down technology and the run-away freight train You can't put the toothpaste back in the tube or the genie back in the bottle. Everything that can happen, will happen.

Accelerating returns, and exponential curves Moore's Law means computers one million times more powerful than today will exist within the next 20 years.

Smart phones get smarter. Your intelligent assistant, watching, and listening in, and helping you wherever you go.

Continued disruption of key industries and institutions Robots are not just for replacing factory workers any more. Knowledge workers, hold on to your hats: Reporters, writers, actors, pharmacists, and even lawyers and doctors are up for automated replacement. The merging of corporations, banks, and government. More bubbles burst: Jobs and education. Expectations flattened.

The cage-match challenge for a petroleum-based civilization

Banning local & alternative currencies

The emergence of the "Cashless Society."

3D printing and the personal manufacturing revolution

Electronic paper and digital glass Computer-driven displays in virtually anything. How about a "skin" for your house?

Smart appliances, houses, cities and the intelligent grid

How *everything* can and will be tracked GPS, RFID, licence plate scanners, facial recognition, and cameras so small you can't see them. Privacy lost.

Do you enjoy driving? Well, forget it.

Google's predictive search is only the beginning. "With enough information, we can predict what you are going to do before you do it."

Will wars never cease? Take anything happening "over there," and then imagine it here. Increasingly large uninhabitable regions. The creation of "green zones."

Transhumanism The emergence of super-humans.

Smarter-than-human machines and the coming Singuarity

Understanding the true oppositional forces driving human development Centralization (the collective) vs. Decentralization (the individual). Control vs. chaos: How fear is exploited in the guise of safety. And are haves and have-nots the antecedent to the Morlocks and the Eloi?

Check the calendar for an upcoming presentation or workshop, or hire Matteo to have him speak to your group or at your event.

[jalopydactyl]

OH NO

I think that a section of my paper is going to talk about the the law of accelerating returns and how it applies to NASA. I don't even know if this is possible. But I think I may write about it anyway.

Kurzweil is taking over my life.

I mentioned it last year too in a paper about technology use in libraries.

I don't know if this makes me smart or just plain crazy.

[mouselink]

Podcast #11: The Singularitarians will be planning our future. Are you paying attention?

Futurism 101: Comments inspired by the Singularity Summit 2011 in New York City. Will the continual doubling of technological power lead to a point of infinite progression sometime in the next 30-50 years?