trying on a metaphor
todays bird
oozey mess
Claire Keane
occasionally subtle
Cosimo Galluzzi
wallacepolsom
will byers stan first human second
DEAR READER
KIROKAZE
Origami Around
Aqua Utopia｜海の底で記憶を紡ぐ
ellievsbear
JBB: An Artblog!
d e v o n
@theartofmadeline
⁂
shark vs the universe
styofa doing anything
Kiana Khansmith
seen from Venezuela
seen from Netherlands
seen from United States
seen from Türkiye
seen from Algeria
seen from Türkiye
seen from Iraq
seen from Jamaica
seen from Jamaica
seen from Jamaica
seen from Jamaica
seen from United States
seen from Malaysia
seen from Uruguay
seen from Uruguay
seen from United States
seen from United States
seen from United States
seen from United States
seen from United States
@lzynkm
NYC Weather Update - Dec 17, 2018
NYC Weather Update – Dec 17, 2018
This week starts off with a couple windy days, with Tuesday seeing a blast of Arctic air. Temperatures moderate Wednesday then start warming up on Thursday to above normal levels as a high pressure center slides off to our southeast and return flow from the southwest brings warmer air up our way. This will set the stage for a bout of possibly heavy rain to end the week.
Rest of today – partly…
View On WordPress
NYC Detailed Forecast for Saturday, Dec 15, 2018
NYC Detailed Forecast for Saturday, Dec 15, 2018
Saturday looks to be a dreary start to the weekend, however, it appears at this time that it’ll actually end up being the better half of the weekend. While rain chances exist for Saturday, the best conditions for heavier rain don’t look to materialize until Sunday. Even with clouds, rain, and winds shifting onshore from the east and northeast, Saturday afternoon may end up being the warmest day…
View On WordPress
NYC Weekend Weather - Dec 14, 2018
NYC Weekend Weather – Dec 14, 2018
A slow moving storm system will bring a prolonged period of unsettled weather to the NYC region this weekend. The upside of this storm is that it will usher in some warmer air from the south, giving us some above average temperatures for a brief spell. Behind this storm system a cold front is forecast to pass through early next week and return us to below normal cold for this time of year. I will…
View On WordPress
December 10, 2018 Southeastern Snowstorm Post-Mortem
December 10, 2018 Southeastern Snowstorm Post-Mortem
A major news story unfolded over the weekend as the Southeastern US got slammed with a snowstormthat dropped uncommon snow totals over the area, causing widespread travel disruptions. This region of the country is not accustomed to snowstorms of this scale and many municipalities were not prepared for it. Making matters worse, there was a major forecast bust in this storm, which shared key…
View On WordPress
NYC Weather Update - Dec 10, 2018
NYC Weather Update – Dec 10, 2018
This week features a continuation of the same general pattern we’ve experienced over the past week with below normal temperatures and no precipitation to speak of. Temperatures will remain cold through the majority of the work week until a pattern change this weekend brings a return of more seasonable (and even above average) temperatures along with the potential for a coastal storm that is…
View On WordPress
WxChallenge Caribou, ME (KCAR) Day 7 High Temperatures - Nov 4, 2018
WxChallenge Caribou, ME (KCAR) Day 7 High Temperatures – Nov 4, 2018
What follows is a discussion lab that I wrote for this past week’s WxChallenge forecast competition as part of Penn State University World Campus’ METEO 410 capstone class in weather forecasting. I’m sharing this to give folks a glimpse into the forecasting process we’ve been learning, and because this discussion lab garnered some plaudits from my instructor for providing a really good analysis…
View On WordPress
WxChallenge Philadelphia, PA Climatology - Nov 4, 2018
WxChallenge Philadelphia, PA Climatology – Nov 4, 2018
As part of the WxChallenge competition and Penn State University World Campus’ METEO 410 capstone course on weather forecasting, we are required to write up climatologies for cities that we will be forecasting for during the competition. I thought I would share the latest one I put together for Philadelphia, PA, which will be our forecast city for the next 2 weeks in the competition.
Climatology…
View On WordPress
NYC Weather Update - Weekend Nor'easter - Oct 26, 2018
NYC Weather Update – Weekend Nor’easter – Oct 26, 2018
I haven’t had time to post about the current week’s WxChallenge forecasts for Caribou, ME, which I’ll have a follow up post about Saturday or Sunday to go over my results. Instead, this week, I’m going to put the same forecast skills I’ve been applying to the upcoming nor’easter that’s going to impact NYC Saturday. I’ll provide a deterministic (exact number) forecast for high temperature, low…
View On WordPress
WxChallenge for Omaha, Nebraska (KOMA) | Oct 16-19
WxChallenge for Omaha, Nebraska (KOMA) | Oct 16-19
Last Week’s Results
Tough week last week, with the major forecast bust I had on precipitation for Oct 9 for Omaha, plus generally underwhelming performances on temperatures the remainder of the week. Since I did pretty well the on the first city, and am better this week, my cumulative rank hasn’t gone down too much and I’m sitting at #263 nationwide (out of 1500) as of this writing.
Verifications
View On WordPress
WxChallenge for Omaha, Nebraska (KOMA) | Oct 9-12
WxChallenge for Omaha, Nebraska (KOMA) | Oct 9-12
A couple days into the forecast period for the second WxChallenge city for this fall, and I’ve experienced my worst forecast bust (for yesterday). Highlights in the post-mortem section. It has been a week of transitions for Omaha, which started off with relatively mild conditions but will end the week with possibility for patchy frost!
Synoptic Set Up
A 500 mb longwave trough will with multiple…
View On WordPress
WxChallenge for Portland International Airport (KPDX) | Oct 2-5
WxChallenge for Portland International Airport (KPDX) | Oct 2-5
Last Week’s Results
After the first week of the WxChallenge, I’m third place in my class, tied with multiple others for #262 nationwide, and a little better than national consensus with 14 error points. I got hit the last day for going over on temperatures and winds, and will discuss that below. Hats off to one of my coworkers who’s currently #5 nationwide!
Verifications
Below are the verified…
View On WordPress
NYC Weather Update - Sept 26, 2018
NYC Weather Update – Sept 26, 2018
Severe thunderstorms could impact the area later today ahead of an approaching cold front. Following the passage of this cold front, conditions will begin to improve, setting us up for a weekend with pleasant, cooler, classic autumn weather.
Rest of today – Storm Prediction Centerin Norman, OK has placed parts of the NYC Tri-State (the city, north and west) under a slight risk of severe weather…
View On WordPress
WxChallenge for Portland International Airport (KPDX) | Sept 25-28
WxChallenge for Portland International Airport (KPDX) | Sept 25-28
Temporary Changes to this Blog
Over the next few weeks, I’m going to take a break from my normal posts about weather in NYC and the region because I’m participating in the WxChallenge national weather forecasting competition. This is a course requirement for the final semester of the Undergraduate Certificate in Weather Forecastingprogram with Penn State University’s World Campus that I’m…
View On WordPress
NYC Weekend Weather - Sept 21, 2018
NYC Weekend Weather – Sept 21, 2018
Cooler weather arrives just in time for the astronomical start of autumn. Cloudy conditions have been persistent, and will continue today. A chance for rain and scattered thunderstorms tonight going into Saturday from a passing cold front. These will not be drenching rains like with the remnants of Florence. High pressure returns Saturday, and should give us a dry weekend, though we may continue…
View On WordPress
NYC Weather Update - Sept 17, 2018
NYC Weather Update – Sept 17, 2018
We had some great late-summer weather this past weekend with high temperatures in the low-80s and lots of sun. Most of this week will be quite nice as well, with the notable exception of Tuesday, when remnants of Florence impact the region and bring around a day of heavy rain. Fortunately, this wet weather will be short-lived, and the remainder of the week should see a return to mostly sunny…
View On WordPress
NYC Weekend Weather - Sept 14, 2018
NYC Weekend Weather – Sept 14, 2018
After a week of gloomy, cloudy, and at times rainy weather, we will get a nice break this weekend as conditions improve. The same high pressure that’s caused Hurricane Florence to make landfall on the Carolinas by blocking its northward progress will bring us sunnier weather. Indeed, some of the cloud cover over our area is actually a result of outflow from Florence. Its remnants will impact us…
View On WordPress
NYC Weather + Special Tropical Update - Sept 10, 2018
NYC Weather + Special Tropical Update – Sept 10, 2018
This week kicks off with a prolonged period of unsettled weather as a warm front and a cold front both impact the area. Chances for rain will be with us through Wednesday. Conditions finally improve late in the week. We luckily will avoid direct impacts (aside from high surf) from what will be an extremely dangerous Hurricane Florence, which looks set to make landfall on North Carolina late this…
View On WordPress