You think Lizzie will die?
unfortunately, yes. first of all, lizzy’s shift to r!ciel’s side isn’t driven by a desire for revenge against ciel. around two months passed between her first appearance at the music hall and her publicly standing by ciel’s side, and likely even less time since she learned that r!ciel was actually alive. a few words and a single meeting were enough to shake everything she had believed in for the past three years.
she is deeply conflicted internally—on one hand, she feels hurt, but a much stronger force behind her actions is guilt and resentment toward herself. even though she saw the signs, she deliberately ignored them to avoid leaving her comfort zone and being forced to confront an inconvenient truth. her anger toward ciel is momentary—“you must have been laughing at me in your head while i ran around you like an idiot”—because, in a way, she is able to understand his decision—“would i have been just as happy if you had come back as yourself, and not as your brother?”
ultimately, the person she (wrongly) blames the most is herself. despite still being a child, she feels as though part of the responsibility for ciel’s deception lies with those around him—including her. to her, ciel had always come second to his brother (ciel sees himself as the spare, and while the story frames this more as his own perspective, lizzy realizes that she did treat him that way. it wasn’t “you’re both my cousins and i wouldn’t mind either of you becoming my fiancé”—for her, it was “that’s my fiancé, r!ciel, and his brother”). i wouldn’t be surprised if, without fully understanding ciel’s motivations, she attributes part of the blame to the attention that was always directed at his brother, leaving him in the shadows.
those three years she experienced feel like a betrayal toward both of her cousins. on one hand, she betrayed her real fiancé by pretending not to see the cracks in ciel’s mask; on the other, she betrayed ciel by—consciously or not—choosing not to question his inconsistencies, so she wouldn’t have to confront whether he was truly the brother she wanted. they were all supposed to be family, yet she deceived both herself and him to preserve the image she had built in her head.
at the same time, this “betrayal” works in the opposite direction as well. i believe lizzy loves ciel—not the person he pretended to be. he didn’t smile when she decorated an egg for him, but unlike his brother, he didn’t reject her when she proved to be strong and capable. he didn’t thank her when she tried to bring him cake, but he raised his voice out of concern when their lives were at risk on the ship. he didn’t respond to her affection in the way she expected, but he still showed that he cared—just differently. for him, her safety mattered more than any material gesture.
that guilt is the main reason she stands beside r!ciel. his presence shattered the carefully assembled puzzle she had been holding onto, even with pieces missing. she fled to him not because she wanted to, but because, from her perspective, she no longer has the right to stand where she once did. “i don’t know what to do.” “i can’t go back there.” even though her real fiancé turned out to be alive (and we don’t know if she understands the full nature of that), lizzy is never shown to be happy about it. we see her numb, crying—but never grateful that, despite the deception, the one she “truly loved” returned for her.
at one point she says, “i knew [r!]ciel and undertaker were up to no good, but if [r!]ciel were to die again…”—and i don’t think that means she wouldn’t be able to cope with his death. it means she would have nowhere left to return to. she knows perfectly well she stands on the losing side. “i’m sorry, [r!]ciel. i can’t help you.” despite being torn apart by contradictions and feeling unworthy of standing beside ciel, she still remains on his side—but i think that may be her downfall. it feels like we’re watching both ciel and lizzy trapped in a well, and while she won’t take sebastian’s outstretched hand, she will help ciel climb out, lifting him higher.
additionally, i think the events so far are an important narrative element that echoes volume three: “the king always uses his pawns to survive. no matter how high the mountain of corpses beneath his throne grows, he cannot fall.” madam red fell first. then agni—and with him soma, whose light died alongside his servant, and who will never return as the person he once was. snake has also died, and lizzy is heading toward the same fate.
It's a valid point to make about the pile of corpses, and probably the one I find most convincing out of this argument. Elizabeth is probably the person Ciel cares most about at this point (I think that he is more attached to and enmeshed with Sebastian, but he cares about Lizzie far more), and this story is centred around him, the losses he incurs and his culpability in that regard. Being forced to live on past Lizzie's loss would be another one of those terrible awful duties of survival the narrative keeps doling out.
However, I'm not sure the narrative frames Lizzie's path as involving a return to Ciel in that way. I agree she'll likely have a role in hauling him up; another parallel to Sebastian, and how they've come to possibly represent his old life - institutional arrangements, real Ciel etc, v an ability to make a future for himself (and the odd unfairness of either), and that parallel placing them at odds does imply one or the other having some sort of dark fate whilst the other continues at Ciel's side, but I think that having Lizzie sacrifice herself for Ciel in some way would feel so anticlimactic, and a squandering of the character. I believe she's beginning to consciously recognise the immense constraint of the role she has been born into, and reckon with how impossible it is to escape given how ingrained it is into her psyche and her social situation. Nonetheless, I think her interacting with it on her own account rather than entwining her narrative further with Ciel and being sublimated into his character arc. That outcome would seem to me to defeat her recent development and be almost cruel - the story does regularly deal in cruelty and brutality, even with it's chief characters, and that's part of what gives it such a relentlessly authentic grim atmosphere, but because that brutality has deliberate weight.
But I suppose I just really don't want Lizzie to die.
I agree that so much of her current/recent action is driven by the revelations you have outlined, and I would like to see those further explored and reckoned with, beyond how they sit in her worldview - despite the shame she feels for not noticing, and loving an ideal, and realising how much of her identity is predicated on that, realising that Ciel's deception itself isn't her fault, and reckoning with the sheer violation of it. I certainly wouldn't like for her death to be framed as a sort of atonement.
@postpastiche (whom I'm tagging so obnoxiously since they've made some interesting posts about Lizzie recently, and I'd be fascinated to see what they have to think about this, sorry) described Kuro situating childhood as a being constantly eaten, and having to survive that - I think the story is setting Lizzie up to have to live and reckon with how her world has shaped her, how imperfectly she exists, and have to commit to the daunting task of existing for herself rather than within another (you are so right when you point out how what she's doing now is finding someone to stand behind, searching for sublimation rather than her own self.)
Very tired, so apologies for how garbled this may be.
i actually struggle a lot with making theories/predictions so when i try to think about what will happen in kuro i draw a complete blank. i'm general i'm open to being surprised but like yeah i think i would be disappointed if lizzie died. mainly bc i like her a lot hehe 🫣 but i can see her dying of the sake of advancing the plot! i really dont knowwww
but like themetically yeah i think it would be a waste of lizzie's character for her to die (even if yana is setting her up with death flags -- again i'm bad at picking up on that stuff). i'm a firm believer that our ciel does love lizzie in a way that's actually really earnest and, aside from sebastian, that might be one of his most earnest relationships in the entire series. i think op's headcanons about the cielizzie marriage hit on a probable truth that lizzie and sebastian occupy these totally different spheres of ciel's affection. and it's sort of crucially different from sebastian and r!ciel because sebastian and r!ciel are diametrically opposed. their existences represent a definite break in the two chapter's of our ciel's life, and for 90% of the story there's an implicit belief that those two chapters can never ever overlap (until blue cult wrecks that belief). r!ciel is openly antagonistic towards sebastian, sebastian is visibly perturbed by his presence, all of that creates this tone that these two characters shouldn't exist together and they can only ever be in conflict.
with lizzie it's completely different ofc. she's the only person who is deeply involved in both the before and after chapters of ciel's life (besides tanaka, but i don't think he counts for reasons i dont feel like getting into rn). i think ciel loves her in the way that he loves the gilded memory of his childhood (and he gets frustated with her in the same ways he gets frustrated by the memories of his childhood and who he used to be). there's a reason why every time ciel has a flashback to when his parents and brother were still alive, lizzie is also there.
by contrast, i think ciel feels like he likes sebastian against his better judgement. there's a post i reblogged like a while ago and i'm too lazy to link but basically it was a quote from yana (?) about how sebastian sees himself as very dapper and polite and he finds enjoyment in being dapper and polite, but ciel sees that as him just holding his beastly desires back for the sake of the contract. i definitely think ciel feels a ton of affection for sebastian, but i think he regards that as like. something of a lapse (and to be honest, anybody would regard it as a lapse to feel affection for the thing that, by its own admission, is going to eat you one day). sebastian understands him and has shaped him in a way that lizzie can't and never could, but because of that, ciel's affections for her are just less fraught. i think he feels compelled to do good by her, and i think he genuinely wants to be... worthy (?) of the love she claims to feel for him. this ties into the whole thing where it's like -- ciel lies about his identity but he's not trying to be his brother. he's not acting as the sociable, courageous, strong twin. he's exactly who he is, and blue revenge is about how he is fit to be earl phantomhive. he also wants to be fit to be loved by lizzie as himself
okay i just realized i've gone on this whole tangent and not touched on what i think about lizzie dying. uhhh yeah i'd say i'm more interested in her having to live with the destruction of her own idea of happiness, which she acknowleges was founded on a lie, and then having to make something new out of that. just like our ciel had to!
I think the way more likely (and narratively more satisfying) scenario is Ciel sacrificing himself for Lizzy. My personal favourite idea of an ending for kuro is Ciel dying in order to protect someone else - and Lizzy is the obvious and, perhaps, only choice here. There is, of course, a chance for the "happy" ending variant in which the contract is broken but Ciel does not die because he has caused just the right havoc for some insane grim reaper* (they are all insane in their own way) to judge him "good for the world", but maybe that is just me being overly optimistic.
I genuinely think that Lizzy definitely needs to have a future, a future she chooses for herself. In my reading of the story, it is fairly obvious that o!Ciel genuinely is in love with Lizzy in a romantic sense (which is what Sebastian is having that laughing fit in BoA about, that is the moment Sebastian realizes the f*ed up emotional situation his young master finds himself in, and to him, that is hilarious.
I also really, really wanna see Frances more involved (and believe that her being deeply involved in the murder of the Phantomhives would be "best" in the sense that it has the most options for tragic parallels (Lizzy/Sieglinde and being used by their mothers; Ciel and Frances as younger siblings; Frances and Madam Red...), and also because it being her and her having a *good reason* would make Ciel's revenge much more difficult. My personal preference is for him to choose to forgive when it comes to it, and for that the responsible party needs a good motive...
The pile of corpses is interesting imagery, because it is a sort of lie Sebastian tells Ciel - he repeatedly gives Ciel the feeling that the boy has "sacrificed" his brother (when Ciel did no such thing, certainly not deliberately - he just felt a certain way and yelled things in an incredibly traumatic situation, but he never wanted to trade his brother's soul and did not even know about it being a possible consequence). The same then applies to Madam Red - her story is almost exclusively the result of her own actions; she (an adult) chose to become a serial killer, to work together with a grim reaper. She did not stop her murders when her little nephew started to investigate. Ciel did not kill her, in fact he ordered Sebastian not to kill her. Grell killed her. And still Sebastian encourages Ciel to take the blame upon himself.
Agni's death, likewise, is not really Ciel's fault. He was killed by Polaris, on orders of Undertaker and r!Ciel, and o!Ciel even made it clear that he is not forcing them to stay in his house; and both Agni and Soma must have understood the general danger they are in by association with the "Queen's Watchdog".
But I think Ciel means it when he says he will protect Lizzy, "at least". In BoA, when he and Sebastian stay behind, for example, Ciel has no idea if his fragile body can withstand the cold for hours on an open boat (even if he trusts Sebastian's powers to hold off the dolls), but he does it anyway, for "Lizzy (and the others)".
Also, I would like to see them as adults - they would have to change so much, and in many ways I'd expect them to follow their "natural" temperament more, so characterizing them as adults is both difficult and fun, and would be very interesting in a gender-related sort of way, because I'd expect their personalities and dynamic to settle into something quite unconventional but also very complementary if they are allowed to grow and grow up in peace.




























