okay many people other than me have done this research but I donāt care what they think, I care what weird details I pick up on the screen. also discounting any external evidence because all of that contradicts each other.Ā (also because the guys at the MCU Wiki came to the conclusion that presidential elections in the MCU occur every two years, which I refuse to believe.) trying to come up with an actual functional timeline for Phase 1 is almost impossible because there are three movies that canonically take place at the same time that all came out a year apart and all of the evidence about when those movies take place contradicts each other. (my best guess for when Furyās week from hell takes place, a.k.a. IM2, Thor 1, and TIH, is fall 2010, but thatās a different thing.)Ā for various reasons being that they all contradict each other, itās nearly impossible to figure out what year any given Phase 1 movie takes place.Ā itās not much better in later phases but Phase 1 is especially bad about it.Ā so I am discounting every single date that appears (because seriously, they all contradict each other).
letās talk about who was president during the Chitauri invasion, which took place on May 4, 2012.
how do we know for sure the Chitauri invasion took place in 2012? well, Hawkeyeās pretty clear about that one. (and I think itās confirmed elsewhere. May 4 is the release date of the film.)
SO! letās go back to Iron Man 2, which Iām rewatching at the moment. from the opening prologue about Vanko, we get this shot of a Washington Times cover and a TIME magazine cover naming Iron Man has person of the year.
Iāve got circled a headline aboutĀ āBush,ā which presumably means George W Bush, president 2001-2009.Ā Given the top article in the Washington Times, which we donāt see all of but is about Stark Industries (the text that can be read is about Howard Stark), this could have been from IM1 after Tony does his wholeĀ āwe donāt do weapons anymoreā thing or it could follow the IM1 ending press conference.Ā But if Bush is making a headline, itās probably as president, rather than as former president, which must put it at late 2008 or in the first couple weeks of 2009.Ā (Inauguration day 2009 was January 20.)
BUT! letās look over at that TIMEĀ āperson of the yearā cover.Ā The person of the year is announced in early December; we know that because it just happened IRL, and in 2008 the actualfax person of the year was Barack Obama, who had just been elected the first Black president of the United States.Ā Iām not too keen on Tony Stark knocking Obama off the TIME person of the year list, but maybe both IM1 and Vankoās prologue takes place over a much longer period of time than theĀ āsix monthsā marker, maybe the TimesĀ articles is from 2008 and TIME is from 2009 (the person of the year IRL was Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Federal Reserve).Ā (if Iām going to pick anyone from the 2008-2010 span of TIME people to knock off itāll be 2010, which was Mark Zuckerberg, but I donāt think we can push it that late, though IM2 most likely takes place in 2010, but probably before TIME puts out their person of the year.)
we do not get a named president of the United States in The Avengers.Ā we get one in Iron Man 3, Matthew Ellis.Ā When does IM3 take place?Ā Either 2012 or 2013.Ā It could go either way, but I think it was 2013 because ā wait for it ā 2012 was an election year.Ā IRL, Obama was reelected in 2012.Ā Obama is clearly not president in IM3.Ā (also the Tony-Maya conversation about her hypothetical 12 or 13 year old kid.)
So. was Obama ever president in the MCU?Ā well, he never appears, and to the best of my knowledge heās never namedropped in the main MCU (in some of the Marvel shows heās mentioned, but Iām only talking about mainline MCU here).Ā BUT! the plot thickens.
in IM2, Tony puts up a painting thatās a clear reference to the ObamaĀ āHOPEā poster
and in TWS, Steve has a copy of David Maranissās book Barack Obama: A StoryĀ in his apartment. that is a real book; it was published in May 2012 and was written during Obamaās first term.
so the evidence seems to suggest that Barack Obama was elected president in 2008 and was president during the Chitauri invasion, but either was not reelected or dropped out of the 2012 presidential race after the Battle of New York.Ā we do not know Matthew Ellisās party affiliation, and via the hard-hitting American means of trying to guess party affiliation by what color tie heās wearing, unfortunately he wears both blue and red (and they cast forĀ āfake Bushā which is a very distinctive face type). he wears two blue ties to one red tie, though, so maybe heās a Democrat.
one more piece of evidence, this time from TWS again.
from the Captain America Smithsonian exhibit, thereās a bigĀ āWelcome Back, Capā quote on the wall, fromā¦President Matthew Ellis. now, that could have shortly followed Steveās dethawing, either in 2011 or 2012, depending where one wants to place that (there is still no confirmation on when Steve was found and defrosted, itās basically just vibes at this point).Ā or it could have occurred later, well after the Battle of New York in early 2013, after inauguration day (January 21), during one event or another. do we have a date? we donāt. we donāt know what Ellis was doing before being elected president, aside from Aldrich Killianās comment about āthanks to you, not one fat cat saw a day in courtā about the Roxxon Norco oil spill, which could put him in any political office. itās possible that when he first met Steve, he wasnāt president yet: maybe he met Steve as a senator, or maybe he was vice president (we have no evidence that Joe Biden exists in the MCU), maybe he was secretary of defense. that just later went on the wall asĀ āPresident Matthew Ellisā because thatās now the office he holds. several options!
so. who was president of the United States during the Chitauri invasion? my best guess: Barack Obama.
why is he no longer president the next term? well, he could have just been defeated in the race. in a normal election cycle, fighting off an alien invasion via the power of fine American engineering (Iron Man andĀ Captain America) would definitely get a president reelected, weāre Americans, we like that sort of thing. (listen, I was around in 2001 and for the 2004 election, I know fromĀ ābatshit patriotism will get a president reelectedā). EXCEPT. as one may recall from The Avengers, there was a nuclear missile shot at the island of Manhattan. was this ever public knowledge? unclear, but people could have SEEN Iron Man grab it. is that something that (a) a president would resign over or (b) drop out of a race over rather than let it come to light? yeah, it is.Ā (I realize post-2016 itās hard to believe that anything has consequences, but go with me here.)
am I forgetting or ignoring evidence from later movies that I donāt know as well? possibly. is it something the MCU actually thought about? probably not. do I get hung up on largely unimportant details anyway? yes.