Hey Internet, how do you stop overthinking what was probably the best course of action?
Asking for a friend.

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Hey Internet, how do you stop overthinking what was probably the best course of action?
Asking for a friend.
Gemologist Hyderabad, Rationally speaking, Gems , Gemology themselves may not have any magical powers to change or modify one’s destiny. However, the relief seems to come from Dharma Shastra, which prescribes Mani (gems), Mantra (verses) and Oushada (God) as the remedial means to redeem from Poorava Karma. Gems are not mere ornaments since they have the sanctity of idols in temples. Therefore, they have to be cleansed, purified and energized in Vedic way before wearing them.
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My mom is on her way to the hospital again.
We made sure to have an overnight bag packed this time, just in case.
The latest Rationally Speaking episode was a discussion/debate with Tage Rai, who argued that most (or at least far more than people think) violence is morally motivated. It was a fantastic discussion that I very much recommend.
I was surprised that Julia seemed to set a pretty low prior probability to the hypothesis, but it might just have been her trying to critically examine the hypothesis from many angles, and either way the discussion benefited for it. Tage's arguing was a bit "pre-rationalist" (or "public-intellectualist"), for lack of a better term, in that he was more focused on making a point than updating probabilities, and could be occassionally strategically slippery on what his point was for the sake of argument, but he was still a very clear speaker and thinker who could put things in concrete analyzable terms.
One of the main points, which I understand to be well supported in the literature, is that what people call "dehumanization" in the context of violence is usually nothing of the sort and involves a deep recognition of the target as a human moral agent who is evil or wrong. Rhetorical dehumanization is more about trying to humiliate targets than literal truth.
But another point Tage had, which seems trivially true but which isn't widely internalized, is that even self-serving violence is on a proximate level motivated by moral outrage. He mentioned intimate partner violence and rape as examples, and my understanding is that his point is supported. Research has shown that rapists feel either entitled to sex or submission, or believe they are rectifying a disruption of the moral order on the part of their victim. And I realize that this is a specific example of a general pattern I see elsewhere.
When people feel entitled to something, whether money, power, sex, or Supreme Court seats, they are indeed being selfish, but they also believe that they belong at a certain position in a hierarchy and that the structure and existence of that hierarchy is morally just. Once again, a fairly basic point, but one that could use more explicit reiteration. I don't know what, if any, specific implications that framing has, but I don't usually think of specific cases of elite or privileged entitlement on this abstract level, so I feel like I should pay more attention to it. If only to understand how thoroughly twisted and corrupt conservative and reactionary ideology is.
Release date: September 16th, 2018 Aviv Ovadya Aviv Ovadya , an expert on misinformati...
Transcript.
[...] Yeah. I would probably put this more in sort of the catastrophic risk camp or at least the indirect catastrophic or existential risk. Not only that, I'd put it in sort of the urgent category of that, where you have a very, very limited window. A way to think about this is that new communications media often destabilizes societies more broadly. So, think about the printing press and the ways in which Europe was basically engulfed in war for hundreds of years. You could think about radio and the connection between that and things like World War II and the ways in which radio was able to create this sort of new type of nationalism to some extent. And then there's lots of caveats to this nuance and you know, I can't express it in the two minutes here, but new communication media affect how people organize, effect how people make sense of the world, and they affect the resulting societal stability. We're also living in a world now where, let's say stability isn't quite as quite where it was, where individuals can have far more influence on sort of the overall stability of the world and where you have a whole bunch of really tricky challenges up ahead within the next five to 20 years that could easily derail even a very, very well-functioning civilization. You're in this environment, and now you're making everyone dumber. You're making them less capable of handling it, both at an individual level and at a societal level. You can think about this as, you’ve got your civilization driving its car down the road. And it's now starting to take LSD, and it's like seeing these hallucinations all over the place.And it's still trying to drive. There's going to be some level, some amount of LSD or some amount of like, of hallucination that you can still sort of drive without crashing. But there's going to be some level where you can't. We're just increasing that. And as we speed that car up, as the road gets windier, as more obstacles show up on that road ... And so that's sort of the broad framework for why our ability to make sense of the world is so crucial. [...]
This episode features physicist Anthony Aguirre discussing Metaculus, the site he created to crowd-source accurate predictions about science and technology. For example, will SpaceX land on Mars by 2030? Anthony and Julia discuss details such as: why it's useful to have predictions on questions like these, how to measure Metaculus' accuracy, why Anthony chose not to run it like a traditional prediction market, and how to design incentives to reward good forecasters.
edit: full transcript in PDF
Rationally Speaking is the official podcast of New York City Skeptics. Join Julia Galef and guests as they explore the borderlands between reason and nonsense, likely and unlikely, science and pseudoscience.
Rationally Speaking is one of the regulars in my podcast lineup. Host Julia Galef is one of the very best interviewers out there.
I was especially appreciative of this interviewee, Anders Sandberg, talking about how to think about the long term future. Anyone who follows my blog knows I’m a nerd for futures studies, so this was a treat.
http://rationallyspeakingpodcast.org/show/rs-215-anders-sandberg-on-thinking-about-the-long-term-futur.html