Is fatness a risk factor for severe illness or death from COVID-19?Â
Media and even some health agencies are warning that fatness is a risk factor for severe illness or death from COVID-19. That is some scary shit, especially when combined with the rampant medical discrimination that fat people already face and the threat of resource scarcity triggering âservice rationingâ.
However, this is not an accurate reflection of the science.Â
Two smaller-scale studies from China identified âobesityâ as a risk-factor. Yet those results may be based on incomplete health records of patients and they have not been reproduced among larger samples in other countries.
For example, @drjoshuawolrich on Instragram summarizes the results from a larger-scale UK study like this (images are his as well):
The latest report on COVID-19 from the Intensive Care National Audit & Research Centre in the UK is pretty conclusive. There is no evidence at present to suggest that BMI is a risk factor for admission to ICU with COVID-19 (n=672). â â â â â â â â â Looking at the data graphically (swipe left on the post) you can see that the distribution of those admitted critically ill with COVID-19 (blue bars) follows the BMI distribution of the general population (orange line). BMI is not a risk factor.
Despite these findings, in their coverage of this exact study, The Guardian claimed that âExcess weight also appears to be a significant risk factor; over 70% of patients were overweight, obese or clinically obese on the body mass index scale.âÂ
(Of course, among the age groups represented in the study, roughly 70% of the population is overweight or obese to begin with in the UK, so it makes sense that we would also comprise a similar percentage of people hospitalized⌠but good to know you hate fat people)  Â
Some health agencies are also warning people with BMIs over 40 to take extra precautions and self-isolate. Why are they doing this when fatness is not a reliable risk factor? Perhaps because many of the risk factors that have been identified by the research are associated with higher weights, including older age and comorbidities like hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. Of course, lots of fat people donât have any of these conditions, and lots of thin people do. Weight is an invalid indicator of health. Maybe these health agencies think it is more efficient to stigmatize  scapegoat warn fat people generally, rather than focusing on actual health indicators, which may be confusing to the general public. (I think you all know what I think about that strategy [insert fart noises]).
So what are the reliable risk factors for severe illness and death from COVID-19? To be frank, we donât really know yet. As a recent editorial in the BMJ states: âAs yet, there are no good data on how the risks associated with underlying comorbidities might vary in different population groups or settings.âÂ
In addition, I think we should all ask ourselves why we care about this information so much. In an ideal world, perhaps knowing the risk factors would allow us to offer the most supports to the people who (statistically) need it the most. But in reality, this kind of information is used to blame people for their own illnesses, to deny healthcare resources to people who âwonât benefitâ from them, and to provide a false sense of security to those precious few who happen to have the ârightâ healthcare profile. Right now, at this moment, none of those things are helpful.
Breath deeply my friends. Protect one another. And tell the fat haters to fuck right off.
And if you need it: How to Survive COVID-19 Service Rationing (UK based)















