Satellites that see through clouds
Typically, weather forecasters use satellites to monitor changing cloud formations, but traditional views of clouds from space are limited to the tops. At times, something much more interesting is going on below. Wouldn’t it be great if there was a satellite sensor that could see into the cloud, or even all the way through to the earth’s surface? Well in fact there is. Microwave radiation emitted from the earth and the atmosphere has a much longer wavelength than visible light or infrared radiation, so it is less affected by tiny cloud droplets.
To take advantage of this characteristic, there are currently a number of polar orbiting satellites with sensors that measure emitted microwave radiation. The information they collect is used to detect atmospheric and surface features regardless of whether they are obscured by clouds or not. Microwave sensors can detect rainfall, sea ice, soil moisture, snow cover, ocean winds and many other things.
Two microwave products are particularly important for monitoring moisture in the atmosphere. One is “Total Precipitable Water” (or TPW), and the other is “Rain Rate”. TPW is a measure of the depth of water in a column of the atmosphere if all the water in that column were precipitated as rain. Rain Rate is an estimate of the amount of rain actually falling at that instant. So the units of TPW are millimeters (or inches) and the units of rain rate are millimeters (or inches) per hour.
These two microwave products are especially important for weather forecasting in Alaska because storms that approach from the Pacific Ocean often have very little observed information that can help assess intensity. Even when these storms near the Alaskan coast, there area a limited number of weather radars and their coverage is significantly blocked by high terrain.
The animation above is a sequence of traditional 11um Infrared images from SNPP and MetOp polar satellites between 1118 UTC 17 Aug 2017 and 0447 UTC 18 Aug 2017. The color enhancement highlights colder temperatures where red to fuchsia are the coldest. Typically the coldest clouds are also the highest, and high cloud tops are assumed to have the strongest development with the most rain, but that is not always the case.
The next animation above is the microwave TPW or Total Precipitable Water product for the same time period as shown above. Here we are looking at moisture. The largest moisture values are shown in green to yellow colors. From this set of images you can see that there is a huge area of very moist air. When compared with the Infrared animation, you’ll notice this falls to the southeast of the highest cloud tops. This may indicate a potential for rain, but we still are not sure what is currently making it to the ground.
This final animation above is similar to the previous one but with Rain Rate plotted on top of TPW. In these images, pink shows lighter rain rates with blue to cyan (and a few yellow) pixels showing where the rain rates are the greatest. Maximum rain rates reach .20-.25 inches per hour in each of the passes. Although there are some areas where the cold (and thus, higher) cloud tops match the heaviest rain rates, significant rain rates extend over a much larger area than the cloud tops alone would suggest.
Also, traditional IR animation shows the clouds becoming less organized by the last frame, while significant rain rates are still indicated along the coast over central and southern southeast Alaska. Although difficult to see in this animation, one other thing to note is that the high rain rates did not extend to the northern portion of southeast Alaska.
So, what actually happened on the day of this event? Below are 24 hour rain amounts on 17 Aug 2017 for a few southeast Alaska cities. The heavier amounts were indeed significant and primarily located in the central and southern portions of the panhandle:
Southeast Alaska Rainfall August 17, 2017
Skagway 0.18 in (northern SE Alaska)
Haines 0.20 in (northern SE Alaska)
Juneau 1.20 in (central SE Alaska)
Annex Cr. 1.61 in (central SE Alaska)
Sitka 1.65 in (central SE Alaska)
Point Baker 1.11 in (central SE Alaska)
Annette 1.01 in (southern SE Alaska)
Hyder 1.48 in (southern SE Alaska)
In the previous event, the areas of high rain rates were not far from the coldest (highest) cloud tops, but as mentioned earlier this is not always the case.
In the image sequence above, the microwave rain rate is toggled on/off as an overlay on an 11um infrared image with the same color enhancement used previously. In this example the coldest cloud tops are well to the east of the main rain area, more than 250 miles in some locations.
As these examples illustrate, microwave TPW and Rate Rates can be important tools for monitoring what is occurring in the whole atmosphere and not just at the top of clouds. They are especially critical for ocean storm systems where radar and other in situ observations are few and far between.