There’s a line which I think works the same in both universes: In “Red, White and Royal Blue”, they say that “Henry fell first, but Alex fell harder”. I believe this to be the same with Shane and Ilya. In the episodes leading up to “The Cottage”, you see the vulnerability in Shane’s eyes when Ilya is talking about other women. I do think that Shane fell first (even though Ilya told him in Russian on the phone, but I do think that Shane was there first), and Ilya fell harder.













