My Oscars 2018 Predictions
2017 was, for me, a year where we see the transition from producing movies that are formulaic in nature to producing films that are diverse and dense in nature. That is tantamount to saying that the Oscar nominee line-up this year poses a list of films that are usually away from everyone’s ballot, or at least from the esteemed Academy veterans. Such is because of the influx of new Academy members, showing that indeed new lenses were introduced to the committees who hand out the prestigious golden statue. Nevertheless, placing predictions from this year’s competing nominees have been difficult because each film has meritorious nods on its own that deserve recognition. Here are my predictions for the Oscars 2018:
Best Visual Effects
The race is brutal in this category as previous visual effects nominees’ sequels came rushing into the line-up, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 and Star Wars: The Last Jedi, as well as the critically-acclaimed Blade Runner 2049. What stands out for me is the latest addition to Matt Reeves series, War of the Planet of the Apes not only because it used the new motion capture tool by Weta Digital, but because it is made by multi-Oscar-award-for-best-Visual-effects Joe Letteri (who is notable for his work in Avatar and the Lord of the Rings trilogy). My best bet goes to the veteran on this one.
Will win: War of the Planet of the Apes
Could Win: Blade Runner 2049
Best Sound Mixing
If sounds could tell a whole story, they’re better told in Dunkirk and Baby Driver than the rest of the nominees in this category. Many overlook the essence of what it really means to perfectly sync sound to scene, and I think both films made sure to make them stick.
Will win: Dunkirk
Could Win: Baby Driver
Best Sound Editing
The sounds made for the film itself is best achieved by Dunkirk among the nominees. The difficulty in predicting the winner for this category lies in that the previous winners for the category (e.g. American Sniper, Mad Max: Fury Road) each have different reasoning on why they won in that it’s almost a blur choosing between mixing and editing.
Will win: Dunkirk
Could Win: The Shape of Water
Best Original Song
Typically, the Best Original Song is awarded to a well-rounded song that is essentially used in a film scene; and this year’s nominees have two of those in competition: This is Me from The Greatest Showman and Remember Me from Coco. In the end, it all boils down to taste, and I would have to follow my own.
Will win: Remember Me from Coco
Could win: This is Me from The Greatest Showman
Best Original Score
I rarely get enticed so much by a musical score but The Shape of Water soundtrack made by the Oscar-winning scorer Alexandre Desplat (who once competed with himself for the same category in the year of The Grand Budapest Hotel and Interstellar) has transported me to the magical world that is the setting of the film, and that’s not something I believe the other nominees besides Dunkirk could possibly overcome.
Will win: The Shape of Water by Alexandre Desplat
Could win (although a long shot, at best): Dunkirk
Best Production Design
A truly magnanimous design, often from period films, are the Oscar snatchers of this category, and this year is no different, as the frontrunners, at least from my book, are The Shape of Water (set in the 60s) and Darkest Hour (set during Winston Churchill’s seat of power). But what quickly changed the game this year is Blade Runner 2049 which took my breath away with its set design! This is a hard pick to make.
Will win: The Shape of Water
Could win: Blade Runner 2049
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Yet another year of unprecedented nominees, this category continues to surprise me since all the nominees are focused on natural-looking prosthetics, instead of the typical nominees that are superhero movies or science fiction ones. I would have to go with the fluid prosthetics made by Kazuhiro Tsuji, Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski and Lucy Sibbick, to make Gary Oldman look like Winston Churchill.
Will win: Darkest Hour
Could win: Victoria & Abdul
Best Costume Design
Phantom Thread won me over in this category since, after all, the movie is literally about costume designing.
Will win: Phantom Thread
Best Foreign Language Film
I would say Ruben Östlund was surprised when his 2015 Force Majeure was snubbed unorthodoxly by the jury as it was thought to be a true frontrunner but ended up not even being nominated. Nonetheless, this year he comes back from his being robbed to being the 2018 true frontrunner with The Square, the Palm D’Or winner which stunned the Cannes audience with its unconventional satire. Alongside this film in the front row of the Foreign Language films is A Fantastic Woman which chronicles an LGBTQIA+ drama starring a transwoman. Both seem to win the best prize but I would go with the choice of going with the Art House film which I genuinely enjoy, and The Square gave me that and more.
Will win: The Square
Could win: A Fantastic Woman
Best Animated Feature
I’d like to think that Pixar won’t have it this year, or in the next years to come, but their winning streak surely isn’t stopping this year, as Coco climbs into an essentially good front row seat, where the other films sit comfortably way back in the back,, with The Breadwinner just a few seats in the middle of the whole thing.
I changed my mind, The Breadwinner surely has a more complexity and depth than the other nominees this year, and it’s high time to let Pixar with their entry Coco to stand a few steps down from the limelight, at least from my perspective. The Breadwinner is socially relenting, and it’s hard to go against its narrative depth. The other nominees still sit comfortably in the back row. I hope that the Academy derives the winner of this category not based on who produced it but on what is produced as the final product.
Will win: Coco The Breadwinner
Could win: The Breadwinner Coco
Best Editing
When Baby Driver stole that BAFTA from Dunkirk, I immediately had my eyes open the whole time: a true surprise, since BAFTA predicts this category most of the time. War films dominate this category like a lion amongst men, but I insisted on myself that I push through with considering Baby Driver. On the one hand, I Tonya sure hits those marks with the careful weaving of the ice skating stunts, and the dramatic intercutting of the mockumentary clips inspired by the true interviews.
Will win: Dunkirk
Could win: Baby Driver
In a perfect world (or rather a more personal choice): I Tonya
Best Cinematography
There are only a few spots to consider for best cinematography and this year’s Oscar lineup couldn’t have a more exciting battle: Mudbound’s Rachel Morrison, the first female director of phtography to ever join the ranks, Dunkirk’s Dutch Hoyte Van Hoytema, notable in his BAFTA nomination from working in Interstellar), and Blade Runner 2049’s Roger Deakins, who has received 13 Oscar nominations for this category. I think I would have to go with Blade Runner 2049 because that award is long overdue for Roger Deakins. Second comes Dunkirk, because of its amazing 65mm framing and smooth visuals.
Will win: Blade Runner 2049
Could win: Dunkirk
Best Original Screenplay
Probably the most expectation defying moment of this awards season is giving the WGA trophy to Get Out over the other nominees. I would say that that awarding is by far the most shocking of everything I have seen this year because the nature of the narrative is not one typically awarded by WGA as having the top prize. Nonetheless, I believe that the screenplay is something I would probably give to Ladybird or Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri, if only I were not met with that surprise WGA choice.
Will win: Get Out
Could win: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
Best Adapted Screenplay
Logan was a surprise, but I have to give this to the adaptation of Andre Aciman’s novel Call Me by Your Name. My choice was based on a meritorious dialogue, well-constructed story, and one that flows through like the melodramatic summer coming-of-age that it is.
Will win: Call Me by Your Name
Could win: Molly’s Game
Best Supporting Actor
Sam Rockwell aced all the awards in this category and it’s highly impossible not to see him grab that golden statue. His portrayal of a troubled policeman really exudes a grounded character.
Will win: Sam Rockwell from Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
Best Supporting Actress
This one is a no-brainer, Allison Janey outplays all the other in this category since hers is a character driven by utmost love-hate emancipatory emotion, something hard to pull off from a critical perspective.
Will win: Allison Janey from I, Tonya
Best Actor
Biographically written characters like Winston Churchill have that distinct power, and Gary Oldman could not be a more fitting actor to play him. That marks him as my winner: he’s so dissolved in the character that Churchill is truly embodied in him. In another light, Timothee Chalamet’s performance is also not to be snubbed.
Will win: Gary Oldman from Darkest Hour
Could win: Timothee Chalamet from Call Me by Your Name
Best Actress
The cream of the awards, and the true noteworthy celebration of what it is to be a woman acting for film, this award is given to the best of the best. Merryl Streep is once again nominated for this prestigious award, yet the newcomers are those who are the frontrunners, particularly Frances McDormand and, my personal choice, Margot Robbie. The fight is truly not character dependent but rather performance dependent, and I think whoever wins deserves it no matter what. Sally Hawkins also pulses throughout The Shape of Water (to think she did not even have any dialogue!) and with each of her gestures, the emotions can be felt.
Will win: Frances McDormand from Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
Could win: Sally Hawkins from The Shape of Water
In a perfect world where my personal favorites are the winner: Margot Robbie from I, Tonya
Best Director
From a critical angle, I believe this to be a control-based award, given to a director whose direction rings throughout: one that is potent in every which way. As delicate as this award is, most of the nominees over the years have been notable, well-known directors. This year, I pick Guillermo Del Toro because of his almost-auteur and spellbinding magic in handling the 1960s adult fairytale that is The Shape of Water. Christopher Nolan and Jordan Peele comes into mind as the potential spoilers because of their vision-oriented storytelling and manipulation of the film elements.
Will win: Guillermo Del Toro from The Shape of Water
Could win: Jordan Peele from Get Out OR Christopher Nolan from Dunkirk
Best Picture
What I cannot accept, until this day, is how my favorite film of last year, I Tonya was snubbed in this most acclaimed award. All of my sentiments aside, what stands out among all the rest, are Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri because of its unconventional-yet-conventional take on the familial relationships with hints and dashes of comedic and violent shades, and The Shape of Water, truly a visual spectacle that has a well-formed narrative that takes storytelling to a whole new level, painting a fairytale that can only be perfectly told by Del Toro himself.
Will win: The Shape of Water
Could win: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
The 90th Academy Awards is happening on March 4, 2018, at 5PM GMT -8:












