Friday Night!!!
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Friday Night!!!
Major breaking: A juror allegedly leaked the verdict in Trump's bogus misdemeanor- turned-felony on a "novel legal theory" trial, where a conviction can be made on a federal crime in a state court with just a few jurors agreeing on the crime...despite those crimes not being argued.
Mistrial inbound.
If that Facebook comment from one of the juror's cousin is confirmed, a mistrial must be declared immediately or the justice system's credibility is FOREVER damaged. 🤔
Trump has so many charges against him that he's almost certainly going to be convicted of something. Not everything, probably not even a majority, but something. He knows he won't get unanimous acquittals across the board, so his only hope will be to slip loyalists onto some of the juries to hang them. A mistrial means months or years of delays as prosecution works each case through the system all over again.
In New York, he'd be retried over and over until a unanimous verdict is reached, guilty or not guilty, however long that takes, and every state level Republican candidate from now on will campaign on promises to drop the charges or pardon him or help him in some way, shape, or form.
In Georgia (he hasn't been indicted yet, but it's coming), he's going to be pardoned almost immediately. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if he gets pardoned before it even goes to trial. Yeah, the governor refused to find 11,000 votes for him, but he's still a Republican and trump is still the leader of his party. If he didn't pardon trump, he would be crucified by his voters and shamed out of office, and his successor would pardon him instead. If he stood his ground and couldn't be bullied into resigning, then just as in New York every Republican candidate would run on the pardon promise platform. Trump will NEVER face justice in Georgia.
In the federal case in Florida, a mistrial means the judge, a trump appointee, could drop the charges and prevent the DOJ from retrying it. Best case scenario, it would get delayed into 2025 or 2026 and a different judge in the southern district of Florida will be randomly assigned to it, but that's assuming Biden wins re-election in 2024. If trump wins, he'd immediately pardon himself, or invoke the 25th to have his loyalist VP pardon him to avoid a Supreme Court decision on a self-pardon's validity. If Biden wins, the 2028 Republican candidates will all run on promises to pardon him, so he'll be out of prison the second the White House goes red. I don't trust Democrats to hold the line long enough for him to die in prison.
The federal case in Washington, DC looks open and shut, the best chance for a conviction. Trump only has four appointees in that district, so the odds of him getting off on a retrial in case of a hung jury are 4 in 13, 30.77% (4/15, 26.67% if Biden can fill the two remaining vacancies). Again, all this does is kick the can down the road until 2025 or 2026. He will walk free whenever the Republicans take back power.
The only way donald trump faces long term consequences for his crimes is if New York stays solid blue for the rest of his life, something like the next 15 or 20 years. The federal charges will disappear the second one of his allies gets elected president; I don't think the party would nominate him for a fourth time in 2028 if he loses 2024 for them, so it's looking like it's gonna be ron desantis vs Kamala Harris (God help us all). Then again, who knows? A lot can happen in the next 5 years, so maybe some nobody will be frontrunner by then and desantis will have slinked away into post-gubernatorial obscurity like Jeb and Charlie Crist. Whoever trump endorses will be the nominee, so whoever strokes his ego the hardest will have hometeam advantage. My money says it'll be some blonde woman or a lightskinned black guy for diversity points (whoever it is, they'll be even farther right than trump himself)
Your honor! This dog is found guilty of numerous crimes!
This— animal! Has been found guilty of battery! Assault! Theft!(foor wear, fried chicken, hotdogs) and vandalism of footwear!
I don't see a dog! I just see a pile of indistinguishable floof! I'm putting this trial on hold until the suspect is apprehended!
The case that should be labeled mistrial for the judge’s actions might still go to mistrial for juror conduct…
Judge Merchan has notified prosecutors and Donald Trump’s defense about this comment left on the NY court system’s FB a day before the verdict:
"My cousin is a juror and says Trump is getting convicted 🎉 Thank you folks for all your hard work!!!! ♥️.”
nycourts.gov/LegacyPDFS/pre… https://x.com/molcranenewman/status/1799176715295723574?s=46
Totally didn’t draw him with the wrong legs
Lou Reed.
Top mistrial!
www.louiejoyce.com/blade.html