#dunning kruger

[rickmctumbleface]

[susanoos-wife]

[tismchasm]

Dunning-Kruger Effect but for Rouxls Kaard:

Start: man I hate Rouxls (derogatory)

Middle: hehe funny mac and cheese man

End: god I hate Rouxls (affectionate)

[likecopperlikesalt]

Lestat de Lioncourt Renaissance Genius

Did Lestat write this himself? Was chat je pété used? Either way user The Vampire Lestat is not even the #1 Lestat scholar...(ha ha )

This is delusional and bombastic:

Lestat de Lioncourt's Genius bio: Step into the limelight with Lestat de Lioncourt, a name that echoes through the corridors of music and mystery alike. With the debut of his first single, “Long face,” this iconic “vampire” has captured the world’s attention, earning rave reviews from critics and fans alike. This haunting melody, a blend of timeless elegance and dark allure, is just a glimpse into the multifaceted genius of the Vampire Lestat. But Lestat’s talents don’t stop at the microphone. Lestat, renowned not only as a musician and composer but also as an accomplished actor and shrewd businessman, is a true Renaissance figure of the modern era. His foray into music is complemented by an exciting upcoming project: a documentary directed by Pulitzer Prize-winning filmmaker Daniel Molloy, promising an intimate look into Lestat’s enigmatic world. From the silver screen to the boardroom, and now the recording studio, Lestat de Lioncourt proves that he’s more than a legend of lore; he’s a contemporary force, captivating audiences across all realms of art and enterprise. Keep an eye on this luminous trailblazer, for his creative journey is bound to leave an indelible mark on both the earthly and the supernatural.

"a name that echoes through the corridors of music and mystery alike" Someone was up until the wee hours of the night morning relistening to Andrew Lloyd Webber and was a minute away from getting DCMA taken down from calling a song "Music of the Night". Or this is just a fancy way of saying Lestat did musical dinner theater mystery murder gigs?

Keep in mind, in-universe, nobody knows who this guy is apart from his groupies for at best a year.

"haunting melody" doesn't describe Long Face musically in any way, at best it's an ear worm, which is not the same, or I've been haunted by several commercial jingles.

"a blend of timeless elegance and dark allure" Again, not the song at all, it's something you use to describe a heavy cologne.

"shrewd businessman" How is he a "shrewd businessman?" Isn't that Louis du Lac? What's Lestat’s cover story for being rich? He literally is living off a trust (he got from being murder suicided into vampirism.) If anything Louis is the shrewd businessman [his Dubai fortune, his burgeoning real estate empire in San Francisco]. Is he meta-textually referring to possible tie-ins in AMC (pom juice)? Meh.

"Accomplished actor" - he's stretching with his five minutes two years on the Parisian stage in 1793 ish? Or his one night only performance at Louis's trial? Or reality tv

Is he going to claim he wrote the "Wolverine Blues"? [He's not putting "Come to Me" on his rock album, lmao]

meta comment: Louis, Louis, stop writing fanfiction giving your white boyfriend credit for something black musicians did. That's one of many reasons Jelly Roll decided go north.

Louis claims he recorded and played all the instruments himself for "Come to Me." The AMC show premiere this season on June 7. Who was born on June 7th, and famously played all 27 instruments on his debut album For You and pretty much treated his bands as backup bands? PRINCE. In the book Lestat's first concert on his tour is in San Francisco at the Cow Palace, which holds 16,500 seats, a stadium Prince filled on his Purple Rain tour. Based on what we've seen of Satan's Night Out in the trailers, they couldn't hold a candle to the weakest of Prince's performance bands. Sorry, Lestat is no Prince (March 3, 1985 concert)

I suspect the show is going to give Nicholas' talents (in the books he's good enough to be a student of Mozart's who cannot help him get a royal composer gig) and compositions and plays to him or he's just going to claim all of those were his. Good thing Nicholas never haunts his ass in the books, waving his stumps around, complaining about his quill and violin carpal tunnel syndrome.

At least he doesn't claim to be an author and/or playwright. That might rest in Claudia’s diaries, or Sam's ( or Nicholas's) plays and Claudia will haunt him for copyright infringement and royalties on top of all the other ways he did her dirty.

How would he be "foraying into music if he claims to be "renowned" as a musician and composer already?

"Pulitzer Prize-winning filmmaker Daniel Molloy" There is one kernel of truth. In universe, Daniel Molloy is directing a documentary about him, and Daniel did win two Pulitzers. But he never won a Pulitzer Prize for filmmaking [afaik per other sites like the fake Linkedin] so "Pultizer Prize-winning filmmaker" is a bit misleading -- as you cannot win a Pulitzer Prize for film-making or making a documentary (and no one ever has.)

"silver screen" When was he in a movie? What kind of movie? Porn? Talamasca's NextDoor footage?

"legend of lore" What lore? Daniel Molloy's book? AD&D? Is he Bigfoot?

Louis du Lac definitely didn't write any of this.

Louis: "the lack of metaphor is so striking"

Lestat (having a time delayed argument ~90 years later and replying with something else): "Fuck you! Have all the similies! And the metaphors! I am the best! Beyoncé cannot sing! I am the "Renaissance" figure! I belong in the Louvre! Not her! My portrait! Not the gremlin!"

Meanwhile Gremlin lived during the *drumroll* Renaissance. With (book) Marius who attempted to be a polymath but did not really succeed with his paint by numbers studio, Roman baths, and house tours and Roman histories which he burnt. Marius later attempted amateur filmmaking in 20th century.

I wonder if in-universe Daniel Molloy is already in in art museums. There are several museums Eric Bogosian is in, as a subject of art or adjacent to one of his early experimental shows.

"Multifaceted genius" - trope-tastic phrase, but now I wonder if he's describing himself as a prism, literal prism and has now ascended after discovering Pink Floyd.

"luminous trailblazer" Yes it's a metaphor, but literally this is funny. He's not the moon. He's not a glowing light source setting things on fire in his wake for a path 💀. Or will he be? I think he's going to fight the Beyhive, lose, and then enter Sandman Akasha.

[joe-england]

[johnnysilverhandssuitcasenuke]

[unsolicited-opinions]

This Isn't a New Problem...

I've mentioned these quotes before:

The fundamental cause of the trouble in the modern world today is that the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.

- Bertrand Russell

The best lack all conviction, while the worst Are full of passionate intensity

-W.B. Yeats

But the problem is that bad writers tend to have the self-confidence, while the good ones tend to have self-doubt.

-Charles Bukowski

Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.

- Charles Darwin

A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool.

- William Shakespeare

The connective tissue between these quotes, it turns out, isn't as obvious as I'd thought.

Confidence and certainty often inversely correlate with actual wisdom, intelligence, or competence.

Russell observes it as a societal problem (that the foolish are certain, the wise are doubtful).

Yeats frames it in terms of moral conviction and passion.

Bukowski applies it specifically to the creative process and writing.

Darwin notes that ignorance breeds confidence more than knowledge does

Shakespeare captures the essence through the contrast between the fool's self-perception and the wise person's self-awareness.

We could add more quotes to this list.

The only true wisdom is in knowing you know nothing.

- Socrates

I know that I am intelligent, because I know that I know nothing.

- Socrates

Real knowledge is to know the extent of one's ignorance.

-Confucius

One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision.

-Bertrand Russell

The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt.

- Bertrand Russell

Confidence is ignorance. If you're feeling cocky, it's because there's something you don't know

- Eoin Colfer

This is a universal problem of the human condition, and it has a modern name: The Dunning-Kruger effect.

In 1999, psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger scientifically documented what philosophers and writers had observed for millennia - people with limited knowledge in a domain consistently overestimate their competence, while experts, aware of the vast complexity they've encountered, become more cautious and self-doubting.

The effect traces a revealing curve in which beginners start at "Mount Stupid," brimming with unearned confidence. As they learn more, they descend into the "Valley of Despair," realizing how much they don't know. Only with genuine expertise do they climb back up the Slope of Enlightenment...but now with earned confidence tempered by humility.

Why does this happen?

Incompetence doesn't just prevent you from being good at something, it prevents you from recognizing that you're not good at it.

You lack the very knowledge needed to assess your own lack of knowledge.

As Dunning himself put it: "The knowledge and intelligence that are required to be good at a task are often the same qualities needed to recognize that one is not good at that task."

The modern danger

In an age of social media and instant expertise, the confident voices of Mount Stupid drown out the hesitant wisdom in the Valley or the expertise on the Slope.

The algorithm rewards certainty over nuance, hot takes over careful analysis. Those who know the least often shout the loudest and get the most attention.

The antidote

Embrace the wisdom tradition that spans from Socrates to Dunning-Kruger, intellectual humility.

Question your certainties. Seek out complexity. Remember that confidence is not competence, and doubt is not weakness—it's often the mark of a mind that's truly engaged with reality.

As you scroll through your feeds today, as you opine, as you formulate hot takes - ask yourself:

Am I on Mount Stupid, in the Valley of Despair, or on the Slope of Enlightenment?

And what does an honest answer TELL you about where you are?

[acurtist]

Finally, I've mastered the art of painting myself into a corner 😮‍💨🤡