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@thetradenation
Bullish or bearish in last few trading sessions of 2022?
Last 4 trading sessions, market is going down breaking previous lows. All major news are already discounted as market is headed towards holiday season.
Stocks like Tesla, PayPal and Apple are trading near multi year lows. Except for Meta holding some grounds from the bottom.
Do you think, there is still some fireworks left in the market in last few trading sessions of year 2022?
Average weekly routine of retail #option trader
Coinbase Crypto Exchange's Price all time low, what now? Market meltdown in 2022 has pushed retail investors to the sidelines of crypto trading and investment. It has caused full-year revenue plunged for Coinbase Global. Also, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong confirmed that company's revenue this year would be at least 50% less than it was last year owing to the steep price drops in the prices of cryptocurrency and knock-on effects across the sector from multiple bankruptcies of large firms, such as rival exchange FTX.
Do you think its stock price is bottomed out now?
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TESLA trading near 2 year Low. Do you think it has dropped enough?
On Wednesday session, TSLA down another 3.2% and falling sharply for a third straight session. This week, it’s already down more than 10%.
Tesla is recalling hundreds of thousands of its Chinese made cars and also, there are concerns over COVID-19 restrictions in China, which leaves the stock at the mercy of its chart. And the chart doesn’t look very good.
Do you see any recovery or upside movement after continuous fall in this stock?
Virgin Galactic shareholders have suffered a 66% loss from investing in it a year ago. Soon to be penny stock? The nature of investing is that you win some, and you lose some. Anyone who held Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:SPCE) over the last year knows what a loser feels like. To wit the share price is down 66% in that time. Shareholders have lost 9% per year over the last three years, so the share price drop has become steeper, over the last year; a potential symptom of as yet unsolved challenges. In just one year Virgin Galactic Holdings saw its revenue fall by 50%. That’s not what investors generally want to see. The share price drop is understandable given the company doesn’t have profits to boast of. What does this mean to Virgin Galactic, as its small fleet of space planes sits stubbornly, silently stuck to the tarmac down at Spaceport America in New Mexico? As companies like Blue Origin launch tourists regularly to the edge of space, and SpaceX sends tourists on orbital trips round the Earth, Virgin Galactic's once groundbreaking "space tourism" business looks increasingly obsolete. Stock price keeps on falling on weekly basis.
PayPal is down by 61% this year, What's happening?
PayPal Holdings, Inc (NASDAQ: PYPL) shares is down over 61% year-to-date. The share value has lost 5.5% in November month and over 11% over the previous 6 months.
Despite the divergence in growth rates, PayPal remains a much larger payment type making up 16% of global e-commerce purchases versus Apple Pay's 5%.
According to Black Friday survey PayPal's e-commerce dominance, with PayPal core and Venmo accounting for 34.9% of Black Friday online payment practices, commanding the third place, with credit and debit leading.
PayPal reported third-quarter revenue of $6.85 billion, up 11% year-over-year, beating the consensus of $6.82 billion.
Adjusted EPS of $1.08 beat the consensus of $0.96.
Do you think, in coming weeks PYPL will go back to $80-85?
TSLA OTM Put Option buyers now
Do you think ALIBABA is a good bet for future?
The U.S.-listed shares of Alibaba ended a historically strong month on a high note Wednesday, as the China-based e-commerce giant was swept up in the hope that the country will loosen its strict zero-COVID policy.
This stock has been in news articles stating that Alibaba is good for long term investment and it can reach to new highs very soon.
Alibaba's problems started in late 2020 when the Chinese government launched an antitrust probe into its e-commerce operations. That investigation culminated in a record fine of $2.8 billion the following April, as well as bans on its exclusive deals with merchants and tighter restrictions on its promotions, marketing campaigns, and investments.
Few years back many articles prominently placed on the value proposition of Russian stocks, even after knowing that Russian authorities do not respect the rule of law. Experts used to say that market has already discounted that risk.
We saw what the outcome was sometime after Feb 24th, 2022 when almost all Russian stocks held abroad became effectively worthless.
Xi has publicly stated that his goal is to re-unite China. Why would we not believe him? Sources in the NSA say that the timeline has been accelerated. We know the Chinese Navy buildout is very much keyed on Taiwan "defense" (invasion).
Investing in China is a terrible idea, unless of course you like to gamble. We should avoid countries that don't abide by the rule of law.
A Chinese invasion of Taiwan would result in western sanctions that would destroy any equity value of Chinese stocks, sure as happened with Russia.
Also, Alibaba might be a great investment if China's economy were still growing rapidly, its antitrust regulators were more relaxed, and its home government didn't repeatedly disrupt retailers with zero-COVID policies. But those problems all continue to cast dark clouds over Alibaba's future, and they make it tough to recommend buying the stock as a turnaround play.
What are your thoughts? Is it the right time to finally accumulate some shares of this fallen Chinese tech stock or any other Chinese stocks that are listed in US markets?
Life a Day Trader
The Dow has rallied almost 20% off its October low, retracing more than 62% of its year-to-date drawdown. It reclaimed the August highs(33794) last week before undercutting them yesterday.
Meanwhile, the Nasdaq is only about 10% off its lows, representing a measly retracement of about 20%. It would have to rally about 19% from current levels just to test its highs(13181) from this summer.
On which stock(s) you will bet for December month that offer the best risk/reward opportunities?
Apple, what’s next?
On Monday session, Apple Inc. down $3.89 to $144.22
Wall Street is worried that protests and lockdowns in China could continue hurting iPhone production.
Chart Analysis for coming days and weeks (not for daytrading!)
As per current scenario, AAPL is in ‘Wait n Watch’ zone as stock seems to make lower highs and taking support @ 135 levels, which is also an important support as of now.
Strength above 145 can the stock towards 148-150 range and sustain at these levels then 151-153 levels can also be seen.
Upside targets in bullish scenarios is marked in dotted black lines. If in case, negative news keep on coming from China, then due to gap down openings 140-135 levels can also be seen.
Traders should patiently wait for bullish movement until and unless 140 levels is gone.
December monthly options would be good idea to bet on this scenario with predefined risks and SLs.
Key Themes in the Market to Watch this Week:
U.S. futures are lower after a mixed, shortened session Friday on Wall Street. Oil prices fell more than $2 a barrel.
The first big hitter we have this week is on Tuesday at 10 am Eastern Time, consumer confidence will be released.
There are a few non-farm payroll releases this week. The first two are on Wednesday with ADP non-farm employment change and the JOLTS job openings JOLTS shows the number of open non farming-related jobs and is an advanced indicator of the strength of the job market in the coming months. ADP non-farm employment changes show how robust or weak the job market is for the prior month.
Thursday we have Core PCE. This is a measure of prices paid for goods and services by the consumers only. It will show whether or not inflation is cooling or rising to the end user as these are actual prices paid by them.
Finally, on this week of big news, we have the US unemployment claims. This will show whether last month there was an expansion or contraction of people on government benefits.
Best of luck this week!
Buy Low, Sell High
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These hydrogen stocks represent the crème de la crème in the massive hydrogen technology industry.
Investors hoping for the year-end to bring stock market gains after a punishing year have history on their side as U.S. equities traditionally rally during the month of December, but many remain skeptical of forecasting a rise.
Gains would be welcomed by many investors after seeing the S&P 500 Index fall around 16% so far this year. Still, weighing on the market has been the U.S. Federal Reserve's actions to aggressively tighten interest rates to fight inflation.
Investors are pricing in a 75% chance that the Fed will raise rates at its Dec. 14 meeting by 50 basis points to a target rate of 4.5%, while the probability of another jumbo 75 basis point move is at 24% according to CME's FedWatch tool.
Short sellers have covered nearly $30 billion in short positions since the start of the month, with the largest covering coming consumer discretionary, health care, and financial stocks.
What’s your view on markets for December month?