Hey bro, long time no talk, I hope all is well. Want to share your predictions for UFC296?
I'm good man. hope you are too.
296 is weird. Lots of people coming off long layoffs or have clearly lost several steps.
Edwards over Covington. I don't know what to expect of Colby but I'm not expecting him to be able to close range with Edwards if Edwards comes out like he did against Usman the 3rd time around. Masvidal historically completely shuts down against wrestlers if he doesn't KO them instantly (askren) and before that the last non-faded or undersized welterweight he actually beat was....Stun Gun or Bryan Barberena. Can't bank on any of that.
Pantoja over Royval. We have already seen this one. If the Moreno fight didn't take what's left of Pantoja's prime from him, there's not much I see Royval being able to do that Pantoja can't manage.
Wonderboy over Shavkat. This is probably my underdog pick. For as good as Shavkat has been, this feels like a bad style clash for him imo. Not insurmountable at all but Wonderboy is still a sharp shooter from range. Shavkat has the build and the finishing ability to cause serious problems for Thompson but in a 3 round fight, I'll pick Wonderboy for the upset.
Paddy over Tony. Paddy is not good but he's young, scrappy and athletic. Expecting that to be enough to grind down Tony at this point. If Paddy was less durable, I'd be more confident in Tony being able to pull an upset but from what I've seen, I don't have faith in it.
Garry over Luque. Probably by finish but Luque is a crafty guy. Luque has never fared well with quick movers who can operate from distance and use lateral movement to keep him turning. Belal, Wonderboy, and Neal. And he has just looked so much slower. Add in the brain injury and I'm not confident in him anymore.