contestant timer predictions
Copying this whole thing from my twitter dont judge me but ive been thinking of the game in terms of death game tropes and ive come up with a list of predictions for the run the characters will have in the game
heres the tierlist
im doing this EXCLUSIVELY for fun and da love of da gaym and the rankings dont reflect my personal oppinion of your blorbos
feel free to engage and share your own theories bc this is supposed to be fun for everyone
if youre in any way involved with the development of the game, im sorry
this whole thing may cross into spoilers but i am not in fact a timetraveller and this is based on my hallucinations while playing so take it with a grain of salt
POTENTIAL LATEGAMERS: characters who i assume will make it the furthest in the game
Eddie is i think self-explanatory: safe for the rather low chance of a fakeout, we do need him to actually see this thing to the end. either that OR he dies first and we play as CD
bones im less confident in but 1 theyre a popular character and seem to be well-liked by the devs 2 theyre shaping up to be.. not really a rival or a 2nd love interest but definitely a major player in the story's emotional core i dont remember how many winners the game is meant to have exactly but i feel like if its a 1v1 final round bones make for a more interesting final boss than benny
least confident in him but i feel like Vicks comparatively less jovial demenor makes for a good overarching antagonist which would ALSO make a good final round. vick probably kinda... represents the system that traps the characters so sending him tumbling towards death WOULD be pretty solid thematically
LATE GAME (the pre-finalists!!)
possibly most controvercial one: im not sure benny is making it too awfully far. the most obvious way this whole thing goes down is eddie and benny are the final 1v1 and worse ends involve ONE of them winning with the better end involving them outsmarting the game and leaving together (benny dies in the vick route by becoming selfish, eddie dies in the sailor route by becoming too kind, and in the vega route they fuck around and find out enough to find the necessary rule loophole). which is fine if not a little predictable. benny vaguely reminds me of a CERTAIN other death game character whos whole thing was dying in the midgame and the protagonist tweaking over it in various ways. i feel like if benny doesnt get to join the endgame this is his most likely fate. the real total pardon was the friends we made along the way. if the "losing benny" pre-finale drama is not going anywhere, im pretty sure the major pre-finale death would be bones
sailor is divisive for me. he's set up to be on the kinder-more innocent side of the cast and just being good vibes all over, i feel like if the game is set up for more than one survivor he gets to live, but a character like him is a powerful mood shift signifyer. killing The Baby too early on would be a bit tasteless so he either lives period, or lives to the second half and dies when shit Really Hits The Fan
MID GAME (self-explanatory)
cecilia and rook i think are a packaged deal, they seem to have SOMETHING going on and figuring out the Something that definitely has to do with their crimes would make for a good chapter 2 Bplot, which requires at least one of them alive for a while. theres a good chance of them dying together. its possible for one of them to die and for the other one to stick around a little longer: they both make for good survivors with the caveat of only ONE of them suriving. depending on where the "heartless" thing goes, cecilia could be a good antagonistic presence (or a possible redemption arc). cecilia dying and rook becoming Her Own Master is also an option but she has a good chance of dying right after that for shits and giggles
we know pretty little about everyone, but we know especially little about maneki, which would make them a pretty interesting early-to-mid-game mystery. accepting them for revealing whatever their deal is may possibly finish their character arc, which in turn obliterates them on the spot. i can also see them becoming a good support source, which would make them a pretty solid survivor contendor.
vega is probably the most avantgarde person to encounter in a situation like this and i think they'd die during some sort of master plan that works out but involves a rule violation that ultimately gets them killed, with whatever they uncover in the process becoming a pivotal part of the endgame and a Stepping Stone for everyone
FIRST HALF (cannon fodder contestants who are probably not living too long)
i say this as their number one fan: elise is cooked. with vick being Mr System and bones having their teasted benny connection, elise is currently the least plot-relevant vick trio member. if the characterisation from this old sketch is still relevant, they're set up as a bit of a (i hate to say it) jax tadc character, with their questionable behavior definitely being BASED in something but not necessarily setting them up for a sobstory redemption. unless something abt them is introduced real quick (such as the popular-ish nepo baby theory), they'd probably make for like a goofy early miniboss: they get pushed on into revealing SOME characterisation and then die gloriously a bastard. elise dying would also intoduce such deathgame staples as "manipulative character remarks that theyre not upset about their least useful ally dying" and "everyone else remarking that although they didnt like the guy theyre not necessarily happy to see them die"
i feel like theres just nothing too interesting teased about cobyn to let him stick around for too long honestly?
DANGER ZONE (characters who imo are the FIRST to go)
an argument that goes for both of them is that their character cards are introduced very early on in their routes which would imply the player would need to use them in the nearest possible future (possibly because they dont get to be present in the game for long)
i feel like sandbags major contribution to the narrative was being at the center of c1 conflict and he just doesnt NEED to be here anymore. although considering his "early attention center" status in the in-universe show, he may just pull a kazuichi soda and peacefully stand in the corner not doing much till the vERY end. thatd be pretty funny
im like 90% sure that poppy is the first upcoming major character loss. first of all because of the afformentioned card situation (sidenote: card argument doesnt work the same for sailor because game mechanics are not his largest contribution to the game imo, his personality and status as the youngest matter more). second of all is because of her screentime. in vega's route eddie gets to (somewhat unexpectedly) get some bonding time in with her, which could lead to a pretty dramatic death scene in two rounds specifically. first obviously being vega's route, where the person you JUST had a moment with goes down and its like rrraah sad. secondly, in the vick route: a big part of vicks route is that eddie chooses to be less empathetic and more pragmatic when forging connections, and if contrasted with his possible reaction in vega's route, eddie's reaction being stunted or ridiculed by his teammates in vick's route would provide for some Sick Scenes
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