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@dailyglory-blog
These are photos of the morning sky when I woke up from September 10 to September 14, 2012 respectively. I took them myself and I took them from my bedroom window.
I think the photos clearly show that the days had started out similarly and the sky has been generally overcast for the entire week.
These are satellite images of the PAR with typhoon Karen on its course. These images are from September 11 to September 13, 2012. I got them from http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
What I thought about this project
When I first knew we were going to have a project like this, I thought it was going to be difficult. It was. The getting the information portion was not that hard, the remembering to check the weather at frequent intervals during the day was the challenging part! I truly realized how easy it is to overlook something so influential because it has become such an indispensible part of our lives like the weather. We don't really notice the clouds everyday or the sun or the sky. They're just there all the time so we forget to really pay attention to them. They're just at the edge of our consciousness, which is called preconscious level in Freudian Psychology. This means that the weather is something we don't really notice until someone or something points it out or draws our attention to it. In the case of weather, we only notice it when it starts to disturb us because it’s so unusually beautiful or turbulent.
Sometimes I would almost forget to observe the weather, which is why the time of my observations in the afternoon and the evening weren't always consistent. I patterned my observation times with my usual routine of waking up and going home from school so I would remember to check the weather more easily. However, I still forgot to get the weather report from PAG-ASA for two separate days. Thankfully, I was able to search for an alternative weather reporter/forecaster in the form of timeanddate.com. This alternative was even better since the site also provided the pressure, wind direction, speed, humidity and even visibility. Timeanddate.com was also more convenient since they keep archives of their weather report and observations, so even after the 5 days of observing were up, I could still access their data.
I was disappointed though because I was planning on including the satellite images from typhoon2000.com/maybagyo.com; however, I could not access their site during the time I was observing the weather for 5 consecutive days. When I was able to check their site, they always had the same satellite image for different days. I think their system had a glitch somewhere, which is unfortunate for me because the glitch just had to manifest itself when I was doing my observations. I compensated by getting the satellite images from PAG-ASA's site. Unfortunately, I forgot to get it for the last day and during the first day, I was trying so hard to get it from maybagyo.com that I didn't try or even think of getting it from PAG-ASA's site.
Despite my shortcomings, I still believe that I did try my best and I think I learned an important lesson from class that was fostered by this project. I never forgot what you said about how a good cloud observer is most probably also going to be a good weather forecaster, which is why I tried my best to observe the clouds really well while I was doing the project. Even now that it's done, I find myself watching the sky and the clouds more often and more closely. I think I appreciate the clouds even better now because I understand how much they contribute to the weather systems by knowing what implications different clouds have. I have always had an appreciation for nature and the beauty of the sky, but it is different now that I can look past the clouds and their majesty and also understand how powerful they can be.
I liked this project even though it was very challenging because it also helped me be more disciplined. It forced me to pay attention to something I easily overlook, which is a good thing because most of the things people overlook in life are the most important parts like family, friends, food, clean socks, dry pants, two livers, seeing eyes and 10 fingers. Just imagine life without your pinky! You won't be able to make a pinky swear! Imagine life without clouds, i.e., water vapor in the air! We wouldn't be able to breathe. Take note of the simple things. It's a simple lesson that has been repeated to everybody since childhood and it's easy to understand; however, actual application of it is not as easy. This project forced me to remember that simple lesson and to actually do it, which is why I am grateful for this assignment and I think it should be continued as a project for this class.
September 14, 2012
DESCRIPTIVE WEATHER REPORT:
This morning has been similar to the past few days' mornings. It was cool and the sky was cloudy. All throughout the entire day, it has been cloudy still. It was also more windy today than yesterday. The weather has been more pleasant today. However, it wasn't humid like I predicted yesterday. It was actually cool today and there was precipitation. It rained a little when I left the Fine Arts building after my class. It only became humid and warm again at around 5:00 pm. But I did detect cumulonimbus clouds in the sky at that time as well.
FORECAST FOR TOMORROW:
I've been mistakenly predicting this for the past two days but I really think it will probably rain tomorrow because Karen has made us wait long enough. She greeted the Metro with a little bit of a welcoming party in the form of a mild drizzle, so the rest of her party will probably arrive soon. She will make it rain in Metro Manila.
September 14 Observations from www.timeanddate.com
September 13, 2012
DESCRIPTIVE WEATHER REPORT:
I am so frustrated because it still has not rained today. When will Karen make a landfall in Metro Manila. Obviously, my prediction about today being rainy and stormy was wrong.
Today has actually been similar to the past few days. It was cloudy and cool in the morning but warm in the afternoon. Unlike yesterday, today there was no observable wind. The greatest change is probably that it is much warmer and humid today even at around 10:00 in the evening. The heat is stifling.
FORECAST FOR TOMORROW:
I really think that Karen is soon approaching. So she might make a landfall tomorrow. I'm not willing to bet though because she has been super unreliable. So probably, since the weather has been kind of stable for the past few days, the weather tomorrow will be similar. Humid, not windy, cool in the morning with the temperature rising as the day progresses and there will be little to no precipitation.
September 13 Observations from www.timeanddate.com
September 13 PAG-ASA Weather Report
Weather
Issued at: 5:00 a.m., 13 September 2012
At 4:00 a.m. today, Tropical Storm "KAREN" was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 540 km East of Virac, Catanduanes (14.4°N, 129.9°E) with maximum sustained winds of 105 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 135 kph. It is forecast to move Northwest at 15 kph.
Metro Manila
24°C to 31°C
Moderate to Strong:
Southwest-South
Manila Bay:
Moderate to Rough
Source: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
September 12, 2012
DESCRIPTIVE WEATHER REPORT:
I woke up in a similar fashion to the past few days and observed similarities in the morning sky from the same vantage point every morning. The sky is still cloudy. However, what's interesting to note is it was cool and very windy at around 10:00 am in the PHAn lobby and it was considerably less humid than the past few days. There's also a little more blue in the sky.
At around 4:45 as I was going home, I also observed that all three general types of clouds were present in the sky. I was observing the sky from the train so I think I was given quite a wide vantage point. There were cirrus, cumulus and stratus clouds. The presence of cirrus clouds could indicate that Karen is already approaching Metro Manila. However, like yesterday, it still hasn't rained today.
I was generally correct in my forecast from yesterday except for the unexpected windiness and my wrong prediction about humidity. It was cloudy, there was little sun and it did not rain. However, admittedly it was less cloudy today than yesterday.
FORECAST FOR TOMORROW:
It will be a lot sunnier tomorrow and very humid, until the storm reaches Metro Manila by tomorrow then it will be humid until rain pours hard (and it will be hard to commute home from school). :( Since there are cirrus clouds already, I am guessing the storm Karen will reach Metro Manila tomorrow, bringing with it lots and lots of rain. The absence of precipitation today and yesterday is also making me impatient for the stormy weather Karen is foreboding to bring with her.
September 12 Observations from www.timeanddate.com
September 12 PAG-ASA Weather Report
Weather
Issued at: 5:00 a.m., 12 September 2012
At 4:00 a.m. today, Tropical Storm "KAREN" was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 660 km East of Borongan, Eastern Samar (12.0°N, 132.4°E) with maximum sustained winds of 65 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 80 kph. It is forecast to move North Northwest at 15 kph. Meanwhile, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated at 240 km West of Zambales (15.0°N, 117.5°E).
Metro Manila
24°C to 32°C
Light to Moderate:
Southwest
Manila Bay:
Slight to Moderate
Source: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
September 11 PAG-ASA Weather Report
Tropical Cyclone Update
Issued at: 11:00 p.m., 11 September 2012
Tropical Storm "KAREN" has maintained its strength and has slightly accelerated as it continues to move over the East Philippine Sea.
Source: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
September 11, 2012
DESCRIPTIVE WEATHER REPORT:
I still felt cool and comfortable when I woke up at around 7:00 in the morning. It was very cloudy and I didn't really feel any wind. From my bedroom window, I could observe that almost the entire sky was white so I assume those were stratus clouds. However, there was a single dark band of nimbus cloud among the sky's whiteness.
At 2:30 pm outside UP Diliman, on the way home from school, I noticed it was a lot warmer than in the morning, which is to be expected in the Philippines. It was not sunny, not windy and still cloudy. There's more color in the clouds today but the sky's still predominantly white even in the afternoon and it is not as humid as yesterday.
At 7:30 pm in Wilson street in Greenhills, I was training as one of the competing members of Unschooled that will join the Centaur dance competition on September 27. We have training every day so I will usually be observing weather at this area as well. I noticed it didn't rain at all which could help explain why it was intensely humid! There was already a lot of water vapor in the atmosphere.
FORECAST FOR TOMORROW:
It will be similar to today. It will be cloudy, there will be little sun and it will be humid. It will probably not rain.
Thing(s) of note:
The LPA has become a tropical cyclone with the name Karen
September 11 Observations from www.timeanddate.com
September 10, 2012
DESCRIPTIVE WEATHER REPORT:
It was generally warm and humid throughout the day, except during the morning when the weather was a little cooler and it was not humid. During the morning stratus clouds covered the sky. The sky was all white, overcast. But in the afternoon, cumulonimbus clouds became more pronounced and were observed among other clouds in the sky. The portended rain did fall as a little drizzle during the afternoon. The rainfall became heavier towards the evening, but it did not last long.
FORECAST FOR TOMORROW:
It will be similar to today. It will be cool in the morning, cloudy throughout the day and will rain a little bit in the afternoon. It will be humid in the afternoon until early evening, until it starts to rain, then it will be less humid.
Thing(s) of note:
An LPA was spotted in the ITCZ
September 10 Observations from www.timeanddate.com
September 10 PAG-ASA Weather Report
Weather
Issued at: 5:00 a.m., 10 September 2012
At 2:00 am today, A Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 960 km East of Mindanao (7.4°N, 136.0°E) embedded along the Intertropical Convergence Zone affecting Visayas and Mindanao.
Metro Manila
24°C to 32°C
Light to Moderate:
Southeast
Manila Bay:
Slight to Moderate
Source: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph