Emily Picks The Oscars 2017
This time last year I was getting ready to go to the Academy Awards. This year I’m in bed sipping coffee still dreaming of the day I will meet Leo...
If you’re wondering if I will find a way to work Titanic into *every* Oscars blog the answer is YES because DUH and also it’s been 20 years and a more iconic film has yet to be made.
While 2017 still did not give us a more iconic film (though La La Land came VERY close) it was another great, if otherwise depressing, year in the movies. As of this morning, I have seen every film nominated. Yes, even the shorts. YES, even the ANIMATED shorts.
Below are my picks for tonight’s winners, ft. a few upsets for you gamblers plus my unsolicited and entirely unreliable industry commentary.
CHEERS!
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Emily’s Pick: Viola Davis, Fences
Will Win: see above
Upset pick: Do not even dare.
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Emily’s Pick: Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Will Win: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Unsolicited industry commentary: Moonlight is a very important and relevant movie, and Mahershala Ali’s performance as Juan was lovely. However, for me, his 5 minutes of screen time was not enough to justify all the buzz, and I was left with a feeling of “That’s it?” Meanwhile, Jeff Bridges quietly dominating role in Hell or High Water has been largely overlooked, in a movie that I think will one day be a classic. Feelings aside, I’m not dumb, and anyone can see Mahershala will nab this one. So what I’m saying is ignore me and don’t go picking anyone else on your ballot.
Sidebar: Sunny Pawar should have been nominated for Lion and not Dev Patel.
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Emily’s Pick: Emma Stone, La La Land
Could Win: Isabelle Huppert, Elle / Natalie Portman, Jackie
Unsolicited industry commentary: I was very torn about this category, as these three performances were all incredible, but so wide-ranging they are difficult to compare against each other. In the end, I gave the edge to Emma, who gave the performance I believe we’ll all remember in 10, 20, 50 years even though “she can’t sing” “she can’t dance” that’s NOT EVEN THE POINT PEOPLE! DON’T LET THE HATERS FOOL YOU!! NOBODY WILL FORGET LA LA LAND!!! *end rant*
Sidebar: OK rant *not over* Meryl Streep?? Are you f*cking kidding me with Meryl Streep??!?! Sure, we all worship at the altar of Queen Streep, but Florence Foster Jenkins was a terrible film by ALL STANDARDS, much less Meryl Streep standards. And at the expense of performances like Annette Bening in 20th Century Women and Amy Adams in Arrival?!?!?! FOR SHAME.
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Emily’s Pick: Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Should Win: Denzel Washington, Fences
Probably Will Win*: Casey Affleck, Manchester By The Sea
Unsolicited industry commentary: Captain Fantastic was hands down my favorite movie this year (yes, even more than La La Land) and also one of the best I’ve *ever* seen. If you haven’t seen it, stop reading this and go watch it!!! Viggo Mortensen is extraordinary, and I was so glad to see him earn this nomination. It slightly makes up for the fact that Captain Fantastic didn’t get the Best Picture nomination it deserved. However, even though Viggo gave my *favorite* performance by an actor this year, Denzel gave the performance of a lifetime in Fences and should win this award. Casey Affleck was also phenomenal in Manchester, just not Denzel-level phenomenal. But people out here think Denzel doesn’t deserve it because he already got the Tony for the same role in the play, but also people out here are very upset about Casey’s assault problems* (which doesn’t really make him a better/worse actor but ¯\_(ツ)_/¯) and maybe those will cancel each other out and so *throws hands up in air and pencils in Ryan Gosling to win*
DIRECTING
Emily’s Pick: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Could Win: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Unsolicited industry commentary: I had the pleasure of attending a Q&A with Damien Chazelle, Justin Hurwitz and Ryan Gosling after an early screening of La La Land (brb going to go look at myself in the mirror for several hours and wonder how I became an insufferable Los Angeles cliché...) Hearing them talk about how everything came together in a college dorm, and the years they spent jumping through hoops to actually get it made, and the inspirations and visuals that Damien brought to life so successfully, it’s hard to imagine anyone else deserving this more. Again, Moonlight was groundbreaking in its themes, and a beautiful film, and I’m so glad Barry Jenkins gave us that story. But La La Land is an instant classic, and Damien's ambition will be rewarded.
BEST PICTURE
I mean, have you been paying attention?
Emily’s Pick: La La Land
Could Win: Moonlight
WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
Emily’s Pick: Moonlight
Unsolicited industry commentary: This will be a consolation prize for no Best Picture/Best Director. Also, it’s simply beautifully constructed.
WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
Emily’s Pick: Manchester by the Sea
Unsolicited industry commentary: While I’d love to see 20th Century Women get at least one award, and while The Lobster truly embodied the term “original” here, Kenneth Lonergan is a masterful storyteller and he’ll get this because he deserves it, but also as a consolation prize for no Best Picture/Best Director.
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Emily’s Pick: Zootopia
Could Win: Kubo & The Two Strings (which I actually liked more, but longshot)
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Emily’s Pick: The Salesman
DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE)
Emily’s Pick: 13th
Could Win: O.J.: Made in America
DOCUMENTARY (SHORT FORM)
Emily’s Pick: 4.1 Miles
Likely Win: Joe’s Violin
Could Win: The White Helmets
CINEMATOGRAPHY
Emily’s Pick: La La Land, Linus Sandgren
Upset: Y’all La La Land was filmed in Cinemascope technicolor. Don’t be getting any crazy ideas.
COSTUME DESIGN
Emily’s Pick: Jackie
Could Win: La La Land
Cinderella pick: Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them
Unsolicited industry commentary: The reproduction of Jackie’s iconic wardrobe - particularly the infamous pink Chanel suit - was extraordinary. But the completely original wardrobe choices for La La Land that straddled somehow both modern and classic Hollywood looks is also impressive. Likewise, to create costumes for the 1920s is one thing. But to create 1920s costumes for a fictional, magical world - like those for Fantastic Beasts - has no precedent.
FILM EDITING
Emily’s Pick: Hell or High Water
Will Win: La La Land
Could Win: Arrival
Unsolicited industry commentary: If Hell or High Water is gonna get one award tonight it will probably be for editing. The way the two sides of the story in the movie run parallel and converge at the end was, in my opinion, brilliant. The editing of Arrival was also critical to the unfolding of the film’s narrative. However, La La Land seems to be the frontrunner for...all of the awards. So.
MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Emily’s Pick: Suicide Squad
Probably Will Win: Star Trek Beyond
Unsolicited industry commentary: Seriously, there was no more iconic look in 2016 than Harley Quinn and IMO that deserves an award. But I’m sure it will go to Star Trek because aliens -_-
PRODUCTION DESIGN
Emily’s Pick: La La Land
Upset: Do you have eyes tho?
MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
Emily’s Pick: La La Land
Upset: Do you have ears tho?
MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)
Emily’s Pick: “City of Stars” La La Land
Unsolicited industry commentary: As much as I want Lin-Manuel Miranda to get one step closer to that EGOT, and as much as I actually preferred the “Audition” song from La La Land, for logical reasons everyone has latched onto “City of Stars” and tbh I support anything ft. Ryan Gosling being wistful and romantic.
SOUND EDITING & SOUND MIXING
Emily’s Pick: Hacksaw Ridge
Unsolicited industry commentary: I learned recently what these categories actually mean — and no, just because La La Land is a musical doesn’t mean it will win them. Here is a great explainer in case you’re confused. I selected Hacksaw Ridge because its soundscape of war and battle and trying to be quiet in holes overnight in a trench surrounded by the enemy filled me with a sense of complete and utter nauseating visceral horror and I’m still not okay.
VISUAL EFFECTS
Emily’s Pick: The Jungle Book
Unsolicited industry commentary: You guys, literally nothing in this movie was real except that kid. NOTHING. I watched this video and I still don’t get how this happened. Unreal.
SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)
Emily’s Pick: Piper
Could Win: Pearl
SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)
Emily’s Pick: Silent Nights
Likely Win: Ennemis Intérieurs
-----------------------------------------------
Best of luck everybody!! And ICYMI, Jimmy Kimmel has his work cut out for him tonight because Mulaney and Kroll gave the best opening monologue OF ALL TIME at the Spirit Awards yesterday. Legal Disclaimer: your laughter at this video will awake sleeping roommates and disturb neighbors.













