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@calopie00
btw nearly every us-focused political news is going to look like this for the next four years:
trump/musk/gop & co. announce intent to do Bad Thing
people react with anger and fear
journalist or social media blogger says "he can't legally do Bad Thing, there is This Law preventing him from doing so"
everyone agrees and gets hopeful
Bad Thing is enacted anyways
shock and despair as if this hasn't happened on repeat for the past ten fucking years
“Dozens of federal agents raiding an entire apartment building with kids in it just to see what they can find. It’s the most egregious abuse
‘F--- them kids’: ICE agents drag children out of bed, ransack Chicago building.
From the various accounts I've read/viewed, ICE and the FBI dragged residents out of their homes at 2am whether citizens or not and detained them for hours in vans. They even dragged out children, some naked, and zip tied them together. They ransacked and vandalised apartments, stole belongings, and may have urinated in some areas.
Many residents have now abandoned the building.
And the so-called excuse for this is the targetting of Venezuelan gang members, but the reality is that this is nothing but the ongoing racist terrorism by so-called law enforcement.
South Shore is a predominantly Black neighborhood: 92.6% Black, with Latinos making up just 2.6%.
Why would a Venezuelan gang that is apparently virtually unknown in all of Chicago be there?
And some people are still trying to normalise this.
And shouldn't Budget and U-Haul be held to account for their role?
A residents account (mostly from the video):
Residents describe a scene that looked more like a war zone than a law enforcement operation. Flash bangs echoed through the streets. “They [community] was terrified. The kids was crying. People were screaming. They looked very distressed. I was out there crying when I seen the little girl come around the corner, because they was bringing the kids out too, had them zip tied to each other,” Ebony Watson told a local reporter. “That’s all I kept asking. Where’s the morality? Where’s the human[ity]? One of them literally laughed. He was standing right here. He said: F–k them kids,” Watson added. When residents returned after the chaos, they found apartments ransacked—walls damaged, furniture smashed, and windows broken. The damage wasn’t just physical. Families say the terror of being treated like enemy combatants in their own homes will linger far longer. “They just treated us like we were nothing,” Patricia Fisher said. “It was scary, because I’ve never had a gun put in my face. They asked my name and my date of birth and asked me, did I have any warrants. And I told them, No, I didn’t.” Fisher, an elderly Black woman, recalled being handcuffed and detained despite having committed no crime. She said she wasn’t released until 3 a.m. “Like they had it planned out for weeks. It was like a movie. I got it recorded on my phone and everything. It was like a movie. It was, it was really scary. They had my boyfriend locked up,” Marlee Sanders told CBS news.“He’s black. Yeah, he’s a citizen,” Sanders added. ICE later confirmed 37 arrests. But when pressed on who was actually targeted and why, the Department of Homeland Security pointed to the ongoing government shutdown as an excuse for withholding details.
it’s that time again
Quite literally moving the goalpost so they can wash their hands of any preventative action (which they still haven't done despite covid being high or very high in the majority of the US for the past three or so weeks.)
I don't mean to say I love the CDC and think they're perfect and arent being influenced or biased by the current government, but I do want to share some insight on data analysis to help people understand why they're doing this (and it actually IS for a very good reason), because there are some not-common-knowledge statistical principles in play here that make this make MUCH more sense. TL;DR at the end.
(Firstly, I want to add in a small piece of context that you can't actually do percent change calculations if starting from 0 cause like. Well "it's like 5 times the original value" so 5 × 0 = 0 so no change? It just doesn't work.)
Updating these baseline values gets us an incredibly more accurate measurement, because they are in no way measuring the amount of covid in a community. They are measuring the *rate of change over time*:
Note that they here list "overall levels of the virus in wastewater" as a SEPARATE value, which is used IN CONCERT with the rate of change data, and not being REPLACED by it.
Using the baseline of zero for rate of change tracking gives the information: how much more covid virus is in here as compared to no covid? Which can give you one piece of information: how much total covid virus is in here right now? That's important but is easily covered by their separate data category, How Much Covid Is In Here Right Now, which they already have because that's what they measured in the water. Finding this value using analysis would just be using this data point to find itself. It's redundant and doesn't give us any more information than we already had.
Using the baseline of the measurements from 2024 gives us this information instead: how much are the levels of covid virus changing in this location? This gives us a TON of important information. Some examples of this could include early warning of a major outbreak in an area; identifying which communities are are most in need of extra support; tracking gross transmission rates; tracking rates of breakthrough infections (could indicate a new variant that current vaccines aren't effective for); and so many other things.
Even more importantly, doing this STANDARDIZES and EQUALIZES the data and keeps small numbers from slipping through the cracks and being eclipsed by bigger numbers. The CDC had some info on that same page about this:
I want to expand on another aspect of percent change calculations to make it a bit clearer.
As an imaginary example, say that wastewater samples taken from a city in December of 2024 had enough virus to indicate about 1000 infected people were in that city. Then say they took two more samples which indicated 1050 and then 1200 infections.
Using 0 as a baseline, the percent rate of change from 1 to 1000 is a 99,900% rate of change; 1 to 1050 is a 104,900% rate of change from baseline, 1 to 1200 is 119,900% change. It's all urgent, but it's pretty close. Nothing is making it SIGNIFICANTLY better or worse. The clearest thing we can learn from this is just: there's lots more covid than there was when there wasn't covid. And that's a good point but unfortunately isn't new information. We already know there's more covid than when there wasn't covid.
Using the first value of 1000 instead: 1000 vs 1050 is a 5% rate of change from baseline; 1000 vs 1200 is a 20% change. That is a really significant difference! What was going on when the second sample was taken??
Ultimately, at this point, 0 cases of covid can be considered an outlying value. It's so different from any number we've seen since 2020 that it makes it extremely difficult to get the kind of specific, detailed information needed to form any meaningful, actionable insight. We KNOW there's an enormous gulf between when there were 0 cases and now. We don't need to measure that, for the same reason data tables tracking covid over time don't start in 1973. There is a massive quantity of potential useless data between now and 1973, and it only makes our data more watered-down and less useful to include that.
I made an example with graphs. Dataset:
Using 100,000 as a baseline we get a lot of good information about how the numbers are changing:
Using the "objective number zero" as a baseline:
Hmm. Not really getting much out of that one if I'm honest with you.
Tl;dr This is good data practice. They are not redefining what is considered "low" as compared to not having any virus because they are not trying to determine how much virus is present. They are redefining "low" to mean "the lowest extreme recent data value" in order to narrow their focus, because they are tracking rate of CHANGE, not rate of INCIDENCE. The updated baseline makes it possible to gain specific, detailed information about how covid transmission is changing over time, which can give them - and us - actionable insight. Using zero as a baseline for this is utterly useless.
They said the same thing when they did this three years ago
Sometimes... The good data practice... Is great for making bad/useless information for the general public.
The note inside a bullet.
B-17 bomber is riddled with German anti-aircraft fire but miraculously survives. Later they discover the explosive shells were all inert; sabotaged by Nazi slaves working in armament factories.
Inside one empty shell is a written note: it's all we can do for you now.
The most important part of all this is that these small acts of bravery and noncompliance cannot be known as long as the enemy still stands, and might never be known. Just because it doesn’t seem like anyone is doing anything doesn’t mean it’s true. The best malicious compliance or subtle sabotage is the one that’s never detected, but makes ravages nonetheless.
A critical part of any resistance is
Do not post your crimes
Do not brag. Do not look for brownie points. Do not publicly recruit. Keep your mouth shut.
Thank you Elon, for making the case for why you shouldn't be allowed to continue to control Starlink.
This has exactly the same vibes as that copypasta that goes: "I'll have you know I graduated top of my class in the Navy Seals, and I've been involved in numerous secret raids on Al-Quaeda, and I have over 300 confirmed kills." etc.
The '300 confirmed kills' guy doesn't deserve this insult. At least his boasting is about killing terrorists and not killing Ukrainian civilians.
reblog to give warm bread to your mutuals
protesting is the bare minimum but if they kidnapped mahmoud khalil with the hopes of quieting down the protests at columbia, i hope this actually triggers a new wave of protests more than ever, at all universities but especially columbia. i hope they never have a moment of peace.
I'm still not over one of Trump's lawyers going to court this past week to defend Trump's executive order against "gender ideology," only for the judge to ask very plainly for the lawyer to explain what gender ideology is and the Trump lawyer to respond "its whatever the president thinks and I'm loathe to speculate what exactly that could be" and the judge was like are you fucking kidding me you're a lawyer and you can't explain things your client has said to a judge???
like bro no wonder Trump had to run for president again, look at his fucking lawyers he was gonna go to jail otherwise
“It’s not like I randomly picked you off the street“
The prosecutors are REQUIRED to share evidence with the defense. It's called The Brady Rule. All exculpatory evidence discovered by the prosecution MUST be turned over to the defense before the trial in a criminal case.
Sharing sources supporting that police shared evidence with HBO BEFORE the defense team for a documentary already treating Luigi Mangione as guilty:
Luigi Mangione appeared at a NYC courthouse Friday. Newsweek's live blog is closed.
Alleged UnitedHealthcare CEO killer Luigi Mangione returned to a New York City courtroom on Friday for a brief appearance in his state murde
According to the sources, the defense team does now have the ‘evidence’ (either all or most, the second source references a notebook they still don’t have)- but still, the lag and choice to prioritize a biased documentary is very telling on what narrative the police are pushing. They want to make Luigi appear guilty on all fronts before the trials have even happened.
This is like Mistrial: the Trial
If any of yall are new to the circuit of Political Trials, I strongly recommend starting by reading about the Trial of Bobby Seale and the Chicago 7 (originally 8).
Bobby Seale was among a number of activists targetted by police and prosecution in order to disrupt their organizing work. Bobby Seale's treatment during trial was so horrific and blatantly unjust including being brought into the court room bound and gagged. Ultimately, Seale's case was severed from the others and the government declined to retry him, but the other 7 defendants (and Seale, tho this was overturned on appeal) were convicted by the Judge and Jury.
You might also be more familiar with the case of Leonard Peltier, since he's been in the news recently (while his sentence has not been commuted, I have it on authority from a friend involved in rez activism that his house arrest parameters allow him access to the reservation as a whole, not just to a physical building, which I am relieved but still infuriated by) who was functionally exiled from US sovereign territory by Biden earlier this year. Peltier's work with AIM made him and his colleagues targets of state aggression, and Peltier in particular was convicted of killing two federal agents during a shoot out.
Another example which may be valueable to some is Alice Paul, a Quaker activist and suffragette who was arrested and convicted of "obstructing traffic" during her organized resistance to the presidency during wartime. She refused to plead guilty or try and reduce her sentence by paying a fine, choosing instead to publicly disclose her political imprisonment from the courthouse, and organize hunger strikes and other acts of resistance in the jailhouse. She was repeatedly forcefed and harmed along with other prisoners, and the prosecution repeatedly tried to have her declared insane.
What you will notice in every case is that while the "criminal offense" is typically objective fact or complete fabrication, it is also ALWAYS stripped of its context. No one acknowledges that AIM members were also repeatedly murdered by federal agents over the course of their work, and Peltier and co were (reasonably, if not legally) acting in self-defense even IF they did what they were accused of. No one acknowledges the role the police had during the Chicago uprising in ensuring that people were hurt by kettling and beating marchers. No one acknowledges that Alice Paul was pursuing legal representation and legal adulthood in her own nation, and perhaps if she needed to obstruct traffic to do so that was understandable.
So if we as a public believe Luigi Mangione's trial to be political farce, we need to remember how the farce ends: with an unjustified and unjustifiable conviction and the disappearance of an organizing force within the liminality of the prison system. We need to remember that because Mistrial Central over here will not actually be held accountable for its failures of justice unless WE force the issue. Learn from past organizers how they set out to do this.
definitely top 10 image. like every day we are given so many opportunities to use it. unreal mileage. timeless
btw nearly every us-focused political news is going to look like this for the next four years:
trump/musk/gop & co. announce intent to do Bad Thing
people react with anger and fear
journalist or social media blogger says "he can't legally do Bad Thing, there is This Law preventing him from doing so"
everyone agrees and gets hopeful
Bad Thing is enacted anyways
shock and despair as if this hasn't happened on repeat for the past ten fucking years
In case you aren’t familiar, Michael Scott Moore and David Rohde are both journalists. Moore was held by Somali pirates for 977 days. Rohde was held captive by the Taliban for 7 months after being abducted in Afghanistan.
"kids these days don't loiter or act rebellious enough any more" kids just existing in public are more criminalized and surveilled than ever. almost every western country is running a panic about youth crime and how random teens standing awkwardly are a threat to civilization, and pushing for much more punitive laws. tons of states and powerful lobbies are pushing "parental right laws" that restrict the civil rights of minors even more. policing is first and foremost targeting youths, especially from low income and majority immigrant neighbourhoods. if a kid mildly steps out of line or says something awkward online or in a public space half a dozen people can whip up their phone and start mass harassment campaigns. and tech companies are now restricting access to the internet, the last way many teens can talk to each other freely and reach out to people outside family and school.
anyhow i think people really need to start giving kids at least a tiny bit more grace instead of making smug posts about how uncool they are compared to your youth days, you fucking twats
Seriously, NextDoor is 50% ring camera footage of clearly just normal, unsuspicious people walking around and paranoid fox news-brainrotted Boomers acting like they’re in danger for their lives. Someone made a post about a 10 year old “stealing” a rock from her lawn. A rock of which there were hundreds. I used to collect rocks as a kid, now kids do something so innocent and normal and are watched on Big Brother cameras and labeled a criminal among the community. There’s countless videos of adults putting their hands on and harassing teenagers for literally just skateboarding or hanging out outside. I shouldn’t even have to mention the risk is 100x for Black and Hispanic kids, especially right now.
