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Mike Oldfiled - Crises, 1982
Hello everyone, I am in a crises. I will soon face being homeless along with my family and pets. I'm posting on here in hopes of getting traction.
if youre able to donate or even share i would appreciate it
My family and I are facing the real possibility of losing our home, along with … Jennie Trimino needs your support for Help Us Save Our Home
You have to take care of your own heart. You were not meant to carry the pain of the entire world. Do what you can for others, because you owe it to them, but be realistic with what you can achieve. If you’re already going to protests, donating money, working for liberation, holding power to account, taking care of the worst affected - then breathe. Take a step back and stop doomscrolling or endlessly refreshing your news app. Go for a walk in the woods. Eat your favourite chocolate. Watch a film with a loved one. Sleep. I promise you all the agony and cruelty and suffering will still be there when you get back. But maybe you’ll have a little more strength to fight them if you’ve remembered to keep tending the fires of joy inside you. You save no-one by letting them go out.
S&P 500 Performance During War, Geopolitical & Energy Crises
Considering the events that transpired over the weekend in the Mideast and the ongoing conflict with Iran we want to offer some perspective. Firstly, we send our sympathies to the families of the American servicepeople lost in battle and those injured as well as to the innocent bystanders in Iran, Israel and elsewhere harmed in this conflict. With that we want to be sure that we all take a measured approach to the markets in response to the conflict in Iran.
The Iran conflict has driven intense media attention over the past 48 hours. While the geopolitical backdrop is serious and rapidly developing, market behavior remains more measured than headlines suggest. Below is our data‑driven view of what is happening — and what history tells us to expect. Nothing in the price action suggests a systemic crisis. If the Strait of Hormuz were fully blocked and markets anticipated a prolonged disruption, oil would likely be $90–100, or more, not $70–80.
In the accompanying table we compiled the relevant historical geopolitical events that had an impact on energy prices and/or sovereign boundaries. As you can see, the more drawn-out crises were accompanied by weaker markets.
We have also included the Gaza War that began on October 7. This was arguably the start of the chain of events leading to today’s situation. It marked the beginning of the broader Middle East conflict over the past two and a half years. The Gaza War set off a chain reaction that ultimately led into the broader regional instability we are now seeing with Iran. On October 7, 2023, the S&P was already declining from its August 1 peak. S&P bottomed out three weeks later on October 27, 2023, at 4117.37, suffering a 10% correction. S&P was 32% higher 12 months later.
This is a serious geopolitical moment, and we continue to hope for safety for civilians and service members across the region. But from an investment standpoint, today’s moves fit squarely within the historical norms of geopolitical shocks and energy crises. So far, nothing in the market suggests this is the beginning of a major bear market or a replay of past energy crises.
Which of these philosophical questions do you find yourself thinking most often?
Do I really have free will if I have to obey the law?
What if my entire life is already decided and I can't change my fate?
Why do we live our whole lives by time if it's just a made up concept?
What if everyone has their own personal universe?
What if my dreams are the reality and when I'm awake is the true dream?
Is anything real or am I living in an illusion?
If there is no life after death, does anything I do actually matter?
If every religion claims to be true, surely that makes none of them true?
If the winner writes history, then how can we trust it?
How do I know if I'm being true to myself if I don't know who I am?
What if I'm just a figment of someone else's imagination?
Why yes, dash serendipity, I do think a swishing cat tail could cure my midlife crisis.
[ID: A screenshot of two tumblr posts that showed up together on my dash; the top is from screenshots of despair and reads "Ideas for you: Midlife Crisis." Directly below this is a post by straycatj, showing a paused video of the titular J-san's tail, stopped mid wag, captioned "It's my tail while drinking water."]