Discover Top Posts Tagged with #ca-13

Replica WWII CA-13 Boomerang photographed at the Imperial War Museum Duxford Air Show Fly in and Practice Day 2025

#Replica aircraft #CAC #CA-13 #Boomerang #Planes #Nose art #Duxford #Aerodrome #Imperial War Museum #Aircraft #Aviation #Fly in #Aeroplane

N32CS WWII Replica CA-13 Boomerang A46-139 RAAF NX32CS Phooey by Chris Murkin Via Flickr: N32CS WWII Replica CA-13 Boomerang A46-139 RAAF NX32CS Phooey Photo taken at the Imperial War Museum Duxford Cambridgeshire 6th Sept 2025 Battle Of Britain Air Show HAE_4903

Democrat Adam Gray, a former five-term Assemblymember who lost a bid for Congress in 2022, has unseated incumbent Rep. John Duarte (R-Modest

The last US House race in the 2024 election has been decided, and the seat is a flip for Dems. Adam Gray has defeated incumbent Republican John Duarte in CA-13.

Democrat Adam Gray, a former five-term Assemblymember who lost a bid for Congress in 2022, has unseated incumbent Rep. John Duarte (R-Modesto) in the closest House race — and the last to be called — in the nation this election cycle. Duarte, a farmer turned politician, phoned his challenger just after 5 p.m. to concede the race. “That’s how it goes,” said Duarte, who fell 187 votes short of retaining his seat in the 13th Congressional District. “I’m a citizen legislator, and I didn’t plan on being in Congress forever. But whenever I think I can make a difference, I’ll consider public service in different forms, including running for Congress again.” Duarte defeated Gray by 564 votes two years ago in what was then the second-closest race in the nation. “The Congressman was very gracious and I appreciated the call,” said Gray. “We had a quick chat. He wanted to make sure that we don’t drop any of the work already done here in the Valley.”

At least Duarte wasn't a sore loser like Trump in 2020.

The official margin won't be published until Thursday but it probably won't be far from the current 187.

So with the victory of Adam Gray in California, this leaves Republicans with 220 House members and Democrats with 215. This represents a gain of 2 seats for Dems over the 2022 House results.

But because of the departure of Matt Gaetz,the GOP will begin the 119th Congress with just 219 seats. And with the departure of Mike Waltz (FL-06) and Elise Stefanik (NY-21) to join the Trump administration in the winter, the GOP will be down to 217 seats.

CA-13 was one of three House races to be decided by fewer than a thousand votes. 187 is below the number of students in my HS graduating class.

So keep CA-13 in mind if you know anybody who claims that their vote doesn't count.

#election 2024 #us house of representatives #119th congress #ca-13 #california #adam gray #john duarte #democratic flip

Two critical House seat flips out in California along with self-sabotage could doom Republican hopes for massive, destructive legislation.

Jay Kuo at The Status Quo:

There’s great news out of California about the election. Yes, the election! Votes are still being counted in California in two tight House races. Democrat Derek Tran leads his opponent, the very Trumpy and scandal-plagued Michelle Steel in CA-45, and is expected to prevail. Some have already called the race for him based on which votes remain to be counted and the direction things have consistently gone. In CA-13, the closest race in the country and against most expectations, Democrat Adam Gray just pulled ahead by around 182 points and is now also slightly favored to win.

As Rep. Robert Garcia noted, if this holds, California will be a bright spot in this election: Democrats will have held every seat in the state’s congressional delegation while flipping three Republican ones. [...] While such claims are nonsense, the right does have some cause to be upset by the actual results. Assuming these races wind up adding two more seats to the Democratic side, the GOP House majority will be 220 to 215, the narrowest House majority ever to begin a session. And that spells a world of trouble for Speaker Mike Johnson.

[...] On the contrary, the extended counting period is specifically designed to lessen the possibility of fraud.

[...]

Counting votes, California style

California can sometimes seem too laid back and chill, especially as it makes the rest of the nation await the final outcome of an election that happened more than three weeks ago. And yet, votes are still coming in, so what gives? Does the far right have a point here? No, as usual, they don’t. The claims of fraud are easily debunked and fact checked. California is one of the few states that mails ballots to all registered state voters. And it has a very liberal ballot return policy: Ballots may arrive up to a week after Election Day, in this case November 12, so long as they were postmarked by Election Day. But what accounts for the next 10 days of delays in the final count? It’s all about verifying signatures. Republicans are constantly demanding that mail-in ballots be perfect in every way, and they have gone to court to enforce this. They must be aware that with mail-in ballots, voters’ signatures may fail to match what the county has on file for them. This happens often with older voters who have trouble writing their names, or even with younger voters who are more used to signing digitally using their index finger rather than a pen. Given this issue, California decided that rather than throw out those ballots, it would provide voters additional time to “cure” any defects on them. There are armies of volunteers in these counties whose job is to personally contact voters whose ballot poses an issue and urge them to come in and cure the problem. With limited staffing, this process can take weeks. It’s usually a few hundred or even a few thousand ballots from each county, and in a normal race that wouldn’t make much of a difference. But in the case of CA-45 and CA-13, it makes all the difference in the world. In sum, the process can take weeks because

California mails ballots to all registered voters;

Mail-in ballots often have issues such as non-matching signatures; and

The state provides an opportunity for voters to cure defects.

It’s not fraud. It’s a careful effort to prevent fraud, while not disenfranchising any registered voters due to a clerical issue.

[...]

If Tran and Gray win as expected, the House will technically be at 220 to 215, the narrowest margin since 1930. But remember: Matt Gaetz resigned his seat after being nominated as Attorney General, and he isn’t coming back after flaming out. He has joined George Santos and Rudy Giuliani among the disgraced politicians who are selling videos to fans on Cameo, the Only Fans for fallen D.C. officials. That means in the first few weeks, assuming full attendance, the balance will be 219 to 215. With these numbers, Republicans can only afford to lose one vote on any measure. If they lose two, the count goes to a 217 to 217 tie, meaning it fails. That is going to make for an interesting Speaker vote at the start of the session. Johnson’s position is so weak, he will likely have to concede significant power to the far-right once again, including handing out plum committee positions that would allow extremists to control the agenda.

But wait, there’s more! Trump genuinely freaked Johnson out earlier by naming two other House members, Reps. Elise Stefanik (R-NY) and Mike Waltz (R-FL) to positions in his administration. Johnson reportedly had to beg him to stop poaching GOP House members, or he’d outright lose his majority. With Gaetz’s resignation and the loss of two House seats until they can be filled by special election, the balance of power will be 217 to 215 for many weeks. Assuming full attendance, that would mean any single GOP member could sink any bill assuming the Democrats unite behind House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY). That’s a lot of power to give the congressional bomb throwers on the right. And it will make passing much of Trump’s agenda really difficult if not impossible, including extension of the Trump tax cuts for the wealthy; gutting the ACA, Social Security and Medicare; and authorizing billions of dollars to build mass detention centers for undocumented migrants. This underscores how every single vote counts, and how the hard work of volunteers out in CA-45 and CA-13, who doggedly pursued voters to come cure their ballots, could pay huge dividends. If they remain disciplined, House Democrats could use the GOP’s own narrow margin against it to block the very worst of the far right’s wrecking ball agenda.

Assuming the Democrats flip CA-13, the GOP House majority would be threadbare, and could spell bad news for Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA)’s hopes to pass bad bills. This is also due to some of the GOP majority resigning to take other jobs in the Trump Administration.

#2024 US House Elections #2024 Elections #2024 California Elections #US House of Representatives #Gerrymandering #Mike Johnson #119th Congress #CA-13 #CA-45 #Derek Tran #Adam Gray #Michelle Steel #John Duarte #California

Chasseur australien CAC Boomerang CA-13 « Suzy-Q »

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N32CS WWII Replica CA-13 Boomerang A46-139 RAAF NX32CS Phooey

CA-13 Boomerang A46-139 N32CS NX32CS RAAF Replica Phooey by Chris Murkin Via Flickr: CA-13 Boomerang A46-139 N32CS NX32CS RAAF Replica Phooey Photo taken at Old Warden Shuttleworth Festvial of Flight Air Show 29th June 2025 HAC_4624